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On the afternoon of the 7th, a day before the 2.5 stage of social distancing in the metropolitan area, the COEX Mall in Gangnam-gu, Seoul shows a neglected appearance. Newsis
The new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) exceeded 600 new confirmed cases per day. Although the size of the diagnostic testers has decreased due to the weekend, the possibility of specifying the ‘1,000 confirmed cases per day’ that the experts warned in this situation has increased. ‘K Defense’, which was praised for its success, was at a critical crossroads.
On the 7th, President Moon Jae-in ordered: “Dramatically expand the operation of the screening clinic at night and on holidays, and install and operate a large-scale vehicle test center.” He also ordered: “Invest in the military and police to support epidemiological investigations and actively promote the use of rapid antigen tests.” It is unusual for the president to comment directly on the detailed quarantine measures. This means that the government is accepting this third pandemic as an unprecedented crisis.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Bangdaebon) that day, 615 new cases of Corona 19 at 0 o’clock on day 7. The second day after the previous day (631), 600 people. Taking into account the ‘weekend effect’ in which the number of tests tends to decrease and there are fewer confirmed cases, the number of confirmed cases this week is expected to increase significantly. The reproduction rate of the infection is 1.23 and a confirmed person infects more than 1.2 people. “If this trend continues, there is a possibility that between 550 and 750 patients this week, and more than 900 patients next week will occur every day,” said Na Seong-woong, head of Bang Dae-bon’s 1st Division. During the first pandemic in Daegu and Gyeongbuk, the highest record of new cases per day was 909 (February 29).
Initially, the health authorities predicted that the effect of raising social distancing in the metropolitan area to step 2 on the 24th of last month and to step 2 + α on the 1st of this month will appear during the weekend. However, the spreading trend is quite pronounced. The first vice president admitted: “After strengthening social distancing, the amount of movement of people has decreased by more than 20%, but the trend of decreasing patients is not clear.” This is completely different from August-September, when the decrease in the volume of movement caused a decrease in confirmed cases. So it is a diagnosis that K’s quarantine, which was expected to change people’s voluntary behavior rather than a strong limit to activities, is at a crossroads.
Even with the second pandemic, K’s quarantine worked as expected. Through detailed epidemiological investigations based on information and communication technologies (ICT) and a large number of precise tests, it was possible to prevent large-scale infections in advance without significantly restricting individual activities. However, this type of quarantine has reached its limit as the spread of Corona 19 has changed from a large-scale infection focused on a specific group to a sporadic infection throughout daily life. In addition, since the 19 of last month, the stage of social distancing has been repeatedly raised in less than a week, and complaints arise from the public that “the standards are now confusing.”
The quarantine authorities still hold the position that “I want the cooperation of the people while emphasizing the quarantine rules.” The policy is to adhere to the principle of step-by-step transition standards for the need for greater distance. However, under the leadership of the President, three measures were decided to improve K’s quarantine system, such as △ investment of military and police personnel to support epidemiological investigations, △ introduction of saliva tests and rapid antigen tests, △ relaxation of quarantine standards. Experts noted that there is an urgent need to actively expand testing, especially. Professor Kimoran of the National Cancer Center said: “The testing system that has supported the K-quarantine is in crisis.” “Important changes to the location and method are needed to make it easier for anyone to be tested anonymously.”
Lim So-hyung reporter [email protected]
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