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Voting for the 2020 US Presidential Election will take place on the 3rd. The results of the grand contest and the votes of women and elders are the key to deciding whether. With the largest number of voters in United States history voting early, there are also observations that it will take some time to confirm the winner. Reporter Lee Jo-eun reports.
Voting to elect the president who will lead the United States for four years starting next year will take place in 50 states and Washington, DC, beginning at 0 o’clock EST on the 3rd, Dixville Notch, a mountainous village in northeastern New Hampshire.
Dixville Notch’s so-called “midnight vote” follows the tradition of voting at midnight and going to work early in the morning when it was once a mining town.
For the rest of the region, voting begins sequentially from the eastern region according to the time established for each state. Voting deadlines are also carried out sequentially from the eastern region.
It will close from Virginia and Vermont at 7 p.m. ET, with all voting ending after midnight in Alaska and Hawaii, followed by western regions like California.
In this election, in addition to the four-year president, the Senate and the House of Representatives, the governor and the head of the local unit are newly elected at the same time.
The Senate, with a six-year term, will elect 35 seats, about a third of the 100 seats, and the House of Representatives will elect all 435 seats in this election.
Currently, the Senate is the majority with 53 Republican seats, and if the Democratic Party secures an additional four in this election, it will retake the Senate after 16 years since 2014.
If Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is elected, Democrats will take control of the Senate by securing three more seats.
Additionally, 165 new state offices will be elected in this election in 29 states, including the governor and lieutenant governor in 11 states, the attorney general in 10 states, and the secretary of the interior in 7 states.
The first factor that determined the choice of this presidential election was, above all, the result of the competition.
Meanwhile, US opinion polls and the media have run the biggest races in six states, including Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in the northern Rust Belt, where President Trump won the 2016 presidential election, and North Carolina, Florida and Arizona in the south of the Sunbelt. I put it.
In recent years, Texas and Georgia, which are the strongest Republican regions, are also classified as areas of competence, including Ohio and Iowa.
There are 101 constituencies in the top six contenders and 78 constituencies in the four states that have emerged as new contenders, with a total of 179 voters in these 10 states.
A candidate with a majority of 270 out of a total of 538 voters becomes president.
According to the results of the compilation of several opinion polls by the political analysis media ‘Real Clear Politics’, former Vice President Biden leads 2.7 percentage points from second in the fierce persecution of President Trump in the six main races .
Former Vice President Biden is in a close battle, with a 1 percentage point margin in Florida, which has the largest number of constituencies to date, at 2.9 percentage points, and a 2.9 percentage point margin in Pennsylvania, which has the following highest number of 20 voters.
Former Vice President Biden called for support in a campaign in Florida on the 29th of last month, saying, “If Florida turns blue (the Democratic Party), the game is over.”
[녹취: 바이든 전 부통령] “Right here in Florida, it’s up to you. You have the key. If Florida turns blue, it’s over. It’s over.”
In North Carolina, where the constituency is the third largest, President Trump backed down that day, leading by 0.6 percentage points.
Georgia, with 16 electoral votes, is a place where the Republican Party has never been defeated in a presidential election since 1992, and is considered a barometer of the public sentiment of Republican voters.
President Trump continues to draw strong support from low-income, low-educated white men in the suburbs, a key supporter who won the 2016 presidential election.
But this year, the support of women and older people in the suburbs is key.
This is because there are a number of polls among suburban women and voters 65 and older that indicate that former Vice President Biden’s approval rating is ahead of President Trump in double digits.
Therefore, how much Trump can keep his vote is an important factor in determining whether or not Trump’s re-election will be successful.
On the 13th of last month, President Trump appealed to suburban women for support in a campaign in Pennsylvania, saying, “Please, do I like me?”
[녹취: 트럼프 대통령] “So can I ask you to do me a favor? Women from the suburbs, could I like them? I saved your fucking neighborhood, okay?Among these, this year’s vote is recorded as the most previously voted election in US election history.
According to the ‘Project USA Election’, as of day 2, there were 96 million voters who took pre-voting, such as early voting at the place and voting by mail, which is two-thirds of the total number of votes. in the 2016 presidential election.
Mail by mail, which accounts for the majority of pre-voting, is more difficult to prepare for the count than voting in place, such as the self-verification process, and when the count begins varies from state to state. other.
Therefore, this year’s election results are forecast to be unlikely to be revealed until the evening of Election Day or dawn the following day.
This is the VOA News Lee Jo-eun.
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