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Day after day suspicions have been raised about the preferential military service of the son of Justice Minister Chu Mi-ae, but there are no signs of public sentiment in public opinion polls. This is different from the fact that the Democratic Party’s approval ratings plummeted along with President Moon Jae-in during former Justice Minister Cho Kook’s crisis last year. The reproliferation of the infection by the new coronavirus (Corona 19) has lowered the attention of Minister Chu, and it is interpreted that the impact is less than that of the crisis in the homeland, where the couple of ministers appeared as key figures and were involved various suspicions of corruption such as property and entrance exams. The recent “support” of the Democratic Party in raising the level of coverage of Minister Chu is reported to have been based on the judgment that the suspicion was not likely to turn into a “second homeland situation.”
Despite Chu Mi-ae’s situation, President Wen and Democratic Party approval ratings ‘jam’
As a result of a public opinion poll conducted on August 8-10 after Gallup Korea’s suspicion of preferential military service surrounding Minister Chu’s son was raised, the positive assessment of President Moon’s state affairs performance Jae-in was counted as 46%, 1 percentage point more than the previous week. The negative rating was 45%. President Moon’s approval rating fell to a record low of 39% (53% negative rating) in the second week of August due to a flaw in real estate policy, then recovered due to the ‘Gwanghwamun rally’, recording the 40% median range for 4 consecutive weeks. In the poll conducted on the 8th and 10th, the party’s approval rate was 39% for the Democratic Party and 19% for the force of the people. In the second week of August, the gap between the approval ratings of the two parties (33% for Democrats, 27% for the force of the people) narrowed to the margin of error (± 3.1% points) and widened . On the 13th, a Gallup Korea official said, “We voiced Minister Chu’s suspicion as ‘the country’s second crisis,’ but the impact on public opinion is not as great as then.”
① Suspicion of Chumi-ae, who weakened the firepower of the crown
The reasons are complex. First of all, in August and September of last year, the crisis of the homeland served as a black hole that absorbed all the affairs of state affairs. Now it is different. The issue of the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19), such as social distancing in the ‘quasi 3rd stage’ of the metropolitan area and the payment of secondary emergency support in the event of disasters, is the highest priority. Professor Lee Jae-mook from Hankuk University of Foreign Studies said: “The most important thing for people right now is Corona 19 and the economy. The suspicion of Minister Chu is the next problem. “Even just before the general election of 4 · 15, the Corona 19 issue acted as a” black hole of the election “that absorbed various issues such as public welfare and suspicion of speech at the mayor of Ulsan.
② Motherland and Chumiae are different
It is also mentioned that the ‘political weight’ of Minister Chu and former Minister Cho is different. Cho, who was elected as the first senior Blue House official in the Moon Jae-in administration, took the lead in reforming the institutions of power as President Moon’s “reconsideration” and led the liquidation of redemption. In this process, he established himself as a symbol of the Moon Jae-in administration’s prosecution reform, and was mentioned as the next presidential candidate. At the time of the homeland crisis, the Republic of Korea split in the Gwanghwamun and Seocho-dong rally, calling for the resignation of former Minister Cho and the reform of the prosecution respectively. On the other hand, Minister Chu does not have a ‘fandom’ force or political symbolism. An opinion poll expert said: “The impact of a problem is directly proportional to the weight of the person.”
③’The suspicion was not true ‘, the learning effect of the homeland?
Finally, it is evaluated that the impact of the issue itself is weak compared to the situation in the homeland. At the time of the homeland crisis, general suspicions were raised about former Minister Cho’s family, including private equity funds, irregularities in private schools, and irregularities in children’s entrance exams. On the other hand, it is now a united front on the issue of the military service of Minister Chu’s son. A Gallup Korea official said: “There is a temperature difference between men and women due to military service. Negative public opinion is perceived among young men, while women do not change ”. A Democratic Party official said: “Former Minister Cho’s suspicions boiled over and the prosecution sought a widespread seizure, but it turned out that many of the suspicions were exaggerated now, a year later. ‘It’s showing up.’
Will the typhoon stop in the teacup?
In fact, it appears that the Democratic Party has determined internally that “the homeland and Chu Mi-ae are different,” and then launched an aggressive offensive over the accusations of Minister Chu’s son. However, experts warn that the attitude of the Democratic Party could rather stimulate public opinion and become a self-cultivation of the dissemination of issues. Tae-gon Yoon, head of The Moa’s Political Analysis Department, said: “People addressed the question of ’emotion’, such as ‘is it fair or not from South Korea?’, Suspecting the son of the Minister Chu. “We need an attitude of sincere reflection and reflection.”
Joonseok Park reporter [email protected]
Jo So-jin reporter [email protected]
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