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Biden vs. Trump, will a ‘catastrophe’ happen?
Q. The highest pre-vote rate in history … What is local public opinion in the United States?
A. Five thirty-eight poll average, Biden 51.6%, Trump 43.2%
A. Biden’s Leadership in Most Polls
Republican-leaning A. Rasmussenmann Trump is 1% ahead
Q. A winner-take-all structure for the US presidential election … Does the national vote make no sense?
A. In the 2016 election, Trump 46% and Hillary 48% share
A. The number of voters is 304 Trump and 227 Hillary
A. In general, if the national votes are overwhelming, they will lead the state as a whole.
A. Impossible for the US General Presidential Election.
A. There are states where democratic and republican trends differ markedly by state.
A. Trial of some Park Bing states … Most of the election campaigns are also concentrated in Park Bing State.
Q. Wisconsin mail-order voting cannot be extended … Will it act as a variable?
A. Many have already voted early … Only a few votes will be affected
A. Wisconsin Biden Survey Average + 9.1%
A. Early voting of 66 million US citizens … 8 million by 2016
A. According to the data, the first voters 48% Democrats and 29% Republicans
A. Trump Comments On Suspicious Mail Voting, Republicans Will Vote Same Day
A. Suspicious Trump comments by mail can be used to override results in the future.
P. Few organizations predict Trump’s victory … What is the basis?
A. Trafalgar Group, “Who are your neighbors likely to vote for?” survey
A. Five Thirty Eight compares and evaluates the statistical reliability of various polling institutions
A. Trafalgar reviews 48 polls … Hit rate 75%, Republicans biased + 0.9%
A. Rasmussen reviews 722 polls … 78% hit rate, Republicans skewed + 1.5%
A. Trump’s support is on the rise, but most of them are ahead of Biden.
A. Biden said the results would be closer than the poll.
Q. Piracy of Trump’s election camp site … Another bad news?
R. It should not affect much … Already many votes
A. News That Are More Concerned About US Government Hacking Than Election Campaign Informatics
Q. What will be the impact on the economy when both candidates are elected?
A. In general, Biden is belligerent with the stock market, the economy and Korea.
A. Trump’s stock market grows high during his tenure … Due to low interest rates in the US.
A. I think interest rate / currency policy will be a more important variable in the stock market
A. Biden will be more stable in the real economy
Q. Will there be variables in North Korean politics when Biden is elected?
A. Biden is similar to Obama’s policy … There will be no personal diplomacy like Trump
A. It is unknown whether it will be positive or negative.
The Catholic University of Korea, Professor Junseok Yang, Department of Economics by Maeil Business TV
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