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While the UN Security Council has not followed up on North Korea’s launch of short-range ballistic missiles, US experts feared that the repeated lukewarm responses could provoke provocations. However, with regard to specific measures, there is also a caution that the situation should be handled by strengthening solidarity between alliances and the military readiness rather than an excessive response. Reports from reporter Bae Sung-won.
While private UN Security Council discussions on the launch of a ballistic missile in North Korea ended without a statement, there are mixed opinions on the level of response in Washington.
After the short-range cruise and ballistic missile tests, there were concerns that North Korea should not give additional provocations to North Korea, which is toying with submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) and ICBM cards. (ICBM).
Experts who called for a hardline response saw the launch as a tactical attempt to respond to reactions from the United States and others, and feared that the lack of a firm response would encourage high-level weapons testing.
Anthony Lugiero, a senior fellow at the Foundation for the Protection of Democracy (FDD), who served as the senior director of the White House National Security Council (NSC), non-proliferation and biochemical defense, told the VOA that “Kim Jong-un is testing whether the Biden administration will be responsible for launching the missile. “
[앤서니 루지에로 FDD 선임연구원] North Korea’s missile launches are a test for the Biden administration. Kim Jong Un is trying to determine whether the new administration will impose consequences. The latest launches violated UN Security Council Resolutions and the United States, with its allies South Korea and Japan, should condemn the launch and enact sanctions targeting North Korea’s missile program. “He urged: “Since North Korea’s recent missile launch violates UN Security Council resolution, the United States should condemn launch activity with South Korea and Japan and impose sanctions targeting Korea’s missile program. North”.
Researcher Lugiero predicted: “If North Korea does not pay the price of the missile launch, Kim Jong-un will raise the bar with the launch of an ICBM.”
[앤서니 루지에로 FDD 선임연구원] “If there are no consequences for North Korea’s missile launches, then Kim will escalate to ICBM launches.”Earlier, at a meeting convened on the 30th at the request of five European countries, including France, the United Kingdom, Norway, Ireland and Estonia, it was reported that several countries had raised concerns about the North Korean launch, but no countermeasures were taken. as the adoption of a declaration came out.
An official from the State Department spokesman’s office said on the 31st, avoiding an immediate response to the VOA’s question about the UN’s passive response. We want to provide the information we have obtained. “
[국무부 대변인실 관계자] “We and our allies intend to provide the Panel of Experts with government information to support its investigation into the ballistic missile launches.”Regarding the lukewarm response from the international community, Ralph Kosa, honorary president of the Pacific Forum, who served as special assistant to the United States Pacific Commander, said: “North Korea is testing not only President Biden. but also to Korea, China and the UN Security Council. “” If you do not respond, it will give you a signal that you will not be punished for committing these crimes. “
[랠프 코사 태평양포럼 명예회장] “North Korea is testing not only Biden, but also ROK, China, and UNSC. Not responding tells them that they can get away with such violations all the time. “In the midst of this, the ambassador of the United States delegation to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, announced that the North Korea issue will be discussed again at the UN Security Council level in a press conference to inform the results of the circuit president at the United Nations headquarters. In New York.
Experts say North Korea will be watching “punishment” thefts to see if the international community has responded, but noted that the end goal of successive missile launches is advances in weapons technology that have continued for decades.
Thomas Countryman, Undersecretary of State for International Security and Non-Proliferation of the US Department of State, said: “All launches and missile test times from North Korea are not considered some kind of message, signal or challenge to the United States. “. it was carried out in accordance with the internal logic of the development program. “
[토머스 컨트리맨 전 국무부 차관 대행] “I do not believe that all of the DPRK’s missile tests, and the timing of those tests, is intended to be a message, a signal, or a challenge to the United States. The DPRK’s missile tests have been conducted for years, largely in accordance with the internal logic of the missile development program. ““It is a threat to Korea and Japan when you look at the range of this missile,” said former Deputy Minister Countryman. “The United States and South Korea should refrain from overreacting.” “It is the right thing to do to show that the US-Korea-Japan alliance is strong and can respond strongly to any attack,” he explains. “We must do it through military preparation, not just with words.”
[토머스 컨트리맨 전 국무부 차관 대행] “Neither the United States nor the Republic of Korea should overreact. Missiles in this range are a threat to both the Republic of Korea and Japan. The correct answer is to demonstrate, not only with words, but with preparation for defense, that the alliance between the United States, the Republic of Korea and Japan is strong and capable of responding vigorously to any aggression. “Meanwhile, in Washington, although the capabilities and ranges of the missiles that North Korea has intensively tested are optimized for targeting South Korea, it is noted that the South Korean government is delaying North Korean missile activities. as a matter between the United States and North Korea. . The South Korean government must not mislead North Korea’s missile test launch as a threat to the United States, but rather demonstrate a more determined willingness to respond.
Ian Williams, deputy director of the missile defense project at the Institute for National Strategic Studies (CSIS), said in a telephone interview with the VOA earlier that successive North Korean missile test launches were all with a war against South Korea in mind. it neutralized the radar with cruise missiles. The ‘mix and shoot’ strategy of firing ballistic missiles is very dangerous, ”he predicted.
[녹취: 이언 윌리엄스 CSIS 미사일 방어 프로젝트 부국장] “What’s really dangerous is the prospect of using ballistic and cruise missiles in tandem, using cruise missiles to hit radars (air defense radars, missile defense radars) and then you blind them and then you go on with ballistic missiles. And because it has removed the radar, it cannot see what it is shooting at, it cannot activate the ballistic missiles that follow. ““Without radar, interceptor missiles are useless, so the dual ability to combine ballistic and cruise missiles weakens South Korea’s missile defense network and makes North Korea’s attack more accurate,” was a technical assessment.
The ROK military initially identified the range of the ballistic missile launched last month 25 to be 450 km, but the North Korean Labor newspaper reported that the missile flew 600 km. This means that all of Korea is in hitting range.
Ralph Kosa, honorary chairman of the Pacific Forum, criticized that “Korea should also urge the UN Security Council to respond strongly,” but “Korea will ignore this launch and hope that President Biden and others will ignore it.”
[랠프 코사 태평양포럼 명예회장] “It should seek stronger sanctions from the UNSC. He will probably bury his head in the sand and hope that Biden and others will ignore him. ““South Korea cannot afford to ignore North Korean missile launches,” said Christopher Hill, former undersecretary of state for East Asian and Pacific Affairs.
[녹취: 크리스토퍼 힐 전 국무부 차관보] “They cannot afford to ignore it. I think they will be based on some kind of general talking points, but I don’t think they will use it as an event to promote politics because that only rewards North Koreans for bad behavior. “Former Undersecretary Hill noted, “However, South Korea will not use this launch as an event to advance its policy towards North Korea (participation),” he said. “It could result in rewarding North Korea’s bad behavior.”
This is the news from VOA, Baek Sung-won.
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