Diplomatic security of the two-top Biden government North Korea’s negotiations with the Iranian model

The nominee of US Secretary of State Tony Blincoln, who has been appointed as the diplomatic command tower of the US administration Joe Biden, and the nominee of the White House national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, are expected to rethink the relations between United States and North Korea and completely reinvent the strategy for negotiations with North Korea. In particular, the situation on the Korean peninsula and our policy towards North Korea are expected to suffer greatly depending on what kind of sketch they draw on the denuclearization of North Korea.

The perspective of the Biden administration will revive the Iranian nuclear deal and discuss with relevant parties to apply a similar model to North Korea. Some express concern that this may be a repeat of the six-party model that has already failed.

“The Iranian nuclear deal was in operation until President Donald Trump destroyed it,” Blincoln’s candidate for secretary of state said in an interview with CBS before the presidential election. “There is no illusion that North Korea will abandon all nuclear weapons tomorrow, but as it takes action,” It is not impossible if foreign policy is implemented. “The nominee Blincoln has argued that China will serve as a lever to solve the nuclear problem. of North Korea, which is also related to the Iranian model.

Iran’s nuclear deal, called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), was signed against Iran in 2015 at the end of the Barack Obama regime, by permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, including the United States, Russia, China, France and the United Kingdom, and Germany and the European Union (EU). did. In exchange for the gradual elimination of Iran from its nuclear program, the negotiating parties aim to lift economic sanctions.

Previously, nominee Blincoln presented a solution to the North Korean nuclear issue via the New York Times (NYT) just before the United States-North Korea summit in Singapore in June 2018. At the time, he asked: ” What is the best model for nuclear negotiations with North Korea? ” And he wrote “Iran”.

In this article, nominee Blincoln stated in this article that Iran would take the time to produce nuclear material for nuclear weapons from a few weeks to more than a year by eliminating 98% of the uranium stockpile, dismantling and sealing two-thirds of the centrifuge and setting an upper limit for uranium enrichment. I wrote that I saw the effect of increasing it. He also wrote that there is a need for an agreement on a surveillance system covering the nuclear supply system, including the location of North Korea’s mines, centrifuge facilities, assembly lines, and enrichment and reprocessing facilities, they can also borrow from the Iranian nuclear deal.

“Unlike Iran, North Korea has nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles.” In addition, he said that the signing of a peace treaty prior to the abandonment of nuclear weapons contradicts the existing policy towards North Korea.

Altogether, it can be seen that it is necessary to follow a step-by-step approach from negotiations to the working level, taking the Iran nuclear deal process as a mirror and actively using a multilateral cooperation framework that promotes cooperation with neighboring countries. instead of focusing on both the United States and North Korea.

Currently, among Korean peninsula experts in Washington, there is little disagreement that the North Korean nuclear issue is a subordinate task to the Biden regime. There are many other problems, but the North Korean problem is a problem that cannot be solved all at once.

Given that they are diplomatic representatives and security officials of the Democratic Party who have been involved in the Paris Agreement on Climate Change and Iran’s nuclear negotiations in the Obama administration, they are expected to erase the scars of the ‘American priority’ of the Trump administration by restoring the alliance and restoring multilateralism. be be. As both have been in favor of joining the Pacific Rim Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP) and insisting on institutional controls against China, their involvement in the Indo-Pacific region will also be strengthened. In particular, Blincoln’s nominee was famous as the behind-the-scenes coordinator of practical negotiations and fine-tuning between ministries. In fact, at the 2015 ROK-US summit, the two countries decided to form a high-level strategic consultation on the North Korea issue, and then-Vice Minister of State Blincoln conducted five trips between Seoul and Washington in 2016 to precisely redesign the sanctions against North Korea. Meanwhile, it was pointed out that sanctions against North Korea were ineffective and became a way to squeeze strong and effective means of pressure. The resulting sanctions strategy against North Korea was precise sanctions targeting the North Korean economy, especially its ability to be filled with foreign exchange.

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