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As the number of new coronavirus infections (Corona 19) reached 950 on the 12th, a record, the possibility of raising social distancing ‘three steps’ is being discussed.
The three-stage update criterion is when the national average number of confirmed patients is 800 to 1,000 or more, or when there is a rapid increase in patients, such as ‘doubling’ (doubling) to the 2.5 level. Currently, phase 2.5 is underway for the metropolitan area and phase 2 for the non-capital area.
There were about 100 new confirmed cases per day as of early last month, but as the number of confirmed cases reaches a level close to 1,000, there is the prospect of an increase in social distancing. This ‘third pandemic’ surpassed the ‘second pandemic’ centered in the metropolitan area in August-September last August-September, and the ‘first pandemic’ in Daegu and Gyeongbuk in February and March.
From day 6 to today, the number of new confirmed cases during a week was 577 → 631 → 615 → 592 → 671 → 680 → 689 → 950 per day. It jumped 800 people and passed 900 people directly.
This spread is interpreted as a “latent infection” in the metropolitan area that has spread through a large-scale group infection. The day before, 59 people were confirmed at Seongseok Church in Gangseo-gu, Seoul, and 67 were confirmed at Hyoplus Nursing Hospital in Sangdong, Bucheon-si, Gyeonggi-do. There were confirmed cases in restaurants, singing classes, saunas, nursing homes, medical institutions, religious facilities, subway stations, and various small groups.
With this trend in mind, experts say that step 3 of social distancing is inevitable. Professor Kimoran of the National Cancer Center said: “In the future, more than 2,000 patients may go out a day and it will be difficult to calm down to the level of 100 to 200 people a day this winter. The only way to do that is with a rapid test. It is necessary. If you do not break the chain of infection of infected people by increasing the number of tests, you will not be able to contract the spread. “
Professor Dong-Hyun Kim from Hallym University School of Medicine said: “It is impossible to catch the trend with the current level of distance, and it seems that it will have to rise to the third stage.” “If the trend continues, it is necessary to judge preventively. I do it,” he said.
Kim Cheong-hwan reporter [email protected]
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