“Abandoning the Presidential Elections” Seoul Mayor Election by Ahn Chul-soo … Dilemma



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The Seoul mayor’s by-election, which is considered the climax of the 4 · 7 re-election, broke out on the 20th of last month. While the main candidates postponed declaring their candidacy, Ahn Chul-soo, the head of the National Assembly Party, shouted “Abandon presidential power and unify the opposition.” The opposition parties were well aware of the emergence of Ahn, who in the past had been supported by the middle class.

Who is the mayor of Seoul?
Ruling party prepares Park Young-seon for Woo Sang-ho
Shots · Real Estate · Won-soon Park… Not a good public sentiment
Consolidation of support groups in the face of medium-scale expansion concerns

Opposition, Ahn Cheol-soo, the power of the people
Lee Jong-gu and Lee Hye-hoon declared successive races
Pay attention to whether Na Kyung-won and Oh Se-hoon will team up

與 paying attention to the contest

Small and Medium Venture Business Minister Park Young-sun (left) and Democratic Party member Woo Sang-ho (right).  Yunhap news

Small and Medium Venture Business Minister Park Young-sun (left) and Democratic Party member Woo Sang-ho (right). Yunhap news

In the Democratic Party, there are no additional candidates for the 20th day since Representative Sang-ho Woo first ran for office. As for the party, it is also burdensome to raise the electoral climate in the midst of the dissemination of Corona 19.
Seoul Mayor Kim Min-seok appeared on the broadcast on the 30th of last month, “I start registering candidates at the end of January. Candidates will be confirmed through nominations after New Year’s Day. “He said: “Since the Corona 19 situation is not easy, I wonder if people will not have enough time to pay attention to the contest until the beginning of January.”

The key to the electoral strategy that the ruling party is struggling with is which point to choose between rallying supporters and expanding midway. Park Seong-min, CEO of Political Consulting Min, said: “The Democratic Party has seen the effect of gathering supporters in the last four national elections. It won’t be much different this time because he has a certain plan A. ” However, in the party, “the general flow of public sentiment cannot be seen as good,” citing the fact that the election was held for reasons attributable to former Mayor Park Won-soon and the Crown 19, the real estate problem . Concerns have also been expressed that attention should be paid to targeting the middle class ”(re-election in the metropolitan area).

About Park Young-sun, Minister of SMEs and Startups, who conducts the number one poll at the polls, there is a saying that “some have already set up camps and started preparing underwater.” However, he said he was before he was convinced. In his passport, he sees the possibility of running. A party official said: “If I make the decision to run, I will resign as business minister in the medium term and naturally I will participate in the contest.”

Public opinion survey of suitability of the Seoul mayoral candidate.  Graphic = Reporter Kim Kyung-jin capkim@joongang.co.kr

Public opinion survey of suitability of the Seoul mayoral candidate. Graphic = Reporter Kim Kyung-jin [email protected]

Representative Park Ju-min will also officially announce his position soon. Observations are being made that they will not be executed in consideration of Congressman Woo, who is equipped with organizational power, and Secretary Park, who has a leading approval rating. In a recent radio interview, he said: “It doesn’t seem polite to turn it off anymore. I’ll tell you as soon as possible. ”

In addition to these, the possibility of becoming a ‘third candidate’ is also mentioned. Lim Jong-seok, former chairman of the presidential secretary, is also one of the discussed figures. However, his assistant ruled out the possibility of running and said, “We support Sang-ho Woo.” Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae is also mentioned as a candidate, but it is also said that he is not interested in the mayor of Seoul. Minister Chu, a former party leader, is said to be more interested in his role in the upcoming presidential elections than the mayor of Seoul.

The Democratic Party proposed an “unconditional primary” as a principle. MatureA political consultant who loved Myeong said, “It seems like there is a great possibility of a two-way match between Park Young-seon and Woo Sang-ho, or Park Young-sun, Woo Sang-ho, and Park Ju-min. Representative Woo is trying to mobilize a strong supporter by insisting on “party unification of the party” with Open Democratic Party candidate Kim Jin-ae.

The big top 野

Former Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon (left) and Na Gyeong-won, former member of the People's Power.  Yunhap news.

Former Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon (left) and Na Gyeong-won, former member of the People’s Power. Yunhap news.

The biggest variable in opposition was Ahn Cheol-soo. He is waging a war of nerves above and below the surface of the force of the people. In an interview with Munhwa Ilbo on December 30, Ahn said: “It is negative.” I am not stubborn with myself. When I look at the electorate, I have doubts whether I can win the election that way. On the same day, Kim Jong-in, chairman of the National Power Emergency Response Committee, argued that Ahn’s only candidate for the opposition opposition, “It has nothing to do with our mission. Representative Ahn’s unification looks like a request to unify himself. ”

The force of the people is relatively dedicated to accommodating the middle class. It is because of the analysis that the possibility of the center vote in the metropolitan area shifted towards the opposition party due to the election of Ahn and former Democratic Party legislator Geum Tae-seop. The match official “This time, we must get the public sentiment of the angry middle class government judge ‘I will not shoot the Democratic Party,'” he said. “It’s still difficult to conclude, but I see the recent reversal in the party’s approval ratings as a positive sign.”Said.

Reflecting expectations, there are several candidates who have already declared their candidacy.

Ahn Chul-soo, Chairman of the National Assembly Party.  Yunhap news

Ahn Chul-soo, Chairman of the National Assembly Party. Yunhap news

Former lawmakers Lee Jong-gu, Lee Hye-hoon, Kim Seon-dong, and Oh Shin-hwan, Professor Kim Geun-sik, Cho Eun-hee, Seocho-gu Mayor, and Songpa-gu former Mayor Park Chun-hee, they are actively moving after declaring their candidacy for mayor of Seoul. Among them, former legislator Lee Jong-gu said in a call with JoongAng Ilbo on the 31st: “There is a long time until the next election, and the approval rating that appears now can change at any time.” As it is a task, I will do the best I can in the candidate contest highlighting the merit of being an expert in economics ”.

Former Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon and former legislator Na Gyeong-won, whose possibility of running is being discussed, are playing with the vote. In a recent interview with JoongAng Ilbo, former lawmaker Na said: “It doesn’t mean that CEO Ahn is number one (current poll). Not only is he within the margin of error, but if you add up the approval ratings of the party’s candidates, he is much higher than Ahn. Mayor Oh also said, “CEO Ahn is in a hurry. I will make a decision in the new year. ”Furthermore, the rumors of former Grand National Party legislator Hong Jung-wook have not completely faded away.

It is analyzed that the victory or defeat of the conservative camp depends on whether it is possible to unify the pan-opposition for the establishment of a ‘single lease’, and how much antagonism and bleeding within the opposition can be reduced in the process. Various scenarios are discussed, from the argument that CEO Ahn should join the people inside and outside the power of the people, the unification of the opposition after the internal contest and the conservative contest of consolidation of the big tent. In this regard, Representative Jeong Jin-seok, who served as chairman of the party’s mission committee, said: “It is a strict order of the people to choose the best candidate with the highest victory rate.”

Reporters Saerom Sim and Gukhee Son [email protected]




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