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On the 11th, a public opinion poll was announced in which Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol ranked first in the approval rating for the upcoming presidential election.
Polling company Hangil Research, asked by Cookie News, of 1,022 voters over the age of 18 on 7-9, asked “Who do you support?” ) CEO and Lee Jae-myeong (18.4%) outperformed the Gyeonggi branch. Although within the margin of error, the fact that the incumbent attorney general ranked first in the polls for the presidential election was the first in the history of the constitution. (※ ± 3.1% points for the 95% confidence level of the error range. For more information, see the website of the Central Electoral Survey Deliberation Committee)
There is a phenomenon where Yoon, who was appointed by the Moon Jae-in government as the Attorney General and Attorney General of the Seoul Central District, stands as the leader of the opposition. In addition, he has not even said that he will dedicate himself to politics. However, on the explosive phenomenon of public opinion, it was diagnosed that “passport congestion and the incompetence of the opposition’s rights gave rise to ‘Sukyeol Yoon Syndrome'”.
Absorption of public opinion of the judgment of the current regime
In opposition The “anti-ammunition fighter Yoon Seok-yeol” (senior congressman of the People’s Power) is the first cause of the increase in approval ratings.Count as. President Yoon began to emerge as a symbolic figure opposing the current government due to an investigation last year against former Justice Minister Cho Kook, who is President Moon Jae-in’s closest friend, and his wife, the teacher. Chung Gyeong-shim from Oriental University.
On the 22nd of last month, the watershed moment when Yoon Seok-yeol, who had been confronted after the inauguration of Justice Minister Chu Mi-ae earlier this year, emerged as the “ presidential leader Yoon Seok -yeol ” was the Supreme Prosecutor’s Office audit on the 22nd of last month. At this meeting, President Yun made unstoppable comments such as “The word slander is the most decent word I can use” and “The Attorney General is not a subordinate of the Minister of Justice.” “Now, Seok-yeol Yoon will act as the strongest centrifugal force in the panopticon. His unstoppable responses, explosive gestures, and intense charisma that he displayed at the National Assembly were engaging enough, and the aftershocks won’t go away easily.” There was also a viewer review.
In particular, in the second half of the National Assembly, when asked, “Do you have any plans to politicize after your term?”, President Yoon replied, “I will think about how to serve the people after retirement.” .
In fact, President Yoon jumped to 15.1% in the R & Search poll from October 25-26, just after attending the national audit, and posted 17.2%, an increase of 6.7 points. percentage over the prior month in the Real Meter announcement on the 2nd, and achieved a 3rd round comp at a time. . Recently, there is an analysis that Minister Choo Mi-ae’s direct hit targeting Yoon paradoxically elevated politician Yoon Seok-yeol even higher. On the # 1 approval rating news that day, “It’s all thanks to Chu Mi-ae” (Jin Jung-kwon) “The stubbornness of Minister Chu and Ogi made Yoon No. 1”(Kim Geun-sik) said.
Reflective profit without alternative opposition
Until Yoon’s rise, the following position did not stand out clearly in the opposition, including the power of the people. Until shortly before the April general elections, Hwang Gyo-an, a former representative of the Future Integration Party (predecessor of the people’s power), ranked first among opposition competitors with an approval rating in the second half of the year. 10% range. From then until the beginning of October, independent legislator Hong Joon-pyo and Ahn Cheol-soo, representative of the National Assembly Party, recorded approval ratings in the single digits and, indeed, the disappearance of the ‘conservatives’ continued. .
This is a number that is much lower than Vito’s public opinion on the Moon administration (October 16, Gallup Korea, 39% of the opposition party’s preference for the next regime), “Dissatisfaction with Moon’s rule increased, but there was no other runner to capture him.It means “(Representative Jeong Jin-seok).
In fact, in the poll that day, President Yoon’s approval rate was the highest among supporters of the people’s force (62.0%). This means that conservatives view Yun as a “political vessel to contain anti-munitions public opinion.” Representative Kim Ki-hyun of the People’s Power said on his Facebook page that day: “I apologize for showing me the impotence of the opposition, who cannot be an alternative person.” Democratic Party lawmaker Chung Cheong-rae, who is the ‘opposite side’, commented on his Facebook page on the same day as President Yoon’s approval rating, saying: “It’s actually crazy for people’s power. . It makes the acorn candidates who are already fighting more messed up, ”he wrote.
Will he realize the ‘long-awaited Chungcheong theory’?
Another variable is ‘local’. As a result of the Hangil Research survey, Chungcheong was the highest with 33.8%, followed by Busan, Ulsan and Gyeongnam (30.4%), Daegu and Gyeongbuk (27.3%), Incheon and Gyeonggi (26, 4%) and Seoul (22.9%). . This is a different result than the expectation that it will be high in Yeongnam, mainly because supporters of the conservative parties (62.0% of the people’s force + 31.9% of the people’s party) responded well.
Chungcheong is the hot word that can interpret this. The popularly spoken passport candidates are from Honam (Lee Nak-yeon) or Yeongnam (Lee Jae-myeong). The opposition is also from Yeongnam (Ahn Cheol-soo, Hong Jun-pyo, Yoo Seung-min), or the metropolitan area (Oh Se-hoon) or Jeju (Won Hee-ryong). It means that Chungcheong is empty. President Yoon was born in Seoul, but his father, Ki-joong Yoon, a professor emeritus at Yonsei University, is home to Gongju, South Chungcheong Province. In politics, President Yoon is considered to be from Chungcheong.
Chung Jin-seok, a member of the people’s power in Gongju, Buyeo, and Cheongyang in Chungcheongnam-do, mentioned in the call that the people of Chungcheong, including Kim Jong-pil, Lee Hoi-chang, Lee In-je, Jung Un -chan and Ban Ki-moon, said: “I challenged the president but failed.The reason President Yoon’s approval rating is high in the Chungcheong area is because he views it as the same root along with his longing for the long-awaited Chungcheong theory.Said.
“Give up and go into politics”
First in Yoon Suk-yeol’s approval rating, the passport further increased the pressure. Minister Chu attended the plenary meeting of the Preliminary Committee of the National Assembly that day and said: “The person who should lead the prosecution in a neutral way is showing his political ambition and is taking the lead in the polls of presidential candidates.” The representative of the Democratic Party, Roh Woong-rae, said on Facebook: “The result of his policy of brandishing a sword called the prosecution with a mask of justice.”
However, there were not a few reactions within the passport as “shocking results”. The key Democratic Party official who requested anonymity was “There are many stories where it is difficult to understand why the approval rating is increasing, but nonetheless, it is bad news for the Democratic Party.“Said.
It is an atmosphere in which the power of the people cannot be unconditionally condemned. Within the power of the people, there were concerns that “the rise of President Yoon, who is not a member of the party, as a representative of the opposition, could lead to a weakening of the centripetal power of the party.” However, in an interview with Yonhap news agency on the same day, Kim Jong-in said, “Think about how President Yoon became number one, even though he was not a politician. People are so frustrated “he said,” it clearly shows what people want. ” .
Reporters Kwon Ho, Hyun Il-hoon, and Jeong Jin-woo [email protected]
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