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Although the number of tests dropped significantly due to the Christmas holidays, the number of confirmed cases was the second largest in history. Concern arises that the expansion trend has become stronger.
The holiday is not effective, review of the update of the script meeting on the 27th
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on the 26th, the number of inspectors on the 25th of Christmas was 3.58, 27,000 less than the previous day ( 57,147). The number of inspectors at the temporary screening inspection center in the metropolitan area also decreased significantly compared to 24 (63,931 people) to 33,993. However, the number of new patients on this day was 1132, the second most frequent. The fact that more than 1,000 patients show up even on vacation, when the number of tests is decreasing, shows that the current epidemic situation is serious. This is the effect of the identification of large numbers of patients in nursing hospitals, churches and detention centers, and outbreaks of new groups continue in everyday places such as workplaces, restaurants and animal hospitals.
Since the expansion trend is rarely broken, the pressure to upgrade to the third stage is also increasing. On the basis of new patients per day, the criteria were met. However, in a briefing on the 25th, the government mentioned the possibility that the number of patients increased to 1,200 and that it was a temporary phenomenon rather than the related trend of occurrence itself having changed.
Tae-ho Yoon, head of quarantine and prevention at the Accident Control Headquarters, commented on the rapid increase in patients. In the situation, it maintains the level of 900 to 1000 people. We believe that special circumstances should be taken into account. ”
Excluding the mass infection from the East Detention Center in Seoul, the outbreak of patients is said to continue on a similar scale, maintaining the current trend. Rather, he assessed that “it is positive that the surge is suppressed and suppressed within 1,000 people.”
The government will thoroughly review the quarantine system and the capabilities of the medical system, and the effect of the special quarantine measures for the end of the year and the New Year period until January 3 of next year, and decide whether to update the 27 .
In a briefing on the 25th, Sohn Young-rae, head of the Strategic Planning Division, Jung Soo-bon, said: “We believe that the capabilities to control the infection are still maintained and the medical capabilities are currently maintained to ensure space. for beds and provide stable treatment. Said.
Among experts, there is great disagreement about the three-step upgrade. It is known that in the Living Prevention Committee held on the 22nd, many experts believed that they should consider the damage caused by raising it to the third stage.
Kim Moran, a professor at the National Cancer Center, said: “In trying to cut down on corona patients, they were concerned that the number of deaths could increase in places that are not visible due to reasons such as livelihoods. “It is dangerous to do it in three steps without sufficient preparation.”
“The current patient is the result of contact from 1 to 2 weeks ago, and there is also the effect of large-scale infections in certain groups such as nursing hospitals and detention centers. There is, ”he said.
Based on the results predicted by Professor Ki through models, etc., the current level of 1.16 infectious reproductive index (the number of other confirmed cases infected by a patient) is expected to drop to a maximum of 0.7 when the 3rd stage rises.
However, Professor Ki said: “Even if the infectious reproductive rate goes down assuming that contact is reduced as much as possible, the number of patients is expected to be around 700 after two weeks.” Said.
The government expects the rate of spread to slow early next year through special quarantine regulations over the end of the year and the New Year holidays.
Although the pace is slow, the rate of infectious reproduction is gradually falling.
Professor Ki said: “Although the number of patients is not decreasing, the infectious reproductive rate is gradually decreasing and the movement is also decreasing,” he said. According to the authorities, so far a cumulative 1,140 confirmed cases have been confirmed through temporary detection offices that operate in 150 locations in the metropolitan area.
Reporter Hwang Soo-yeon [email protected]
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