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The spread of the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) is increasing rapidly. Consistent with the current trend, quarantine authorities have estimated that one day next week, 400 new cases will be confirmed and more than 600 in early December. Amid fears of a nationwide pandemic, measures to increase social distancing in the second stage are also being considered.
Quarantine authorities said on the 21st that they are approaching the standards for the second stage of social distancing and that a review is underway within the government.
Im Sook-young, director general of situation for Central Defense Response Headquarters, held a regular briefing on Corona 19 at the Osong Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Chungbuk, and said: “Corona’s national epidemic 19 is in a very serious situation as the beginning of a large-scale spread. “
“The number of confirmed weekly cases in the metropolitan area is 175.1 and 16.4 in Gangwon-do,” said Lim, general manager, explaining, “If this trend continues, it is expected to soon reach the second stage of social distancing”.
Social distancing is divided into 5 stages (1 → 1.5 → 2 → 2.5 → 3 stages), which include protection of life (first stage), local epidemic (stage 1.5-2) and national epidemic (stage 2.5 -3).
Based on the average number of confirmed patients per week per region, including 100 in the metropolitan area, 30 in Chungcheong, Honam, Gyeongbuk, and Gyeongnam, and 10 in Gangwon and Jeju, step 1 is applied if less than that, and apply step 1.5.
The second stage is the stage where the regional pandemic spreads rapidly and the epidemic begins at the national level. This applies even if the number of new confirmed cases more than doubled compared to the standard of 1.5 steps per region, or if two or more regional outbreaks continue, and only one condition of more than 300 confirmed cases is met in the entire country on a daily average for one week. Stage 2.5, which is the national epidemic stage, is when there are more than 400 to 500 people across the country, and in stage 3, there are 800-1000 people or more.
The Infectious Reproduction Index, an index that predicts the pandemic, also raises concern. “The infectious material production rate is above 1.5,” said Lim, general manager. One confirmed person infects more than 1.5 people. “Quarantine authorities Its objective is to keep the infectious reproduction index below 1.
“The number of infectious products production rate is the highest (since November),” said Lim, general manager. “Based on this, an estimated 400 new cases will arrive daily next week and more than 600 in early December.” Explained.
Until the 10th, the number of new confirmed cases in Korea was 71, showing two digits, but after exceeding the 100 level with 113 on the 11th, 202 on 17, with 200, and 300 on 20 with 320..
There have been triple digits of new confirmed cases for 11 consecutive days starting on the 11th, and the number increases to 300 for 2 consecutive days starting on the 20th. The daily average number of new confirmed cases in Korea during the last week was 255 ,5.
“If the current spread cannot be blocked, the epidemic in Daegu and Gyeongbuk and a nationwide outbreak that surpassed the epidemic in the metropolitan area in late August are expected to be in a mid-peak period,” Lim said, General Manager of Situation. He then called for the cancellation of the year-end meeting, saying: “If we reduce meetings with people and don’t wear masks, we cannot block the current trend of spreading.”
Reporter Cho Min-young [email protected]
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