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Crown Inspection Office in Madison, Wisconsin▶ Click here to enlarge the view
Ahead of the US presidential election on November 3 (local time), as the number of patients with novel coronavirus (Corona 19) infection increased in major contending states, attention is being drawn to the impact on last minute presidential elections.
According to the Washington Post (WP) and the New York Times (NYT) on the 31st (local time), the number of corona19 patients recently rose sharply in six key competing states that will determine the victory or defeat of the presidential election.
The key competitors are three states, including Pennsylvania (20 voters), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10) and Florida (29), North Carolina (15) and Arizona (11), called the ‘Rust Belt’ of the North. . ) And the southern ‘seat belt’.
According to NYT statistics, Pennsylvania had the highest number of 2499 new cases at 30 days, and Michigan (3434) and North Carolina (2812) also had the highest number of patients on a daily basis.
In Florida and Wisconsin, the number of new cases increased one day from September, topping the 5,000 mark, and in Arizona, the number of new infections has increased since mid-September.
Trump campaign supporters in Pennsylvania▶ Click here to enlarge the view
The political analysis agency ‘Cook Political Report’ (CPR) reports that in 13 states where President Donald Trump and Democratic Party presidential candidate Joe Biden are engaged in a close battle, an average of 21,000 new patients per day per week per day 3 out of 3 It was revealed that 11,000 cases (as of day 29) increased by 47% in two weeks.
The spread of the crown in competing states is interpreted to be disadvantageous to President Trump, who is in great last-minute chase.
“The more voters talk about the pandemic, the more Democrats turn out,” said Jan Rally, professor of political science at American University, an expert in turnout analysis.
In Wisconsin, where President Trump won the 2016 presidential election, the possibility was raised that a replay could slow down President Trump.
In Wisconsin over the past week, 225 people died from Corona 19, with one in 25 confirmed.
Barry Burden, director of the election analysis center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said: “There is a lot of dissatisfaction with public opinion as the number of Corona 19 cases is growing out of control.”
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden dons a mask▶ Click here to enlarge the view
There is also an analysis that the spread of the crown in the competitive state may affect voting in place on the day of the presidential election.
“As the risk of corona infection increases, contending state voters may choose to avoid voting rather than be exposed to the risk of the virus,” predicted the WP.
This is bad news for Trump’s group, who expect to vote at the site on presidential election day.
However, since Democratic supporters are more sensitive to information from Corona 19, the turnout of voters supporting Biden may also decline.
NYT said that the increase in COVID-19 infection cases in the contending states “is creating more uncertainty about how voters should vote and who votes.”
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