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Medical staff working in the negative pressure bed of Kangwon National University Hospital. Yunhap news
While the number of confirmed cases of the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) in Korea reached a record 1030 on the 13th, an analysis was raised that this ‘third pandemic’ is different from the first and second epidemics.
Experts warn “The peak is difficult to predict”
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) announced that as of 0 o’clock on the 13th, 1030 new cases were confirmed in Korea, of which 28 cases were imported from abroad. The total cumulative number of confirmed cases to date was 42,766. The 1002 domestic outbreaks were concentrated in Seoul (396), Gyeonggi (328), and Incheon (62). Sporadic group infections occurred throughout the country, including Busan (56), Daegu (28), Gyeongnam (22), Gyeongbuk (18), and Gangwon (17).
Experts have predicted that the peak of the third pandemic has not yet arrived and, if it continues, the number of patients and deaths will rise rapidly early next year.
Lee Jae-gap, professor of infectious medicine at Hallym University Kangnam Sacred Heart Hospital, said: “It is incomparable to the first pandemic centered in Daegu. At the time, the new patient was a patient related to the Shincheonji Daegu Church and the route of infection was relatively clear. It’s really scary 1000 people because now there are patients leaking into the community as a whole. “Professor Lee said,” At present, you can’t predict the peak. If you don’t use a strong suppression policy now, the number of serious and serious patients will shoot up to 700 even after two weeks. “There are people who die because they cannot put on a respirator,” he warned.
During the first pandemic in February and March, the highest number of new patients per day was 909 (February 29), which was similar to the current level. In the first round, group infections rose explosively, targeting Shincheonji Daegu Church, but the spread was blocked by quickly finding infected people through full investigation and quarantine measures for church members and contacts. Thanks to this, the number of confirmed cases has dropped to double digits in 15 days since the peak was reached.
Now that the third pandemic is underway, the most worrying thing is that group infections are emerging across the country and it is difficult to identify the source of infection. Church in Gangseo-gu, Seoul (140 people), Restaurants in Jongno-gu, Seoul (80 people), Nursing Hospital in Bucheon-si, Gyeonggi-do (66 people), Nursery School in Gunpo-si, Gyeonggi-do ( 26 people), Religious facilities in Anyang-si, Gyeonggi-do (3 people), Other classes in Gangneungon-do (11 people) People), restaurants in Changwon city, Gyeongnam (10 people), music clubs in the Changwon city (11 people), etc., group infections are occurring throughout the country, mainly in the metropolitan area.
One analysis also found that distance measurements are difficult to achieve a large effect due to the seasonal nature of winter. Jeon Byung-yul, President of the Graduate School of Health Industry at Chaeui University of Sciences (former director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) said: “In winter, the survival period of the Most respiratory viruses and Corona 19 are prolonged, increasing infectivity. Also, although it lives mainly indoors, the ventilation is not good. In this situation, the distinction between high-risk facilities and low-risk facilities does not make sense. “Professor Jeon said,” I think that if the distance is strengthened, the contact will decrease and the patient will give it, but it is an illusion. ” If you don’t wear a mask in any part of your daily life, eat or have a conversation, and exposure to droplets occurs, you can become infected in an instant. ”
The hospital bed utilization rate for hospitals dedicated to infectious diseases increased in one month. Graphic = Younghee Kim [email protected]
Kim Woo-ju, professor of infectious medicine at Korea Daeguro Hospital, said: “The biggest problem is that the distance is reduced when it is not due and it is not increased when it is needed. From October to November, there are about 100 patients constantly coming out, but I think it became the spark for a pandemic as it went down to the first stage. “” In the previous pandemic, I was able to benefit from the seasons. Virus survival was short in spring and summer, ventilation was difficult and people wore the masks well due to the stress in the first epidemic. But now, the seasons are an obstacle. You should know that people only live indoors If you think you will be caught like August-September, you are wrong. ”
Social distancing 3 steps of quarantine measures. Graphic = Reporter Cha Junhong [email protected]
Some suggest that the distance stage should be updated as soon as possible. Professor Jae-gap Lee said: “We need special measures. Don’t do it one step faster and preventively. Even if there is a sacrifice, there is no choice but to give it to him. It appears that the government predicted that this would be the case again because the last pandemic was relatively easily avoided, but the situation is different. ” Now is just before that. “Professor Kim Woo-joo said,” It seems that a step to upgrade to three stages is now a step to take. It is said that ‘the hit of the freelancers is too great’, as if it were a measure to destroy the country and the economy. But isn’t it economically good to catch the crown? “He said,” If the distance is delayed and the distance is released, will the economy survive? Wouldn’t it be worse in the end when the crown spread? It is not an economic quarantine, but a crown quarantine. ”
Reporter Esther and Lee Tae-yoon [email protected]
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