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A survey found that there was no significant change in the approval rating of President Moon Jae-in’s job evaluation to perform state affairs for a week. It is an analysis that even though the suspicion of preferential vacations for the son of Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae has flared throughout the week, it is not as effective as that of former Minister Cho Kook last year. The approval rating for men in their twenties rose again.
However, it seems that those who negatively evaluated President Moon Jae-in suggested the issue of personnel as the main reason, so it seems difficult to easily determine public opinion on the issue of the license of Minister Chu’s son.
According to the results of a weekly poll released by Gallup Korea on the 11th, when the agency asked 1,002 people over the age of 18 across the country from 8-10 whether they thought President Moon Jae-in was doing well, on 46 % gave a positive evaluation and 45% said. Negative evaluation and 10% of opinions withheld (Ni 4%, Don’t know / Rejected 6%).
Both the positive and negative rates for presidential rights increased 1 percentage point from last week. By age, the positive and negative rates were 41% and 39% for those aged 18 to 29 (’20’), 55% and 42% for those aged 30, 55% and 38% for those aged 40, 51 % and 44 for those over 50, respectively. %, 35% and 55% were 60 years or older. Gallup Korea analyzed that the changes in the twenties during the last three weeks have been relatively large. In Gallup, the positive and negative rates for men in their twenties are 28% and 61% → 18% and 68% → 26% and 61%, respectively, and 53% and 27% → 43% and 39% → 57% for women in their twenties. And 15%. For one week, the affirmation rate for men in their twenties increased by 8 percentage points and for women in their twenties it increased by 14 percentage points.
By solidarity party, 77% of supporters of the Democratic Party positively evaluated the performance of presidential duties, while 93% of supporters of popular power were negative. Even in the shaman class, the negative rate was ahead (29% positive, 56% negative).
Positive evaluators of the president’s work (462, free responses) are reasons for ‘coping with Corona 19’ (39%), ‘I’m good overall’ (8%), ‘Expanding well-being’ (6%) and ‘Do the best job / hard work’. ‘Should do it’ and ‘Efforts for the common people’ (over 4%).
For that reason, negative raters (446 people) responded to ‘lack of solving economic / public welfare problems’ and ‘general lack’ (above 12%), as well as ‘personnel problems’ and the ‘real estate policy’ (above 11%). Presented more. In addition, they cited ‘Inadequate Coping with Corona 19’, ‘Instantial / Unilateral / Partial’ (more than 7%) and ‘Unfair / Nambul’ (5%). The housing problem, which had been the number one reason for the negative assessment for two months, was pushed to the next rank, and responses to “medical policy”, which increased last week, declined. On the other hand, mentions of ‘personnel issues’ and ‘unfair / meaning’ have increased. Gallup Korea analyzed that “this seems to be due to the heating of the controversy over the accusations of the party-political agreement that stopped the medical strike and the son of the Minister of Justice, Chu Mi-ae.”
It is also of interest to what extent the suspicious effect of Chu Mi-ae’s son’s vacation preference influenced public opinion. Regarding the results of the day’s poll, Gallup Korea said: “Some compare the suspicion of Choo’s son to the constitutional situation before the fatherland last fall, but based on the results of this week’s poll, it’s hard to say that the impact is so great. ” The structure for evaluating positions and supporting political parties is similar to that of last week, and only the change in the ranking of the reasons for the negative evaluations answered by the presidential evaluators was confirmed ”.
In the Gallup Korea poll, the personnel issues most frequently cited as reasons for President Moon’s unfair assessment were the inauguration and resignation of the nominations of Justice Minister Cho Kuk in June-July 2017 and August-October 2019, when cabinet appointments and staff hearings were ongoing. It was a period that led to. Gallup Korea explained that at the time, the staffing issue was the number one reason for the negative evaluation and the proportion exceeded 30%.
Furthermore, as a result of the approval poll of the Gallup Korea party, the Democratic Party was 39%, the shaman without a supporting party 29%, the People’s Power 19%, the Justice Party 5%, the Popular Party 4% and the Open Democratic Party 3%. Compared to last week, the power of the Justice Party and the people each increased by one percentage point, and the overall support structure was unchanged, according to Gallup Korea. By political orientation, 62% of progressives said that Democrats and 45% of conservatives supported popular power. The political parties supported by the middle class were the Democratic Party (36%) and the Popular Power (15%), followed by 34%. The party did not respond. The proportion of shamans by age was the highest with 43% in their twenties.
Gallup Korea also conducted a poll on the preferences of upcoming political leaders this week. Gallup Korea asked who he liked as the next presidential sentiment (free answer) Gyeonggi Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong (22%), Democratic Party representative Lee Nak-yeon (21%), Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, independent legislator Hong Jun -pyo, representative of the National Assembly Ahn Chul-soo (above) 3%). 6% said other people (including less than 1.0% 20 people) and 43% said they did not respond to a specific person.
Compared to a month ago, Lee Jae-myeong and Lee Nak-yeon’s preferences increased 3 percentage points and 4 percentage points, respectively. Until last July, Lee Nak-yeon was by far the leader in the mid-20s range, but Lee Jae-myeong rose last month, forming a competitive composition among passport figures. However, Gallup Korea drew a line that read: “Normally, presidential candidates are chosen through party primaries, but in the Democratic Party support group, Lee Nak-yeon (40%) is ahead of Lee. Jae-myeong (28%) “. Lee Jae-myeong’s preference is higher in men (25%), 30-50 (around 30%) and Incheon and Gyeonggi (27%) than in women (18%). Lee Nak-yeon’s preference is similar to men and women (20% and 21%), and Gwangju and Jeolla (43%), and supporters of the Democratic Party (40%), Gallup said.
With Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, Gallup Korea analyzed that “although he is not a sitting politician, he is constantly counted as the candidate for the next political leader, but his preference fell from 9% in August to 3% in September” .
On the other hand, as a result of asking voters for their opinion of next year’s presidential election by Gallup Korea at this time, 47% of respondents said: ‘It is better that the candidate of the ruling party is elected to maintain the regime. current ‘, and’ the opposition candidate is elected to replace the current regime ‘. “Good” was found in 39%. 14% reserved their opinion. The opinion of ‘The candidate of the elected ruling party (the theory of the maintenance of the current regime)’ was also given by the supporters of the Democratic Party (83%), the progressive group (76%), Gwangju and Jeolla (75%), and in their 30s and 50s (50%), etc. The ‘theory of regime change’ was relatively common among people who supported the power of the people (93%), the conservative group (70%), Daegu and Gyeongbuk, and those who were 60 years or older (more than 50% ).
In the second week of August, a month ago, the theory of maintenance of the regime (41%) and the theory of replacement (45%) were similar, but at that time, public opinion criticizing the real estate policy was strong, according to Gallup Korea.
The following is an overview of the poll results released on the 11th by Gallup Korea.
-Survey period: September 8-10, 2020
-Sampling: random sampling of RDD sample frames from mobile phones (including 15% of RDD from domestic phones)
-Response method: interview with telephone investigator
-Objective of the survey: 1002 people over 18 years of age nationwide
-Sampling error: ± 3.1% points (95% confidence level)
-Rate of response: 15% (1002 of 6737 total calls completed)
-Client: Gallup Korea’s own investigation
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