Polls for the New Year’s Presidential Election …



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Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung keeps rising. To celebrate the new year, Governor Lee Jae-myeong took the lead in the margin of error in most national polls released on December 31, 2020 and January 1, 2021. Governor Lee Jae-myung and Lee Nak-yeon, along with representatives from the Democratic Party and Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, are in the form of a solid ‘Third Structure’ (see the bottom of the article for an overview of the polls cited in the article) .

Lee Jae-myeong, most polls ranked first within the margin of error … Three strong points

In a poll released on December 31, 2020, Governor Lee Jae-myeong showed strength. <서울신문>As a result of a Hyundai Research Institute poll for the presidential candidate’s multilateral showdown, Governor Lee Jae-myeong recorded 26.7%, President Seok-yeol Yoon 21.5% and CEO Nak-Yeon Read 15.6%. Governor Lee outpointed General Yoon within the margin of error.

In a poll conducted by Kanta Korea at the request of TV Chosun, Governor Lee Jae-myeong ranked first in the margin of error with 18.2%, followed by CEO Nak-yeon Lee (16.2%) and President Seok-yeol Yoon (15.1%).

Governor Lee Jae-myung’s strength continued in the results of various public opinion polls released on January 1, 2021. Governor Lee Jae-myeong ranked first in the margin of error in most polls.

<동아일보> In the New Year’s poll (Investigation and Investigation), Governor Lee Jae-myeong outperformed President Lee Nak-yeon and President Yoon Suk-yeol within the margin of error. Governor Lee recorded an approval rating of 24.6% in this poll, with Nak-Yeon Lee and 19.1%, and Seok-Yeol Yoon, 18.2%.

<한겨레>-Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s approval rating was 23.8% in the case statistics research survey. Chairman Seok-Yeol Yoon posted 17.2% and Nak-yeon Lee posted 15.4%.

In the opinion poll conducted by Korea Research International at the request of MBC, Governor Lee Jae-myeong accounted for 20.8%. Chairman Seok-Yeol Yoon was followed by 18.2% and Nak-Yeon Lee (17.5%).

In the SBS-Ipsos poll, Governor Lee Jae-myeong had an advantage within the margin of error. In the poll released on the 1st, Governor Lee Jae-myeong received 23.6%, Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol 18.5% and Lee Nak-yeon 16.7%.

On the other hand, in the results of a public opinion poll published on the 1st by Newsis commissioned by Real Meter, President Seok-yeol Yoon took the lead in the margin of error. President Yoon’s preference was 25.1%, CEO Nakyeon Lee 20% and Governor Lee Jaemyung 19.8%.

    From left to right, Nak-yeon Lee, representative of the Democratic Party, Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, and the Governor of Gyeonggi Province, Lee Jae-myeong.
From left to right, Nak-yeon Lee, representative of the Democratic Party, Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, and the Governor of Gyeonggi Province, Lee Jae-myeong.
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Looking at the results of each survey analysis, Governor Lee Jae-myeong’s approval rating (preference) appears to have registered high approval ratings in ’20 to 40 ‘and’ the metropolitan area ‘. “Lee Governor Lee (20.6%) and President Yoon (13.9%) were supported by 40.9% of respondents in their 40s,” said “Governor Lee had the highest approval rating with 29.7% in Incheon and Gyeonggi. It was analyzed to be supported by 20% in all regions except Chungcheong (14.7%). The newspaper added, “CEO Nak-yeon Lee showed the highest approval ratings in Gwangju and Jeolla (44.0%), and Seok-yeol Yoon showed the highest approval ratings in Daegu and Gyeongbuk (28.3%). ”

MBC said: “Governor Lee was dominant in his 20s, 30s, 40s and General Yoon in his 50s and 60s. While the ruling party supporter preference was split between Governor Lee and Lee, the opposition supporter , President Yun received overwhelming support. ” Said.

<한겨레>“Lee Governor received the most support of all age groups except those 60 and older,” he reported. “The preference was relatively high among the middle and advanced class.”

Regarding the fact that Seok-yeol Yoon was included in the lead in the polls, Real Meter’s chief expert Bae Chul-ho told Newsis, “Because Yoon is the ‘one of the first’ in the opposition has no choice but to receive the greatest benefit from the change of government, and the support is resilient. “The structure has no choice but to receive”

<인용된 여론조사 개요>

▲ Seoul-Hyundai Research Institute Newspaper Survey: December 28-30, 2020 Survey, 1012 Nationwide Men and Women 18 Years or Older, ± 3.1% Points at 95% Confidence Level sample error, wired / wireless telephone interview, response rate 11.8%.

▲ Chosun Ilbo / TV Chosun-Kanta Korea Poll: Survey from December 27 to 29, 2020, directed at 1010 men and women aged 18 years or older who reside nationwide, ± 3.1% points at the level of 95% confidence sample error, wired / wireless telephone interview, 8.5% response rate.

▲ Dong-A Ilbo-Research & Research Poll: Survey from December 27 to 29, 2020, directed at 1002 men and women over 18 years of age who reside throughout the country, ± 3.1% points in the confidence level of the 95% sample error, wireline / cordless phone interview, response rate 11.9%.

▲ Hankyoreh-Casestat Research Survey: December 27-29, 2020, 1013 men and women 18 years of age or older residing nationwide, 95% sample error, ± 3.1% point at level of confidence, wireless contact in full screen, response rate of 24.4%.

▲ MBC-Korea Research International Survey: Survey from December 29 to 30, 2020, directed at 1007 men and women aged 18 years or older who reside throughout the country, sample error of 95%, point of ± 3.1 % Confidence Level, Full Screen Wireless Contact, 28.5% Response Rate.

▲ SBS-Ipsos Survey: Survey from December 28 to 30, 2020, directed at 1001 men and women aged 18 years or older who reside throughout the country, ± 3.1% points at the 95% confidence level of error sample, wired / wireless telephone interview, 15.1% response rate.

▲ Newsis-Realmeter Survey: Survey from December 27 to 28, 2020, 1,000 men and women 18 years of age or older residing nationwide, 95% sample error, ± 3.1% point at confidence level, ARS wired / wireless, 5.6% response rate

* For more information on previous polls, check the website of each public opinion polling agency or the central election poll deliberation committee.

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