Quarantine Authority “If the metropolitan area increases like now, there is a risk of an increase of 1.5 steps in 2-3 weeks”



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Rapid increase in confirmed cases … Risk of increasing social distancing step 1.5

Young-Rae Son, Head of the Strategic Planning Division, Central Accident Control Division. 20206.19 / News1 © News1

The quarantine authorities evaluated the spread of the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) as “in the case of the metropolitan area, if this gradual increase, it is judging that there is a risk of increase (social distancing step 1.5) after 2-3 weeks “.

In a subsequent briefing with reporters on the 10th, Son Young-rae, head of the Strategic Planning Division of the Ministry of Health and Welfare, said: “The number of domestic cases has gradually increased over the past four weeks, and the Infectious reproductive index has gone up and down 1 “.

The Infection Reproduction Index quantifies how many additional infected persons can be produced by transmission of the virus by a confirmed person. If the index is greater than 1, the number of infections increases rapidly as an additional infected person converts another infected person, but if it is less than 1, it is considered relatively controllable.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of Korea’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, at 0 o’clock on the 10th, there were 100 new confirmed cases of Corona 19, of which 71 were recently confirmed in Korea, excluding 29 overseas. From November 10 to November 10 (2 weeks), ’96 → 106 → 93 → 96 → 101 → 79 → 46 → 98 → 108 → 117 → 72 → 118 → 99 → 71 people. . Of the 71 domestic occurrences, 53 occurred in the metropolitan area.

The number of confirmed cases in the metropolitan area is ’61 → 93 → 72 → 77 → 81 → 62 → 36 → 84 → 72 → 72 → 51 → 79 → 61 → 53 ‘from October 28 to November 10.

The average number of confirmed cases per day in the last week in the metropolitan area was 67.4. Outside of the metropolitan area, Chungcheong logged an average of 14 people per day for a week. In the new remote reorganization plan, which was implemented from day 7, the daily average of 100 confirmed patients in the metropolitan area and 30 or more in the Chungcheong area for a week will increase to 1.5 steps.

“In the metropolitan area, the average number of confirmed patients per day for a week is around 70, and the Chungcheong area also comes and goes between 12 and 13, so the 1.5-step criterion is not met. The need to raise it to level 1.5 is less. “

Still, he added, “the number of confirmed cases in Korea is gradually increasing” and “the rate of spread is considered to be slightly faster than the lock and suppression rate.”

“If it gradually increases as it is now, there is a risk of a 1.5 step upgrade in 2-3 weeks. In order not to do that, we are trying to increase the suppression speed or suppress the lock “. Got it.”

(Seoul = News 1)

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