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| © News1 Designer Lee Ji-won |
The nationwide spread of new coronavirus (Corona 19) infections in Korea is a sign of a full spread across the country, with 300 new cases confirmed over four consecutive days. If the recent increase is not overcome, the number of confirmed cases per day will reach 400, and the daily average of confirmed cases per week in the metropolitan area will also exceed 200, the standard for the second step of social distancing.
In particular, a large-scale confirmed case occurred at a large employment examination academy located in Noryangjin, Seoul. Among the students who took the high school teacher appointment test that the Ministry of Education confirmed through the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 67 were confirmed at 7:30 am on the 21st. Account that there were at least 41 people, including 28 in Seoul and 13 in Gyeonggi, at 0 in the morning, you can see that additional confirmed cases continue.
On the 21st, the first written test for the high school teacher appointment test will be held across the country, and there is a high possibility that some of the examinees will be exposed to Corona 19 at Noryangjin Academy. There is great concern that it could be a sign of a large-scale epidemic at the national level.
◇ New 386 people, 300 people on the fourth day … The 2nd stage of the metropolitan area is imminent for 9 consecutive days
Corona 19 has already started its third epidemic. The quarantine authorities also recognized this and began to prepare measures, but it is difficult to predict whether the spread of infections from small-scale groups outside the quarantine network occurred one after another due to seasonal factors that inevitably increase the number of confirmed cases. .
Currently, the spread of Corona 19 is pessimistic. The number of new confirmed cases increased daily for four consecutive days and 300 cases were dumped on the fourth day. Taking into account the recent increase, the number of new confirmed cases (counted from 0 hours on the 22nd) that will occur every day on the 21st may exceed 400.
From 0 o’clock, from the last 8 to 21 (2 weeks) ‘143 → 126 → 100 → 146 → 143 → 191 → 205 → 208 → 222 → 230 → 313 → 343 → 363 → 386 It appeared in order. During the same period, regional outbreaks, excluding cases of foreign influx, were of the order of ‘118 → 99 → 71 → 113 → 128 → 162 → 166 → 176 → 192 → 202 → 245 → 293 → 320 → 361 people’ .
The daily average of confirmed cases of local outbreaks for a week was 255.6, an increase of 27.9 from 227.7 the day before. On the third day, 200 people were kept. There are 262 people in the metropolitan area, including 154 in Seoul, 86 in Gyeonggi, and 22 in Incheon. Notably, Seoul registered 154 people, the most equal number with 154 on August 27.
The daily average number of confirmed cases for a week in the metropolitan area was 175.3 at midnight, an increase of 21.9 from 153.4 the day before, and continued on the fifth day. It is a situation with 200 people in front of them, which is the standard for the second step update review.
It can be seen as a bad sign that the number of confirmed cases of overseas influx is decreasing, but the number of confirmed cases of regional occurrence is increasing. On the 18th, when the number of new confirmed patients entered the range of 300 with 313, the number of confirmed entries from abroad reached 68. Since then, it has steadily decreased to 50, 43 and 25. number of confirmed cases of local outbreaks during the same period showed a trend of ‘245 → 293 → 320 → 361.’
The fact that the number of confirmed local outbreaks has registered 300 people in the last two days suggests that Corona 19 is widespread throughout the Korean community. People infected outside the quarantine network lived indoors in the cold and transmitted the corona 19 virus to their families and co-workers.
The quarantine authorities announced on the 20th that the third new epidemic of coronavirus infection (Corona 19) is ongoing after the last February-March and August. Just two days ago, he showed a reserved attitude towards the third epidemic, but changed his position when the spread of the metropolitan area was not clear.
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| © News1 Designer Lee Ji-won |
◇ Silent spread of small-scale group infection … Noryangjin group infection, fear of becoming Daegu in February-March
It’s been a long time since a massive outbreak is coming this winter. The problem is that the outbreak occurs as a small cluster infection in the densely populated metropolitan area. This suggests that accumulated hidden infected people rise above the surface of the water after a certain point.
In a briefing on the 20th, the head of the Strategic Planning Division at the Accident Recovery Headquarters of the Ministry of Health and Welfare, Son Young-rae, said: “The reason we judge that the outbreak is entering in the third major outbreak it is because the number of confirmed cases is also growing. ” It has increased rapidly and there are also many small group infections occurring, ”he explained.
He added that “the spread of infectious diseases may continue to spread rather than stabilize for the time being,” he added.
Infectious disease experts also warned of a massive outbreak. 11 professional societies, including the Korean Infectious Diseases Association, warned on the 20th that “After 1-2 weeks, the number of daily confirmed corona19 cases may reach 1,000.” There is concern that Corona 19 could spread much faster than quarantine authorities expected.
The 11 societies specialized in infectious diseases ordered a preventive increase in distance as an alternative to prevent such a disaster. With the exception of some local governments, most regions maintain the distance of level 1.5. Experts worry that it will be difficult to prevent a large-scale outbreak unless the national distance is immediately raised to the second stage and there are no further increases depending on the situation.
The government has divided the distance of the three existing stages into five stages with the objective of ‘capturing two rabbits’ for economic reasons and quarantine, and implemented it as of day 7. Some point out that it is difficult for these efforts to work properly in the face of widespread proliferation.
It is difficult to predict how far the Noryang Appointment Testing Academy’s group infection will spread. Chances are high that the storm will overtake the Itaewon Club in May and Seoul’s downtown Gwanghwamun in August, as there were dozens of confirmed cases in a flash and hidden infected people are screened across the country that day. Unlike Itaewon and the urban rally, the seasonal factor of winter is also very disadvantageous.
“If we cannot block the current spread, we can enter a national pandemic phase on a larger scale than in February and March,” said Yun Tae-ho, head of quarantine and quarantine. “Please postpone or cancel all meetings and appointments for now.” . Taking this situation into account, it is also possible that at the meeting of the Central Headquarters for Disasters and Security Countermeasures on the 22nd, there is the possibility that the content of raising the distance from dangerous areas such as the metropolitan area to the stage 2.
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| According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the number of confirmed cases of corona19 increased by 386 to 3,403 as of 0:00 on the 21st. The reporting regions of 386 New confirmed cases were Seoul 154 (2 overseas), Busan 7, Daegu 1 overseas, Incheon 22, Gwangju 6 (overseas 1), Daejeon 1, Ulsan 1, Gyeonggi 86 (7 overseas), Gangwon 14 (overseas 1), Chungbuk 1, Chungnam 19 (overseas 2), Jeonbuk 13 (overseas 1), Jeonnam 18 (overseas 1), Gyeongbuk 8, Gyeongnam 11 people, quarantine process 9 people . © News1 Designer Lee Ji-won |
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