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Abe remains in power for about a year … Strong character of the crisis management cabinet
There does not appear to be a sudden change in relations between Korea and Japan.
Japan’s Secretary of State Suga Yoshihide was de facto the next prime minister. This is because the main factions of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party have successively expressed their support for Suga as governor of the Liberal Democratic Party, and the Liberal Democratic Party has decided to elect the governor by summary vote omitting the vote of party members. In Japan, a parliamentary cabinet system, the governor of the ruling party is elected prime minister by the National Assembly.
Since December 2012, when the Shinzo Abe regime was restored, Secretary Suga has served as secretary of state and has assisted the prime minister at a short distance. Originally, the prime minister’s term is three years, but Suga will only serve as prime minister for the remaining one-year period (until September next year) due to the resignation of Prime Minister Abe. Most of the Abe regime’s policies, including Korean diplomacy, are expected to be inherited.
○ Suga finally becomes number one
According to NHK, the Liberal Democratic Party held a general meeting on the 1st and decided to elect a new governor through a general meeting of members of the House of Representatives (394 votes) and representatives of local governments (141 votes). Consequently, if the majority (268 votes) is obtained in the General Assembly of both Houses held on the 14th, he becomes governor.
Minister Suga won around 240 votes from the Liberal Democratic Party Hosodapa (98 votes), Asopa (54 votes), Nikaipa (47 votes), Ishiharapa (11 votes) and no faction (around 30 votes) on the 30th and 31st of the month. past. Insured. On the 1st, Takeshitapa (54 votes) also made a policy to support Suga, and Suga obtained a majority of 294 votes. Even if there is a ‘0 vote’ of the local government representative, he will be elected governor. As soon as the results of the general council of conducting a summary vote were announced, the private broadcaster TBS announced that “Prime Minister Suga’s chance is 99%”, including the Hamapyeong of the next cabinet.
At the center of Japanese politics, which is aligned with hereditary politicians, Suga is a rare, self-made politician who has no parental background, faction, or academic background. Born on a strawberry farm in Akita Prefecture, after graduating from high school, he moved to Tokyo to work part-time as a doorman, security guard, and kitchen assistant at the Tsukiji Fish Market. He started as secretary to the House of Representatives and entered the National Assembly in 1996 with the nomination of the PLD. It is currently 8 lines. He served as chief secretary for 7 years and 8 months, assisting Prime Minister Abe and commanding the government house as the second head of the administration. In 2014, a Cabinet Personnel Office was established under the Cabinet Office Organization to uphold the staff rights of executive officers. Later, it was noted that Japanese public officials began to do ‘handtaku’.
○ Strong for Korea
In terms of politics, if Prime Minister Abe is an “attack guy”, he’s a “defensive guy.” When Prime Minister Abe confronted the question of past history and visited the Yasukuni Shrine, sparking friction with neighboring countries, Minister Suga played the role of holding back. There is also an anecdote that when Prime Minister Abe responded emotionally to the National Assembly, “Why the minister’s visit to the Yasukuni shrine?”
However, it is a principle when it comes to Korean politics. In particular, this trend is known to have grown stronger as the Moon Jae-in administration has determined that the Korea-Japan comfort women agreement has been virtually annulled. A senior Japanese official said: “Suga is surprisingly very strong against Korea. If you report on the policy related to Korea, it’s negative and says, ‘You saw it at the time of the comfort women agreement.’
It is anticipated that inside and outside the Korean government, even if the Suga regime is launched, there will not be a drastic change in relations between Korea and Japan. Jin Chang-soo, former director of the Sejong Institute, said: “Suga has weaker ideological beliefs than Prime Minister Abe. In that regard, he predicted that if he becomes prime minister, the atmosphere of Korea-Japan relations may change and at least the status quo will continue. A diplomatic source also said: “It is fundamentally an ‘extended regime’ connecting Abe’s cabinet, so it will not bring about a major change in the relationship between Korea and Japan.” There are also observations that the possibility of a Korea-Japan summit meeting this year is relatively high, such as the momentum from the Korea-China-Japan summit held by the government in late November.
Tokyo = Correspondent Park Hyung-jun [email protected] / Reporter Han Ki-jae
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