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| Small and Medium Enterprises Minister Park Young-sun (left) and Na Kyung-won, former member of the Future Integration Party. © News1 Designer Lee Ji-won |
On the 28th, the re-election of the mayors of Seoul and Busan next year will be brought forward 100 days. Another name for this election is ‘mini presidential election’. It is because winning or losing may dominate the 2022 presidential elections. Both the ruling and opposition parties view the 4 · 7 re-party as an irreversible party point. In addition, the Democratic Party aims to recreate the regime and the power of the people for the judgment of the regime.
Not only the political status of the election, but also the ‘theory of judgment’ of the voters in Seoul and Busan is the hallmark of this election. As this election fills vacant seats due to the sex scandal of the late Seoul Mayor Park Won-soon and Busan Mayor Oh Geo-don, the ruling party is demanding an innovation that has changed. Raising the bar of ethics in response to the deep disappointment of voters in Seoul, the capital, and Busan, the second city, is also one of the top priorities for both sides.
The ruling and opposition parties are predicting a head-to-head showdown for good luck, but reality is less than will.
There is still a new character, a composition that will cause wind, and a message that captures the hearts of the people. The opposition party is experiencing character difficulties as Ahn Chul-soo, the representative of the National Assembly Party, who is running for mayor of Seoul for the third time, is the main actor of the opposition party. .
The same is true of the Democrats, since the candidate is not new. Democratic Party lawmaker Woo Sang-ho, who had previously been mentioned as candidates for Small and Medium Business Minister Park Young-seon, and Bae Bae-jin, who did not run for the upcoming general election, already had a record of defying the mayor of Seoul.
As it is not a situation in which both parties and parties can compete as characters, it appears that more power is given to the “regime trial theory”.
This is because there are numerous issues that are unfavorable for the regime, such as the real estate problem, the third Corona 19 pandemic (a new coronavirus infection), and the controversy over obtaining a vaccine, in the situation where the original cause of the prosecution reform vanished in the ‘Chumiae-Yoon Seok-yeol conflict’.
The first shakeup, which was aimed at changing the phase, was also ignited by controversy at the end of the past by candidate Byeon Chang-heum of the Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. Furthermore, the controversy over the presidential ‘Lame Duck’ spread when the disciplinary action of Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, who was the first of the constitutional issues, was blocked by the court. As for the passport, it was a crisis without withdrawal. If this trend is not cut in April, there is a strong sense of crisis that the framework for reelection will have no choice but to flow into “impeachment theory.”
Park Seong-min, CEO of Political Consulting Min, said in a call with News 1: “Public opinion polls that the ruling party will be shot in re-election continue to decline,” he said. “Some members of the Democratic Party are not concerned about Corona 19 or real estate, but about issues like campus logic and prosecutorial reform. I think if I take it and make a political choice, it would be worth it, but if it were a political choice, I would prefer to flow towards the ‘theory of judgment’ and there would be nothing good for the ruling party. ” He also said: “On the side of trying to avoid the trial theory, there is the possibility of bringing in a new person from the ruling party instead of the opposition party.”
In re-election, more than half of the views have also come out that opposition candidates should be elected to control the government and ruling parties. Government and ruling party controls are ahead of the stable state management theory.
According to a public opinion poll conducted by Real Meter, a public opinion polling company, of 1,000 men and women aged 18 and over across the country in the last 7 to 8 days, 51.8% of respondents he responded to reelection in April next year. To control the ruling party, many opposition candidates must be chosen. ” On the other hand, 39.8% of those surveyed said: “Many candidates from the ruling party should be elected for a stable state administration.” (The sampling error is ± 3.1% pa at a 95% confidence level, the response rate is 5.4%, see the website of the Central Electoral Survey Deliberation Committee)
The biggest variable in the Democratic Party is ‘Chumiae risk’.
It seems that the three-way war between Representative Sang-ho Woo, who is first strengthening the party organization, and Park Young-seon and Park Ju-min, who can be candidates only after the second reorganization, will solidify, but the problem is more than the actions of Minister Chu, who does not know where to go.
In the party, the observation that Minister Chu will go directly to the presidential elections prevails, but the possibility of running for mayor of Seoul cannot be ruled out.
A member of the Democratic Party’s Democratic Party said: “Minister Chu is confident that he is definitely the first place among the Chin Moon (Choi Moon Jae-in) supporters, and I think he intends to go straight to the presidential race. “, said. “But few people in the party know exactly what Minister Chu thought,” he said.
Considering the fact that it is difficult to get the support of the middle class within the party, and the level of unfavorableness in the conflict with Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol increased, and that in the end, he could not carry out the punishment of the president Yoon, which led President Moon Jae-in into a political crisis. There is also a considerable opinion that Minister Chu will not be a big variable.
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| Ahn Cheol-soo, head of the National Assembly Party, speaks at the Supreme Council meeting held at the National Assembly in Yeouido, Seoul, on the morning of the 24th. 2020.12.24 / News 1 © News1 Reporter Park Se-yeon |
The opposition was rejected by Ahn Chul-soo, the National Party representative, and former Democratic Party legislator Geum Tae-seop. The scenarios include the contest after the peripheral candidates join the power of the people, the unified contest of the finalist and pan-opponent candidates, and the single contest in which all the candidates participate regardless of their party.
Currently, there are five members, including former legislators Kim Sun-dong, Lee Jong-gu, and Lee Hye-hoon, and the mayor of Seocho-gu, Park Chun-hee, and the former mayor of Songpa-gu, and the former Lawmakers Na Gyeong-won and former Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon are also mentioned as candidates. The opposition’s contest with Representative Ahn and others is expected to be even more vibrant if former legislator Na and Mayor Oh unite.
The key is whether to unify beautiful candidates. The Democratic Party looks forward to ‘John Chul-soo’s remorse’ and hopes the unification plate will be smashed. A member of the Democratic Party leadership said: “Even if Ahn Chul-soo leads the polls, it is not the power of the people to get the junta to approve the next presidential candidate for Ahn Chul-soo.” “In the end, although the Democratic Party seems to have regressed, the opposition is divided due to unification problems in February. And when it gets noisy, the initiative reaches us.”
Meanwhile, in Busan, where the opposition is strong, the candidates for the national force are moving first. In Busan, where the wind of conservatism is blowing, people force candidates like Park Hyung-jun, Lee Eon-ju, Park Min-sik and Lee Jin-bok are running for the race. On the other hand, the Democratic Party has not yet officially declared a candidate to run.
In a recent radio interview, Kim Young-chun, the Democratic Party’s first-place secretary general in supporting the Democratic Party, revealed in a recent radio interview: “If the National Assembly passes the New Gaduk Airport Special Law In February next year, I will run unconditionally for mayor of Busan. Former Supreme Commissioner Kim Hae-young, a young man of blood and a prominent candidate, has also declared not to run and the atmosphere has not recovered.
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