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The old American progressive-conservative perspective must be admitted
Integration and Open Thinking Protecting the Future of the Korean Peninsula
Ahn Byung-jin, Professor of Future Civilization, Kyung Hee University“I’ll be right back!”
The president of the United States, Donald Trump, pointed to a reversal through the legendary ambassador of the film ‘Terminator’. Trump became a star on a reality show in the past saying “You’re fired,” but it seems he failed to become president in a Hollywood movie. In almost every poll since the coronavirus was confirmed, the gap between him and Joe Biden’s Democratic presidential candidate has widened from 10 percentage points to even 16 percentage points. At one point, Trump was hailed as an agent of chaos shaking the order of the ‘Gangnam Left’. However, more than 50% of citizens are now slowly getting tired of the unpredictable behavior of Corona 19 and Trump. ‘Trump fatigue’ occurred.
If the current political landscape in the United States is normal, the results of the presidential elections are easily predictable. But this presidential election is not a simple game between republic and democracy. Rather, it is also a civil war between forces trying to obey the existing rules of the game versus forces trying to break them, including super-legal means. Trump is mobilizing all the extralegal letters, including the implicit refusal to take control of a peaceful regime, tolerating neo-fascist forces and inducing the intervention of foreign intelligence agencies. That’s why many of the top officials in the former George W. Bush administration, including former Secretary of State Colin Powell, support Biden. In addition, it is not clear what variables will be the battle for the nomination of Supreme Court justices to rule 40 years instead of the next four years. Going forward, the US presidential election will be watched on everything from Biden’s early defeat to Biden or Trump’s victory over the Supreme Court decision, or the winner’s decision following Trump’s refusal to the decision of the Supreme Court.
I admit ‘Trump fatigue’, but if he is re-elected, will the situation on the Korean peninsula come out of the deadlock? If you can go to a country in civil war and challenge the roller coaster there, this scenario is worth thinking about. Trump is expected to pursue the Nobel Peace Prize, the unification “ jackpot ” and the presidential candidate Ivanka Trump through this exciting journey. However, you should know that this train is very likely to derail in the middle due to poor maintenance. If the Democratic Party becomes a majority party in the Senate, the train can come to a high halt due to issues like human rights. Even amid a violent confrontation between the United States and China, the climate disaster and pandemic are worsening, as the future of semiconductors like Samsung faces more uncertainty. Even in the case of Biden-elect, you don’t just expect a very pleasant ride. Kim Jong-un’s violent cliff-edge tactics to pressure the prudent Biden are scheduled for the short term. And unlike Trump, who only regards North Korea as a site for casinos, Biden’s Democratic Party has established a high human rights bar under the premise of diplomatic relations between North Korea and the United States. Even in the competition between the United States and China, it is already difficult for us to speak good words, as we demand the democratic courage test of all our allies. Additionally, Biden’s attempt to effect a major transformation in the country of climate villains through New Deal 2.0 poses a difficult adaptation task for Korea, another climate villain country. However, since Biden is a pragmatist, he can reach a phased engagement with China and North Korea and strategic communication with the ROK over the next two years. As of now, the Korean peninsula is expected to be sucked into a new tectonic plate that has never been experienced, no matter who is chosen. Most important is the humility and bipartisan commitment of the Blue House and the ruling party. In this uncertain game, you have to know what you don’t know and admit that you don’t. Both the democratic and conservative camps that led authoritarian industrialization must begin by recognizing that their views on international actors, including the United States and China, are somewhat out of date. Humility towards one’s own limits leads to a bipartisan attitude.
On the premise of this humility and inclusiveness, it has previously been proposed that a bipartisan Future Strategy Committee be urgently formed and that the President grant it great authority. This organization is to present various scenario plans amid the crisis and the opportunities of the coming security of the Korean peninsula and the economic wars in the semiconductor and renewable energy industries. I hope the co-chairs of this organization are reasonable conservatives, forward-thinking, and open-minded figures. Although, in the political arena, former judge Kim Young-ran has become a rare breed, there is nothing that cannot be found if he is widely searched.
More important than the final draft of this future strategy is the process itself by which the civic community asks several questions together. This is because it is a group learning process that develops immunity and resilience in the face of an uncertain future. We all have to be ‘Tess hyungs’ asking Socratic questions.
Ahn Byung-jin, Professor of Future Civilization, Kyung Hee University
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