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131 confirmed cumulative cases related to the Seoul Aerobics Academy▶ Click here to enlarge
While the spread of the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) in Korea has not seldom slowed, the speed and scope of this ‘third pandemic’ is gradually increasing and widening.
As group infections flare up simultaneously in various small groups, workplaces, academies, schools, religious facilities, saunas, billiard rooms, etc., as well as in military units and local governments, including the meeting of Kim Jang, the new confirmed cases have already passed 500 days after another. It is the situation that registered the name.
In particular, as the spread of infections in the non-metropolitan area that follows the metropolitan area has gradually increased, the “line of defense” has widened, making it difficult for the government to respond.
Infectious disease experts predict that the scale of the outbreak may exceed the level of the first pandemic, with more than 1,000 confirmed cases per day, if the current trend is the same.
Consequently, the government decided to hold a meeting of the Security and Disaster Countermeasures Headquarters on the 29th to discuss whether to increase the ‘social distance’ between the metropolitan area and the entire country. Currently, among metropolitan organizations, the 2nd distance step is being implemented in the metropolitan area and the 1.5th step in the Honam area.
◇ The average daily local outbreak in the last week is 382.7 people, close to stage 2.5… The non-metropolitan infection also spread
According to the Central Defense Countermeasures Headquarters (Bangdaebon) on the 28th, at 0 o’clock the day before, 569 new cases of Corona 19 were counted in Korea. Following the previous day, the 26th (583), they showed 500 people for two consecutive days.
More than 500 new confirmed cases came out for two days in a row, nearly nine months after the “first pandemic” in Daegu and Gyeongbuk was in full swing. At that time, Shincheonji Church of the Testimony of Jesus (Shincheonji) Daegu Church confirmed one after another in the Daegu and Gyeongbuk areas due to group infection. After peaking at 909 on February 29, 595 → 686 → 600 → 516 people in the next four days. Between 500 and 600 people were recorded and traveled.
Looking at the situation of the last week (11.21 ~ 27), the differential is more pronounced.
During this period, the number of new confirmed cases per day was 386 → 330 → 271 → 349 → 382 → 583 → 569, etc., except in a single day, more than 300 people came out every day, of which 2 times they were 500. Crusader. The average number of confirmed patients per week has already risen to 410.
Furthermore, the number of confirmed cases of regional outbreaks, which quarantine authorities use as a key criterion for adjusting the distance-to-distance stage, reached an average of 382.7 per day, which is close to the level 2.5 update standard. (400 to 500 or more nationally, etc.).
The number of new confirmed patients to be announced this morning is also expected to register as high as 500 out of at least 400 in the mid-to-late range, so the one-week daily average is expected to rise further.
A total of 383 new confirmed cases were counted between quarantine authorities and local governments such as Seoul from 0 o’clock the day before to 6 p.m., 34 more than the previous day (349).
Of these, 267 in the metropolitan area and 116 in the non-metropolitan area. By province, Seoul 153, Gyeonggi 91, Busan 26, Gangwon 25, Incheon 23, Chungbuk 15, Gyeongnam 14, Chungnam 9, Gwangju 6, Daejeon 5, Jeonnam 5, Jeonbuk 5, Two in Gyeongbuk, two in Ulsan, one in Daegu and one in Jeju. There were no more confirmed cases in Sejong.
Looking at the current pattern of confirmed cases, the scale of infection is increasing, regardless of metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas.
In particular, the number of confirmed cases in the non-metropolitan area was registered for the first time on the 24th, followed by three digits for four consecutive days (103 → 108 → 151 → 188). The scope of the increase is also growing.
In case of major outbreaks, ▲ Kimjang meeting in Jecheon, Chungbuk (14 people accumulated) ▲ Senior and youth billiard meeting in Cheongju, Chungcheongbuk-do (18 people) ▲ Purme Care Hospital in Gongju-si, Chungnam (41 people ) ▲ Sporadic infections in various locations, including acquaintances in Jeolsanuk-do. It is following.
Additionally, the cumulative number of confirmed cases increased to 89, as 36 additional infections were confirmed per day in connection with Jangoral practice in Busan and Ulsan.
Screening clinics lined up from morning▶ Click here to enlarge
◇ Top 3 Quarantine Risk Factors Against ‘Daily Infection, Youth, Winter’ … Talk About Increasing Distance
Quarantine authorities and infectious disease experts agree that the pattern of the third outbreak is different from previous first and second outbreaks.
In the previous two outbreaks, the infection spread around the main axis of the ‘Shincheonji Daegu Church’ and the ‘Sarang Jeil Church and Liberation Day’ respectively, so epidemiological investigations, contact blocking and Diagnostic tests were relatively easy.
However, in recent years, as an unpredictable daily infection has broken out in several places at the same time, it is a reality that monitoring of contacts by authorities and blocking the infection cannot keep pace with the spread. Corona 19. If you find a confirmed person and examine the surrounding area, it is already after a group infection has occurred in units of several dozen lives.
One of the main factors in the recent spread is the rapid increase in the number of confirmed “youngsters” with active social activities. Of the 569 new cases confirmed the day before, 86 (15.1%) were between 20 and 30 years old and 85 (14.9%) were between 30 and 30 years old. In addition, if we add the 40 (99 people), a total of 270 young people and adults over 20 and 40 years old, which represent 47.5% of the total.
Even if younger people contract Corona 19, they often suffer asymptomatic or mild, so there is a high possibility of causing a new transmission ‘in order’ that they are not aware of. He is a so-called “silent preacher” from the local community.
In this situation, as seasonal factors that are more favorable for viral survival are added, infectious disease experts and the government do not exclude the possibility that the third outbreak will spread to a pandemic nationwide.
It is in line with this finding that the experts argue that in order to stop the current expansion trend, the distance-distance stage of the metropolitan area must be raised from the current stage 2 to stage 2.5 or at the national level to stage 2.
The government plans to make a final decision on whether or not to raise the bar at a major script meeting on the 29th.
Young-rae Sohn, head of the Accident Recovery Headquarters Strategic Planning Division, in a briefing the day before, “At the main script meeting, we discussed the need and specific measures to further strengthen the distance between the metropolitan area and each district. We will gather more opinions with the final decision in mind at the script meeting on Sunday (29). ”
Son added: “It is important to take preventive measures, but rushing too much to raise the level will also cause side effects in quarantine.” Although he expressed a somewhat negative position on the quick update, the possibility of a 2.5-step update in the metro area or a second-level update across the country appears to be open if the spread over the weekend is not severe.
Stage 2.5 is the stage where the nationwide outbreak is in full swing and quarantine measures are further strengthened.
For example, in addition to five entertainment facilities out of the nine types of priority management facilities, direct sales promotion rooms such as door-to-door sales, karaoke rooms and indoor stand-up show rooms will be closed. Cafes and restaurants are the same as the second step. Regardless of opening hours, the cafe is only open for take out and the restaurant is open until dinner, but only packing and delivery is allowed after 9pm
Also, among the 14 general administration facilities, the number of wedding and funeral rooms is limited to less than 50, and the PC rooms, cinemas, entertainment rooms-multiple rooms, academies, reading rooms-study cafes, etc., are closed after 9 pm Indoor sports facilities must be closed and schools must reduce school attendance by less than a third.
Keep Your Distance and Investigate COVID-19▶ Click here to enlarge
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