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The ‘third pandemic’ of a new coronavirus infection in Korea (Corona 19) is showing small signs of sinking.
Rather, it is spreading on the largest scale ever seen.
The number of new confirmed cases per day, which was around 100 until the beginning of last month, has reached the level of more than 1,000.
This is faster than the quarantine authorities predicted at the beginning of the week, ‘550-750 this week and more than 900 next week’.
Even though the government improved ‘social distancing’ (2.5 metropolitan areas, stage 2 non-metropolitan areas), it has no effect. There is also a bleak outlook that the spread will be difficult to contract this winter.
This ‘third pandemic’ has already overtaken the ‘second pandemic’ centered in the metropolitan area in August-September, as well as the ‘first pandemic’ centered in Daegu and Gyeongbuk in February and March.
Although the government has taken various measures every day, such as expanding preventive tests, it seems unlikely that the spread of the virus will be interrupted at the moment, as there is a wide range of asymptomatic and latent infections in the metropolitan area, and the virus It has entered a full-blown winter season when the virus is active.
◇ 950 recently confirmed, the highest since the domestic epidemic began in January
According to the Central Defense Countermeasures Headquarters (Bangdaebon) on the 12th, the number of new confirmed cases at 0 o’clock on the day was counted as 950. Compared to the previous day (689), it increased by 261.
950 new confirmed cases are the highest record in nearly 11 months (just 327 days) since January 20, when the first corona19 patient occurred in Korea. So far, the number of 909 people on February 29, when the ‘first pandemic’ centered on Daegu and Gyeongbuk reached its peak.
From day 6 to today, the number of new confirmed cases during a week was 577 → 631 → 615 → 592 → 671 → 680 → 689 → 950 per day. I skipped ~ 800 people and went straight to 900 people.
The reason the number of confirmed cases has skyrocketed is because the ‘latent infection’ that spread in the Seoul and Gyeonggi area spread to a large-scale cluster infection.
The day before, 59 people were confirmed at Seongseok Church in Gangseo-gu, Seoul, and 67 were confirmed at HyoPlus Nursing Hospital in Sang-dong, Bucheon-si, Gyeonggi-do.
In addition, there were confirmed cases in various places such as restaurants, singing classes, saunas, nursing homes, medical institutions, religious facilities, subway stations, and various small groups.
The number of local outbreaks among new confirmed cases on this day was 928, which is also the highest record in history.
The average daily local outbreak in the last week was 662 people, exceeding the level of 2.5 steps (more than 400 to 500 people nationwide).
If this spreading trend continues for a few more days, there is a high possibility that it will reach the 3rd stage distancing standard (800 to 1000 people nationwide).
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◇ Experts “More than 2,000 people can appear a day”, “You must preventively climb 3 levels”
As Corona 19 spreads with terrifying momentum, it is forecast that it will be difficult to quell the spread this winter.
Infectious disease experts warn that new confirmed cases can face a pandemic of up to 2,000 people a day. Some have raised the need to raise the distance to three stages.
Kim Moran, a professor at the National Cancer Center, predicted: “There will be more than 2,000 patients per day in the future and it will be difficult to calm down to the level of 100 to 200 people per day this winter.”
“The only way to do this is a quick test, and you need to do three times more than now,” he said. “If you don’t break the chain of infection from infected people by increasing the test, you won’t be able to get the spread.”
Kim Woo-joo, professor of infectious medicine at Korea University Guro Hospital, also noted, “Because the diagnostic tests were not done enough, the infected patient could not be found (early) and this patient could not was able to stop the vicious cycle of becoming a source of infection again. ”
“Even if we compare the number of tests per 1,000 people per country, the US has 4.5 cases, the UK has 3.6 cases and New Zealand has 1.08 cases, but we have 0.3 cases, which it’s less than that. ”
Choi Won-seok, professor of infectious medicine at Korea University Ansan Hospital, said: “It is already beyond the control range, so the effect of quarantine measures is difficult to exert immediately.” “He said.
He also emphasized that “a sudden increase in patients can cause death while awaiting hospitalization, as at the time of the first epidemic,” he said. “While you await hospitalization, you must quickly explain your condition, and local governments must also monitor symptoms from time to time.”
Professor Kim Dong-hyun from Hallym University School of Medicine said: “It is impossible to catch the trend with the current level of distance, and it seems that it will have to rise to the third stage. If the trend continues, it is necessary to judge it. preventively “. I suggested.
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◇ Starting next week, the ‘Temporary Screening Clinic’ will be operational in the metropolitan area … Significant expansion of diagnostic tests
To cut off the radio wave in the metropolitan area, the center of the pandemic, the government will establish an “intensive inspection period” from 14 to 3 weeks and will significantly expand the free preventive inspections.
About 150 temporary screening clinics will be set up in stages, focusing on Seoul Station and Yongsan Station, major university districts and areas where group infections have occurred. At the clinic, anyone can get a free diagnostic test without any suspicious Corona 19 symptoms.
In addition, to solve the shortage of beds, it has decided to secure 1,000 beds at a time in the public hospitals of the metropolitan area, including the National Medical Center and the Ilsan Hospital of the National Health Insurance Service.
Tae-ho Yoon, head of Accident Control Headquarters, said in a briefing the day before: “If the current spread cannot be broken, then there is no other option except an upward adjustment in the third stage, what which means ‘total restriction’ of social activities. ” It will leave unrivaled enormous social and economic damage, but now is the last chance to stop it, so do your best to keep your distance. ”
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