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President Moon Jae-in. Yunhap news
The prospect of winning over the opposition in the Seoul and Busan mayoral elections in April and the presidential election in March next year came to light on Day 1. Particularly in the middle class, this opinion was empowering. Disciplinary action against Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol, rising property prices, legislative independence, failure to quarantine the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19), and obtaining latent vaccines appear to have acted as negative factors.
Ipsos, a research specialist, asked SBS from December 28-30, targeting 1,001 men and women aged 18 and over across the country, asking “how to predict the outcome of the by-elections” and, as a result, ‘ the opposition will win ‘39.2% of the respondents predicted that it was outside the margin of error (the sampling error was ± 3.1% points at the 95% confidence level). On the other hand, 24.3% of those polled predicted the victory of the ruling party, and 21% said they will each occupy one place.
In particular, among respondents who classified their political orientation as ‘moderate’, 44.5% of respondents answered ‘opposition victory’, which was 25.6 percentage points ahead of the ruling party’s victory (18, 9%). Regarding the meaning of this choice, 51.5% of those surveyed said that it was a ‘mid-term evaluation of the current government’, higher than ‘the choice of the right person for the local administration’ (44.9 %).
“No expectation of regime change” middle class, 19% higher
Regarding the results of the presidential elections next year, 49.5% of the opinions appeared that ‘it is desirable to change the government to the opposition party’, before the ‘creation of the ruling party’ (42.8% ). As in the by-elections, among those surveyed with a moderate tendency, opinions that expected a ‘regime change’ (54.5%) were 19.3 percentage points higher.
Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol (far left), Democratic Party Representative Lee Nak-yeon (center), and Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myeong. Yonhap News News1 Newsis
Among the people named as candidates, ‘TOP 3’, including Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung (23.6%), Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol (18.5%) and Democratic Party representative Lee Nak- yeon (16.7%), fought fiercely within the margin of error.
After that, independent legislator Hong Joon-pyo (4.1%), former legislator Seung-min Yoo (4.0%) from the People’s Power, former Seoul mayor Oh Se-hoon (3.2%) , Justice Party legislator Shim Sang-jeong (2.3%), Prime Minister Jeong Se-gyun (1.5%), Justice Minister Chu Miae (1.2%) followed by Won Hee- Ryong, Jeju Branch (0.8%). Prime Minister Chung made a comment on SBS Radio that day to the effect that he “ requested not to be included in the poll list, ” but added his name to the poll.
The party’s approval rate was 35.4% for the Democratic Party, 24.1% for the People’s Power, 7.9% for the Justice Party, 5.1% for the People’s Party, and 4% for the Open Democratic Party.
“I’m not good at 文” 54% … Low of all time
Meanwhile, 54% of those surveyed said that President Moon Jae-in was “ doing wrong ” regarding the conduct of state affairs, which was the lowest ever recorded by the broadcaster. “You’re doing it right” was 41.3%, 10.1 percentage points less than in July of last year.
Furthermore, when asked about the appropriateness of President Moon’s attitude towards President Yoon’s disciplinary process, 54.6% of respondents said, “It was not an attitude of being responsible and it was inappropriate to apologize late.” The answer was 41.6%.
The Minister of Justice, Choo Mi-ae, is on the morning of the 31st to work at the Gwacheon Ministry of Justice. News 1
Regarding the disciplinary action against Yoon, led by Minister Chu, 53.4% of those surveyed said that it is unfair for political purposes to withdraw. On the other hand, 39.2% of those surveyed responded that it is fair to respond to the suspicion according to the law, which was 14.2 percentage points lower.
The survey was conducted using a wired / wireless telephone interview (RDD wired 10%, wireless 90%). The response rate is 15.1%. For more information on the poll, see the Ipsos home page and the Central Electoral Poll Deliberation Committee home page.
Reporter Seok-Hyun Ko [email protected]
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