[ad_1]
Depending on whether the opposition is unified or not, the electoral district is also different.
Ahn Chul-soo, an opposition leader, but Oh Se-hoon’s fierce persecution
[아시아경제 나주석 기자] “Is it Ahn Cheol-soo or not?” It is difficult to judge the outcome of the Seoul mayor’s election without an answer to this question. Whether the opposition champions Ahn Cheol-soo or Oh Se-hoon, a single candidate will receive a one-on-one confrontation with the pan-passport candidate, and a real sword fight will take place. On the other hand, there are many observations that a passport would be advantageous if a three-way composition were formed due to a unification failure.
In the end, the position is different, but there is no disagreement between the popular power and the Popular Party on the perception of inevitability. Both Ahn and Oh were unified after winning the primaries. However, it is noteworthy whether a preview can be prepared for the 18th, the time of future candidate enrollment, as the time difference between the two parties is confirmed regarding the unification method, etc.
Candidate Ahn has played the role of a typhoon in the Seoul mayor’s election since last December, declaring a run for the mayor of Seoul as the sole opposition candidate. On November 1-2 last year, an Asian economist commissioned Winge Korea Consulting to survey 1,000 adult men and women living in Seoul on the suitability of candidates for mayor of Seoul. In the 100% phone number method), Ahn ranked second with 15.9%, following Oh (17.6%). However, after the announcement was made in December, the approval rating has skyrocketed. On January 2-3 of this year, an Asian economist commissioned Winge Korea Consulting to survey 1006 adults living in Seoul on the suitability of the candidate for mayor of Seoul (± 3.1% points for a confidence level of the 95%, virtual mobile phone number using wireless ARS) In the 100% method), candidate Ahn was 28.5%, more than double that of the other candidates (see the Electoral Survey Deliberation Committee website Central to know the content of the survey).
However, as Candidate Oh is confirmed as the official candidate for the people’s force, there is a possibility that the supporters of the people’s force will rally. These subtle changes are already revealed in big data like Google Trends. From the first day of the new year to today, Ahn’s Google Trend Index was 41, ahead of candidate Oh (12) and Democratic Party candidate Park Young-sun (37). However, looking at the trend of the recent week, the gap has narrowed to candidate Ahn (10), Candidate Park (10) and Candidate Oh (7).
Reporter Juseok Na [email protected]
