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Suspicion of vacation preference for Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae’s son has continued for more than two weeks, but President Moon Jae-in’s approval rating in his early 20s, which was investigated by Gallup Korea , continued to increase. As a result of President Moon’s job evaluation, the positive evaluation dropped 1 percentage point, but that of the 20 increased 9 percentage points.
There are voices that say that the political indifference in the 20s, the difference between what the media mentions and the real public opinion in their 20s, and the fact that the facts on the subject of the child’s preferential holidays have not been revealed by Choo.
On the other hand, the Real Meter survey results showed a significantly greater contrast in the negative evaluation than in the positive evaluations for the 20-year-old presidents. Gallup Korea and Realmeter have significantly different survey methods, and Gallup Korea explained that it could be the result of the difference in survey methods.
According to the results of the poll released by Gallup Korea on the 18th, when asked whether or not President Moon Jae-in was performing well in the past 15-17 years, more than 1,000 people over the age of 18 were asked. if President Moon Jae-in was performing well, and 45% rated positive and 45% negative. Others reserved their opinions (Neither 4%, Don’t know / Rejected 5%).
The affirmation rate for the president’s job fell 1 percentage point from last week, and the negative rate was unchanged. By age, the positive and negative rates were 50% and 37% for 18-29 years (’20’), 52% and 38% for 30, 52% and 43% for 40, 43% and 50 for 50.%, 36% and 54% of people aged 60 and over.
The most prominent age group is in the twenties. The positive assessment in the 1920s rose 9 percentage points from 41% last week to 50%. Both men and women have increased significantly. Jang Deok-hyun, a researcher at Gallup Korea, said in Media Today and over the phone this week that the positive and negative rates for men in their 20s are 40% and 45%, respectively, and 60% and 29% for women. This is the result of a 14 percentage point increase from 26% last week for men in their twenties. This is a big difference compared to the 3 percentage point increase for women. However, it should also be noted that the sample is small (147 people) and the error rate is large. Researcher Jang Deok-Hyun said, “The number of men has increased compared to last week.” There were less than 100 people, so the error rate was ± 10% ”. This means that there can be a difference of up to 20%.
By solidarity party, 79% of supporters of the Democratic Party were positive and 86% of supporters of popular power were negative. The negativity rate was also ahead of the shamans (30% positive, 53% negative).
Positive raters (453 people, free responses) are reasons for ‘coping with Corona 19’ (38%), ‘I’m good overall’ (10%), ‘Do my best / do my best’ (6%) and ‘Expand wellness’. (4%) in that order.
The negative evaluators (455) were ‘personnel problems’ (17%), ‘general lack’ (12%), ‘real estate policy’ (10%) and ‘lack of resolution of economic / popular problems’ (9%), ‘Insufficient coping with Crown 19’ (8%), ‘Derotic / Unilateral / Partially’ (7%) and ‘Unfair / Normal’ (5%).
Unlike Gallup Korea’s 20-year poll results, Real Meter polled and announced the results for a week, and the 20-year was very negative for President Moon. In a poll published by Realmeter on the 14th (YTN), the 20-something president showed 36.6% “I’m fine” and 54.1% “I’m wrong.” It was wrong ’53, 8%.
On the 18th, Deok-Hyun Jang, a member of Gallup Korea, said, “It is better to see the details on a monthly basis, and it is better to refer only to trends.” “There is not a big difference between last week and this time.”
When the suspicion of Chu Mi-ae’s son’s preferential vacation lasts more than two weeks without missing a day, when asked why the support of the president, who is a man and woman in their twenties, does not decline, the President Jang said: “It may be a little different from the real one.” It is not so much, and the interest in political issues may not be as great as expected ”. Commissioner Jang said, “You may be less interested than what is mentioned in the press,” he said. “It is constantly on the move, there are many shamans and it does not respond immediately to political problems, so it may not coincide with what the media thinks.” C.
When asked if the analysis that the accusation of Minister Chu’s son is more widespread than that of former Justice Minister Cho Kook, he said: “It is valid until this week,” and said: “I have to see what is happening in the future”. “They are bringing up a lot of personnel issues.” He said: “However, criticism on personnel issues increases only for negative evaluators, and can change dramatically depending on how the events unfold,” he said. “As negative raters and positive raters continue to have different opinions on the minister’s son issue, you can see it.”
Regarding why the survey results are different from Real Meter, Commissioner Jang said, “The results may be different because the survey methods are basically different. In the data collection process, when the content is verified, cross-analysis is possible and only enough samples can be viewed with stability. “Commissioner Jang added:” However, public opinion about the president in his twenties is not very good on trend compared to other age groups, “he added.” The poll was high this week only. “Gallup Korea uses a telephone interview survey and 90% of the Real Meter uses the telephone answering machine (ARS) method. .
Meanwhile, as a result of the poll, the Gallup Korea political party map was followed by 36% for the Democrats, 33% for the shaman without a supporting party, 20% for the people’s power, 4% for the Party of Justice and 3% for the National Party and the Open Democratic Party. The sum of other political parties is 1%. Compared to last week, Gallup Korea analyzed that the Democratic Party fell 3 percentage points and the shamans increased 4 percentage points, making it the largest since the April general election.
By political orientation, 67% of the Liberals and 46% of the Conservatives said they support the force of the people. The political parties supported by the middle class were 37% of the Democratic Party, followed by 17% of the force of the people, and 35% did not respond to the party that supported it. The percentage of shamans by age was the highest at 55% in their 20s.
The following is an overview of the results of the Gallup Korea presidential job evaluation survey.
Survey Summary
-Survey period: September 15-17, 2020
-Sampling: random sampling of mobile phone RDD sample frames (including 15% of domestic phone RDD)
-Response method: interview with telephone investigator
-Objective of the survey: 1,000 people over 18 years of age throughout the country
-Sampling error: ± 3.1% points (95% confidence level)
-Rate of response: 16% (1,000 of 6,201 completed calls)
-Client: Gallup Korea’s own investigation
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