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A citizen carrying an umbrella walks down an empty street around Myeongdong Station in Jung-gu, Seoul, on the morning of the 13th. On this day, there were 1,030 new confirmed cases of Corona 19, surpassing 1,000 for the first time in approximately 11 months from January 20, when the first patient occurred. By Baek So-ah, Staff Reporter [email protected]
On the 13th, when the number of new corona19 confirmed more than 1,000, infectious disease experts predicted that it was predicted to some extent and that a large-scale spread would continue for the time being. If this trend is the case, there are pessimistic observations that the number of new confirmed cases daily exceeds 2,000, and that they may face a situation similar to that of Japan. There are voices that ask if it is necessary to preventively raise the third stage of social distancing, but the government is in a position that as of the 14th, the government is expanding diagnostic tests for young people and asymptomatic patients to block further transmission and further expand the new hospital beds.
■ Quarantine management that prevents face-to-face contact In just two days, the number of new confirmed cases increased from 689 (11th) → 950 (12th) → 1030 (13th) because the spread of the metropolitan area has not been detected. That day, 786 of the 1002 infected people in the domestic community left the metropolitan area, representing 78.4% of the total. The number of new confirmed cases has risen significantly since the weekend, and large-scale group infection has been largely affected by nursing homes and churches where high-risk groups are concentrated. Additionally, sporadic infections in schools, clubs, public restrooms, workplaces, and academies are also affecting the increase in confirmed cases. Sook-young Lim, head of quarantine countermeasures headquarters, analyzed in a regular briefing the day before: “The spread of the infection continues and the infection builds up due to personal meetings and face-to-face contact between acquaintances. that the quarantine administration cannot reach. ” The average number of new confirmed cases per day during the last week (December 7 to 13) is 719.7. Experts believe that if the social distancing effect does not continue to manifest itself, the number of confirmed cases may increase exponentially. Kim Woo-joo, professor at the Guro Hospital of Korea University (department of infectious medicine), said: “If you look at the current situation, it looks like the trend in Japan. There are more than 3,000 new confirmed cases in Japan per day, and in terms of population per million people, as of the 11th, Japan has 22.96 people and Korea has 18.53 people. “” There is a time difference between Japan and Japan for about a month, but we are chasing them in parallel. There is, ”he said. The government predicted there could be 1,000 confirmed cases every day for the next 20 days in the metropolitan area, while introducing a new bedside countermeasure that day, but like Japan, the number of new confirmed cases could occur more than 2,000 per day.
■ Special measures are needed to increase the number of seriously ill patients As the spread increases, the number of confirmed patients (13,372) in quarantine surpassed 10,000 at 0 o’clock in the day. The number of patients with severe gastric disorders increased to 179. As the number of confirmed cases increases, there are 580 confirmed patients waiting for bed allocation at home (at 0:00 on day 13) and 56 people waiting for more than two days. Many experts command that preventive distance improvement is necessary. Lee Jae-gap, professor at Hallym University Gangnam Sacred Heart Hospital (department of infectious medicine), said: “Since it is possible to generate 2000-3000 people every day (new confirmed cases), it is not a situation in which we can wait to see if the distance of 2.5 steps is effective. A three-step update is required. “Professor Kim Woo-joo said,” We need to prepare for the worst case scenario. “We should also consider giving people an order to stay home (stay home), as the government did. of New Zealand. “The government is concerned that the socio-economic damage from the three-stage upgrade could be enormous. Consequently, it plans to significantly expand diagnostic testing through a temporary screening laboratory to be established from the 14th. In the case of Seoul, it plans to sequentially operate 55 temporary screening tests in 25 autonomous districts. “If distance does not reduce contact, it is necessary to quickly find and isolate confirmed patients by increasing tests,” said Kim Mo-ran, professor of the National Cancer Center, however, a medical community official said: “There is a risk of collapse of the medical system because patients with symptoms, including , high-risk or severe patients, cannot be treated. “We need to quickly switch to a strategy to reduce deaths by focusing more on managing seriously ill patients and high-risk groups.” Choi Won-seok, a professor at the Ansan Hospital of Korea University (department of infectious medicine), said: “When there are few cases or when you want to prevent the outbreak from growing back after the outbreak, you should respond by increasing the number of tests. But now the problem of putting patients to bed does not answer. ” “Medical response, such as staff who can see beds and patients, must be a priority,” he said. By Seo Hye-mi, Staff Reporter [email protected]
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