National Assembly Political party: Politics: News: Hankyoreh Mobile

As the power of the people and the People’s Party agreed on the principle of unifying the candidates for the by-elections of the mayor of Seoul on the 19th, the focus is on who will be the final candidate of the opposition. The poll contest is more of a game of chance. The fact that the decision of candidates for public office through public opinion polls is in itself irrelevant. It only exists as a political reality because no other method is adequate and there is a premise that the parties will succumb to it. Regardless, candidate Se-Hoon Oh and candidate Chul-Soo Ahn left their fates in the polls. Recently, various media companies have commissioned public opinion polls to conduct various investigations for the two candidates. Details can be found on the Central Election Review Committee website. The ‘Single Candidate Preference’, which (KBS) commissioned Korea Research to announce on the 16th, was almost the same as Se-Hoon Oh’s and Ahn Cheol-soo’s 38.3%. The question was: “Who do you think is better among the candidates for the unification of the pan-opposition mayor of Seoul: candidate Se-hoon Oh and candidate Chul-soo Ahn?” The preference is close to goodness of fit (required by candidate Oh). The results of the single candidate preference poll, which was commissioned by Real Meter and announced on the 15th, were 39.3% Oh Se-hoon and 32.8% Ahn Cheol-soo, with candidate Oh slightly ahead. .

Both parties fought hard for ‘suitability’ (Oh Se-hoon) and ‘competitiveness’ (Ahn Cheol-soo) as survey questions, but there is not much difference in the content of the recently released survey. According to the survey published on the 15th, the degree of aptitude was only 5.5% points (36.8% Oh, 31.3% Ahn) and 4.0% competitiveness points (Sehun Oh 34.5%, Ahn 30.5%). Since the difference between the two candidates Se-Hoon Oh and Chul-Soo Ahn is mostly within the margin of error, it is difficult to say for sure who is ahead. However, although it is within the margin of error, it is true that there are more and more poll results ahead of Candidate Oh. Candidate Oh was strongly encouraged by Ahn Cheol-soo in almost all public opinion polls until he was confirmed as a candidate in the Party’s primary elections on March 4. However, after breaking expectations and defeating former legislator Na Gyeong-won, he began to climb. In the process of unification negotiations, candidate Ahn called for a rush to conduct a public opinion poll, which is also the reason why candidate Oh has space. There are three reasons behind the promotion of the candidate Oh. First, the public opinion of the People’s Power Party members and supporters who had dispersed between Na Kyung-won and Oh Se-hoon reached one of Oh Se-hoon. Second, after the match’s contention, he managed to build a stable image without making big mistakes. Third, since he was a candidate from the first opposition party, it was more advantageous than candidate Ahn Chul-soo to absorb the reflective benefits of the LH (LH) incident. There are other variables as well. Chairman Kim Jong-in of the People’s Power Emergency Response Committee put excessive pressure on Ahn Cheol-soo, insisting on the process of unification negotiations for the candidates. Because of this, it is possible that some sympathy is focused on candidate Chul-soo Ahn. Recognizing this, candidate Oh also tried not to lose sight of the image of a ‘politician of determination and sacrifice’ for the victory of the entire opposition by accepting 100% of wireless phones at the last minute. Until the last moment, the two of them had a fierce battle for ‘justice’, but the purpose is ‘Ii’. Depending on how these factors are reflected in future opinion polls, the game may be different. Senior Reporter Seong Han-yong [email protected]