[ad_1]
▲ The Associated Press captures the pre-voting fever in Texas, USA. | |
Ⓒ AP |
See related photos |
With the US presidential election only three days to go, the pre-voting fever is exploding.
According to major foreign media such as AP and CNN, about 84 million people from across the United States participated in the preliminary vote on the 30th (local time). This is more than 60% of the total for the 2016 presidential elections.
In Texas, more than 9 million votes have been voted so far, and the record was unprecedented, surpassing the total number of votes in the 2016 presidential election (about 8.89 million) by early vote alone.
Texas, which is very conservative, has traditionally been a strong Republican area and has 38 electoral votes, the second largest in the United States after California (55).
Republican candidates have been victorious except for the victory of Democratic candidate Jimmy Carter in the 1976 presidential election, and President Donald Trump, who was also a Republican candidate in the 2016 presidential election, defeated the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton by 9 points. percentage.
However, in recent years, as the influx of Democrat-oriented populations such as Asia, Hispanics, and Blacks has steadily increased, an analysis shows that conservative trends have faded.
In addition, Texas is an area where the new coronavirus (Corona 19) is severely affected in the United States, so an analysis that the disappointment for President Trump is even greater.
Former Texas Congressman Beto O’Lourck of the Democratic Party emphasized that “Texas residents saw Trump’s incompetence while suffering from the coronavirus outbreak.”
According to the average of major Real Clear Politics (RP) polls, in Texas, Trump’s approval rating is 48%, higher than Democrat Joe Biden’s 45.7%, but the gap is only 2, 3 percentage points.
Considering that California, which has the most electoral bodies, is a strongly liberal Democratic garden with 29 electoral bodies, and Florida is the third-largest contender, so no one can guarantee victory, President Trump must capture Texas.
If you win in Florida, a runner, but give both California and Texas, President Trump has virtually no odds.
The Associated Press predicted that “Texas voters who participated in the pre-vote are often not affiliated with a specific political party, so it is not possible to analyze which candidates will be advantageous, but an increase in turnout may be a sign of change. “.
“Texas was once the area that the Republican Party believed in the most, but now it is a racial state and the two candidates are in a fierce battle,” he explained.