North Korea broadcasts Kim Jong-un’s speech in a fever tomorrow … New ICBM likely to launch

Satellite image provided by Maxa Technologies on September 17. There is a scene where fever is practiced at Kim Il-sung Square in Pyongyang, North Korea. [AP=뉴시스]

The government is well aware of the possibility that North Korea will hold a large-scale fervor on the 10th anniversary of the Labor Party’s 75th anniversary and unveil new strategic weapons. Authorities believe North Korea is likely to broadcast a speech by President Kim Jong-un and introduce a new ICBM (intercontinental ballistic missile).

The last time North Korea broadcast the byeongsik fever live in April 2017 on solar day (Kim Il-sung’s birthday). At that time, with President Kim present, a host of strategic weapons was revealed, such as the new ICBM. After the 2018 PyeongChang Olympic Games were held and the inter-Korean dialogue continued, North Korea replaced the parade ceremony in February of that year and the parade ceremony on the 70th anniversary of the establishment of the government in September, and did not reveal it to the media. foreign.

In 2015, during a parade ceremony marking the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and a military demonstration in Pyongyang, the Chairman of the State Council, Kim Jong-un, raised his hand. [노동신문]

However, this time, when relations between North Korea, North Korea and the United States are in a phase of stagnation, there is a high possibility of live streaming of a fever, authorities predict. This is to spread the message that we are overcoming the crisis on our own despite the three disasters, such as the economic crisis caused by the sanctions against North Korea, the spread of a new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) and the damages caused by a typhoon.

Also, if President Kim gives a speech, there is a high probability that he will release an external message from the concentration of internal affairs. Unification Minister Lee In-young said in a parliamentary audit on the 8th: “We pay attention to such things as how much the door that North Korea closed will reopen after the party’s founding date.”

Interest is also focused on strategic weapons that North Korea is likely to display. President Kim had already made an announcement from the plenary meeting late last year that he will see a new strategic weapon. Authorities believe North Korea is likely to launch a new ICBM with multiple warheads this time. It is also paying attention to the possibility that the new ICBM has a longer range than the current Hwaseong-15.

The appearance of the ‘Hwaseong-15’ class intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) that appeared at the Gungun Day parade ceremony held in Pyongyang’s Kim Il-sung Square in 2018. [연합뉴스]

Sumi Terry, principal investigator at the Center for Strategic International Studies (CSIS), also said in a video seminar on the 8th: “There is a possibility that North Korea will unveil a multiple warhead-type intercontinental ballistic missile (MRV) that can fly into each individual target in a feverish ceremony. The Unification Ministry predicted that “in a situation where economic performance is insufficient, strategic weapons such as new ICBMs, mobile launch vehicles and new SLBMs will be launched to highlight their presence.”

However, the authorities believe that the possibility that North Korea actually launches an ICBM or SLBM (submarine launch ballistic missile) is not high. As President Kim sent a message of comfort to President Trump, who was previously diagnosed with Corona 19, it is an analysis that the possibility of affecting the US presidential election through provocations beyond the ‘red line’ is small.

Meanwhile, on the 9th, President Kim did not appear at the meeting of the officials of the party’s central guidance bodies to visit the Geumsusan Solar Palace. The Chosun Central News Agency reported that the First Vice Chairman of the State Affairs Committee, Choi Ryong-hae, the Vice Chairman of the State Affairs Committee, Park Bong-ju, and the Prime Minister of the Cabinet, Kim Deok-hoon, visited the Palace. Geumsoosan Solar and President Kim calmed the flower basket.

On April 16, April 16, on the occasion of North Korean President Kim Il-sung’s 108th birthday (Sunday April 15), senior executives visit the Sun Palace on Geumsu Mountain, Pyongyang, where Kim’s body was consecrated on the 15th. [노동신문]

Considering that this year is the anniversary of the settlement (a year divided into 5 to 10 years), President Kim Jong-un’s refusal to attend the worship service is assessed as somewhat unusual. President Kim Jong-un visited Geumsoosan Solar Palace with executives on the date of its establishment five times, from 2012 to 2013, 2015, 2018 and 2019, the first year of power. In 2017, on October 7, three days before the party’s establishment date, the Central Committee held a plenary session and visited the participants, and did not pray on the establishment date.

Reporter Dayoung Kim [email protected]