On the second day, 1,000 people … Possibility of 3 steps in the weight of 2.5 steps in the metropolitan area (total)

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The ‘third pandemic’ of a new coronavirus infection in Korea (Corona 19) is on the rise.

As large and small group infections continued across the country, 1,200 confirmed cases came out on Christmas 25, breaking the record, and 1,100 on the 26th, continuing in four digits for two consecutive days.

Furthermore, the percentage of patients with “unknown routes of infection” who do not know when and where they were infected did not drop below the 27% level, and the key indicators also indicate the level of risk.

To reverse the increase in the number of confirmed cases, the government is implementing “ special quarantine measures for the end of the year and the New Year holidays ” (12.24 to 2021.1.3) with the aim of banning gatherings of five or more restaurants across the country, shutting down winter sports facilities, and closing locations for sunrise. The loss is unknown.

The government held a meeting of the Central Headquarters for Disasters and Security Countermeasures on the afternoon of the 27th to determine additional measures, including the possibility of raising or not the 3rd stage of ‘social distancing’.

◇ Of the 1,132 new confirmed cases, 1,104 in the region … More than 1,000 local occurrences per day per week

According to the Central Defense Response Headquarters (Bangdaebon), there were 1,132 new confirmed cases at 0 o’clock on the day.

It was 109 people less than the day before (1,241 people), but it is the second largest record since the Corona 19 incident.

With the record of 1,000 people for two days in a row, and exceeding the 1,200 level, the time point advanced and the scale was greater than the prediction of the Bang University headquarters, “In the next week, there may be between 1 and 1,200 confirmed patients per day. “

The government diagnosed the increase in the number of confirmed patients the day before to be likely a “ temporary phenomenon ” due to a large-scale confirmation trial at the East Seoul Detention Center, but the inspection on the eve of Christmas vacation was 27,000 cases (57,147) compared to the previous business day. Cases → 358 cases) Although the number of confirmed cases decreased, the number of confirmed cases reached 1,100 and it was analyzed that the spread was even greater.

This spread is due to the appearance of new group outbreaks in everyday places such as workplaces, restaurants and veterinary hospitals, in addition to nursing hospitals and churches, where there were recently many confirmed cases.

Regarding major new infection cases, a total of 18 people, including workers, related to a meat processing company in Gwangju, Gyeonggi province, were confirmed and 33 people, including users and acquaintances, were infected with meat stores. food and restaurants in Cheonan, Chungnam.

Furthermore, in the case of the animal hospital in Geoje, Gyeongnam, 16 people, including the workers and their families, have tested positive so far, and a total of 14 people have been confirmed in connection with the meeting of acquaintances from Hadong-gun. .

In addition, cases of existing infection-vulnerable facilities such as Hyoplus Nursing Hospital in Bucheon-si, Gyeonggi-do (163 people in total), and CharmSarang Nursing Center for the Elderly in Cheongju-si, Chungbuk (98 people) they also increase day by day.

◇ The government “There is a limit that cannot be overcome with a decreasing tax … If special quarantine measures are observed, a reversal trend is expected early next year”

The rate of cases of unknown infection route does not fall below the 27% range. In the last 22-25 days (27.1% → 27.4% → 27.8% → 27.2%), it was in the range of 27% for four consecutive days.

This ratio remained in the range of 15-16% until the 6th of this month, but has continued to increase after exceeding 20% ​​on the 8th (20.7%). About 3 in 10 confirmed cases do not know the route of infection, which means that there is still a “silent spread” taking place somewhere.

In relation to the recent outbreak, Yun Tae-ho, head of Accident Control Headquarters (heavy water version), said in a briefing the day before: “We need to reverse the situation and reduce the trend of (confirmed cases ) to a decrease, but we accept the part that cannot be broken as the limit. ” Reducing contact with small workers was considered the most essential measure, and in this sense, we announced special quarantine measures during the end of the year and the New Year holidays. “

He added: “If people refrain from meetings and movements during the special quarantine period during the end of the year and the New Years period, and if the quarantine rules are strictly followed, a reversal trend is expected early next year. year”.

◇ End 28 of stage 2.5 of the metropolitan area … Possibility of ‘Upgrade to 3 steps’ in the weight of ‘Extension of 2.5 steps’

In the midst of this, the government held a critical script meeting chaired by Prime Minister Chung Sye-gyun at 3 p.m. on the 27th to determine additional quarantine measures, including whether or not to increase the distance.

Stage 2.5 of the current metropolitan area and stage 2 of the non-metropolitan area will end on the 28th, so it is necessary to decide on the extension or improvement of these measures.

The third stage is actually a strong measure equivalent to the “lockdown”, and the government has shown a cautious stance on the upward revision, as it causes enormous social and economic damage.

As of now, the weight is placed on the 2.5-step extension, but as the number of confirmed cases increased the day before, the pressure to upgrade to the third step has increased somewhat.

Professor Chun Byeong-cheol from Korea University’s Department of Preventive Medicine said: “Since citizens and businesses are operating in almost three stages, the government should not maintain the situation where it is not in stage 2.5 nor on stage 3 as it is now, and needs to be upgraded to stage 3. “

Eom Jung-sik, professor of infectious medicine at Gachon University Gil Hospital, said: “We have already missed the timing of the update, and even if the infection spreads so much that it will take a considerable amount of time to be effective “, said. Forecast.

However, there are also voices that you need to be careful when upgrading to the third level.

Professor Kim Moran of the National Cancer Center said: “It may be possible to increase the distance, but all the members participating in the Prevention of Life Committee are emphasizing that ‘to increase the distance, support measures for the damage they must unite “. If you ask him to stay home, there’s a high possibility that it won’t work. “

He also said: “I am concerned that the increased distance may cause damage other than Corona 19,” he said. “If livelihood is difficult and social problems like suicide occur because of this, there is a possibility that the number of deaths not related to Corona 19 will increase significantly. I was worried.

Sohn Young-rae, head of the Strategic Planning Division, said in a briefing the previous day: “The most important thing is the trend in patient incidence, that is, what is the trend of spreading outbreaks?”

He also added: “It is likely to be an important criterion for determining whether the outbreak pattern reaches a level that exceeds quarantine and medical response capabilities (up to stage three).”

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