Voting by Mail … Depends on “Greater Florida” Votes

◆ 2020 American Choice ◆

The counting for the US Presidential elections begins at 6:00 PM on the 3rd (8:00 AM Korean time 4). Not just the United States, but the whole world is interested in the results of this year’s presidential elections.

During the 2016 presidential election, at 2:30 a.m. the day after the election, President Donald Trump secured the majority of the electoral body of 270, ending the game. However, this year’s decision to win or lose may be delayed as the possibility of a late count arises, as well as a close game for the competition, which was four years ago.

In a video conference with foreign journalists on the 2nd, Professor Mina Boss of Hofstra University in New York said: “The moment when the winner is decided depends on the result of the competition, where the count ends first.” Said.

Among the 12 Gyeonghap states, the count starts first in Florida and Georgia. These two locations only accept same-day mail ballots, so mail-in votes are counted at 8pm. Subsequently, the on-site votes are counted and a conclusion is expected before midnight. Since vote-by-mail is counted first, Democratic Party candidate Joe Biden is expected to lead at first, and President Trump is expected to follow.

Florida has 9 million voters (64%) who already voted by mail and early on site for the second. Among them, 39% were Democrats, 38% were Republicans, and 22% were nonpartisan. There will likely be many Republicans in the day’s vote, but in the end, the votes of older and Latino voters are expected to influence the outcome.

If Biden wins in Florida and Georgia, he could break expectations and end this year’s presidential election with a “soft game.” Then at 7:30 pm, the states of North Carolina and Ohio begin counting. These two places accept votes by mail even if they arrive on the 12th and 13th respectively, so if it is an ultra-thin game, we cannot conclude. Of course, the winner can be determined if the count gap is greater than the difference between the pre-applicant to vote by mail and the vote by mail that has been counted. Starting at 8 o’clock, the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas, which received the most attention in this year’s presidential election, will begin counting. Starting at 9 o’clock, they will count Wisconsin, Arizona and Minnesota. Of these, Arizona will be counted relatively early.

If President Trump leads all of the southern racial states, the game will eventually come from Rustbelt, and the time to determine the winner is expected to increase. Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Rustbelt’s three biggest competitors, are late because they aren’t preparing for mail-in ballots.

In particular, the state of Pennsylvania accepts mail-in ballots that arrive before the 6th day. Of the 31.1 million voters who pre-requested a mail-in ballot in Pennsylvania, 2.41 million have reached the elections office.

The problem could be serious if President Trump leads the way in Pennsylvania by mail and field votes that arrive before Election Day and outnumber the majority of the electoral body (270) at the time of Pennsylvania’s victory. This is because President Trump will not admit that the results will be reversed in the future. However, it is expected that such a scenario will not be realized.

The day before the presidential election, the mainstream media and election experts predicted that candidate Biden would generally win. The New York Times (NYT) predicted that Biden would secure 351 voters if his polls were correct. Also, even if there is an error in the polls like in 2016, candidate Biden is expected to get a generous victory with 335 people.

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