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The next elected US president, Joe Biden, won the presidential election, but is not legally “elected.” Strictly, it must go through an electoral vote on December 14 and approval by Congress on January 6 of next year.
In the case of a normal US presidential election, this process would have gone smoothly, but this year the situation is different. This is because President Donald Trump said, “This election is not over,” and demanded several trials and recounts. This is unlikely, but it could lead to a situation where the electoral vote fails and a new president must be elected in the House of Representatives.
● The count will only take two to three weeks.
Biden-elect confirmed victory 0.55 percentage points ahead of President Trump in Pennsylvania (20 voters) at 1 am (local time) on the 8th. Even in Nevada, where six electoral bodies are at stake, they beat the president Trump by a difference of 2.2 percentage points. So Biden secured the majority of the electoral body (279) regardless of the count results from Georgia, Arizona, which leads President Trump with a gap of 0.6 percentage points and 0.2 percentage points. The problem is that President Trump plans to demand a full count of these powers. In Wisconsin, the vote gap between candidates is within 1 percentage point and will be counted again, and Georgia, where the difference in the vote rate is only 0.2 percent, will also do so. Pennsylvania is required if the margin is less than 0.5 percentage points, and if requested by the candidate, counts are allowed. Considering Arizona (11), which the Associated Press and others classify as Biden’s victory, President Trump has to reverse the game in at least two states with a recount, but the chance is slim. In cases of past elections, even if the vote is re-counted, only a few hundred votes are corrected because the majority of current contestants are leading the biden by tens of thousands of votes. Georgia, which has the smallest margin, has also reached about 9,000 votes. The recount takes two to three weeks, so if it is long, the election results may not be officially confirmed until the end of this month.
● Pay attention to the “mail ballot invalidation” lawsuit
A bigger problem than the tally is the various lawsuits brought by President Trump. Currently, the Trump camp is taking several legal actions on the grounds that vote counting has been denied in the major states of competition. There is a lot of content that is difficult or circumstantial to directly influence the electoral results, such as “ people who are not qualified also voted ” and “ the Republican observer had difficulties in monitoring the counting process. ” Lawsuits filed in Michigan or Georgia have already been dismissed in state court. However, if multiple lawsuits reach the conservative Supreme Court, the story may change. In particular, the voting by mail part is sensitive. For example, on the 6th, the US Supreme Court ordered the Pennsylvania State Election Commission to separate and count mail-in votes that arrived after Election Day (3rd). In Pennsylvania, mail-in ballots were accepted on the 6th, and the number of mail-in ballots that arrived after the 3rd rose to 3,0004,000.
If each state fails to establish an electoral group by December 8 as required by federal law, as the recount or litigation process drags on, a completely unexpected situation can develop from this point on. If any candidate does not achieve the majority (270 people) due to the delay in the presentation of the electoral body of the contenders, the United States House of Representatives elects the president with a representative of the majority party of each state in accordance with Article 12 of the Amendment. There is a precedent in 1825 when the House of Representatives elected John Quincy Adams as president because there was no majority candidate.
Additionally, there is the possibility that President Trump may not step down if the necessary procedures are not completed before the new president takes office on January 20 of next year. Newsweek quoted experts: “The 20th Amendment requires that the presidential term end on January 20, and if he intends to stay afterwards, the Secret Service can expel him.” Biden Camp also said in a statement last weekend that “the US government has the perfect ability to get intruders out of the White House.”
New York = Yoo Jae-dong Correspondent [email protected] Go to reporter’s page>
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