The lowest in a month in the metropolitan area, down to 2.25 steps? … Experts say “the risk of infection remains”



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The government announces the direction of 2.5 steps in the metropolitan area at 4:30 pm today
Fewer than 100 new patients in 30 days … Freelancers are also burdened
An average of 120 new confirmed cases has been maintained in the metropolitan area during the last two weeks
Sporadic group infection continues … ‘Unknown route of infection’ in the 20% range
60-year-old high-risk patients also increased … Infection in nursing hospitals also affects
Expert “Considering the Chuseok Climate … Present Detailed Quarantine Rules”

On the 13th, when it is decided whether to extend the 2.5 steps of social distancing in metropolitan areas such as Seoul, Gyeonggi and Incheon, the government is expected to ease some of the distancing measures.

However, among infectious disease experts, many respondents say that even if it degrades to the distant ‘stage 2.25’, risk factors for infection still exist throughout the community, and premature mitigation is premature.

The experts cited the fact that the proportion of confirmed patients whose route of infection is unknown as a risk factor is in the range of 20%, the upcoming Chuseok and cold weather. They emphasized that even if the government reduces the distance, it must provide detailed quarantine rules for each location and occupation.

According to the corona19 outbreak in Korea at 0 a.m. on the Korean Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (DMI) day, the number of new confirmed cases in Korea increased by 60 in the metropolitan area and 39 in the area. not metropolitan. It fell to double digits. Since it clocked 155 at midnight on August 15, there have been more than 100 people since then. On the 27th of last month, it peaked at 434, and after falling to 188 at midnight on September 3, it held 100 people for 10 days. It fell to the lowest level 31 days after its appearance.

To prevent the spread of Corona 19 in the metropolitan area, the government implemented the 2.5 distance step from the 30th of last month. The period to the 6th of this month was also extended by a week, and the level of risk was assessed before this weekend to determine whether to extend again.

With the added extension, the economic damage to small freelancers is inconvenient. Business owners and interest groups such as indoor sports facilities, academies, and computer cafes that have restricted or banned businesses have begun to publicly declare that the government’s restrictions are excessive.

However, some point out that it is premature to assume that the Corona 19 spread indicator has stabilized when the distance is reduced to 2 or less.

If you look at the current situation in the metropolitan area during the last 14 days from midnight on the 31st of last month until today, the number of new confirmed cases averages 120.4.

The trend also repeats up and down. It peaked from 183 on August 31 to 187 on September 2, then fell to 78 on the 7th, however, it rose again to 98 on the 8th and 100 on the 9th, followed by 98 on the 10th, 116 on the 11th, 86 on 12 and 60 on 13.

Group infections that occur sporadically throughout the metropolitan area also increase the burden on quarantine authorities. As of the 12th, the day before, 23.4% of confirmed cases of infection continue to exceed 20%, which makes it difficult to alleviate social distancing.

In Gyeonggi-do, out of 27 domestic outbreaks, 4 people related to the Icheon-si Elderly Day Center and 2 people related to the online mountain coffee gathering were confirmed. There were also three confirmed patients whose route of infection was unknown.

In addition, 4 out of 10 new patients in the last 3 days belong to high-risk groups over 60 years of age, and group infections continue in facilities vulnerable to infection, such as hospitals and nursing homes.

Patients are also increasing at Sinchon Severance Hospital in Seodaemun-gu, Seoul and Saebom Nursing Hospital in Gyeyang-gu, Incheon. Among patients confirmed for 2 weeks, the number of patients that occurred in hospitals and nursing hospitals increased from 46 until 0:00 a.m. on day 7 to 81 as of 0:00 a.m. on day 11, an increase of almost 1.8 times in 4 days.

Experts feared that easing the distancing step in such a situation could lead to further infection.

Kim Woo-joo, professor of infectious medicine at Korea University Guro Hospital, said: “There is a possibility that the government will also lower the level from the current level 2.5, but it will be reduced to about two and a quarter.” There is, and I did it for two weeks with 2.5 steps, but the contents are not well controlled “.

Prof. Kim continued: “Of course, there is no guarantee that the economy will recover just by reopening the restaurant and cafe business which has restricted some operations. After all, due to the economy, the number of patients is increasing and the economy deteriorates as the stage goes up. ” This is meant to drive, ”he added.

Eun-mi Chun, professor of respiratory medicine at Ewha Women’s University Mokdong Hospital, said: “The meeting refrained from meeting due to improved distance and public fear of infection spread through cases of infection in apartments, workers and taxis. She said that “there are still risk factors like N-th infection through previous infections and community infections continue to show up.”

In particular, he emphasized that the Chuseok variables and cold weather should be considered as an important consideration when adjusting the distance stage.

Professor Chun said: “I am concerned that young people with many asymptomatic and mild patients go to see their parents in Chuseok because they can transmit the infection to the elderly.” “The government will not issue an order to restrict movement, but unless absolutely necessary, it is. You have to be careful not to go.”

Professor Kim said: “The second distance stage in summer and the second distance stage in fall are different. The variable of the climate is an advantage in summer, but it can be a limiting point when the weather turns colder. “In summer, the survival period of the virus is short due to high temperature and humidity, and there are many outdoor activities, but in winter a lot of indoor and ventilation” Because it is less than before, it creates a favorable environment for viral survival “.

There were also voices that the government should clearly present detailed quarantine rules for each location and occupation, even if the distancing step is facilitated.

Professor Chun said: “Even if it is implemented in the direction of easing the operational restrictions of PC cafes, coffee shops, restaurants, etc., it is essential to strengthen quarantine regulations.” You have to prepare and report ”.

“For example, in a PC room where a mouse and keyboard are used together, it is necessary to prepare detailed rules such as washing hands cleanly, wearing disposable gloves when using them, and disinfecting them thoroughly after use.” “Since there are many situations where we speak face to face with the other person, we must establish rules such as using only the table for one person and leaving a distance of at least 1 meter.”

The government is scheduled to hold a meeting of the Security and Disaster Countermeasures Headquarters (Company) chaired by Prime Minister Jeong Sye-gyun at 3 p.m. on the same day and consider whether to extend or adjust 2.5 steps of distance in the metropolitan area. . The results will be announced directly at 4:30 pm on the same day as First Deputy Head of Writing, Park Neung-hoo, Minister of Health and Welfare.

When evaluating the distance, the reproduction index, the proportion of confirmed cases of unknown infection route and the proportion of management in the quarantine network for the last two weeks are considered. At the same time, the government is also reviewing the ‘third method’ considering the burden on the self-employed and the effectiveness of preventing the spread.

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