2nd tee-off … Who is the next Japanese prime minister, ‘Suga’?



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An unusual strong non-partisan candidate
As a spokesman for the Abe regime, he continued to speak harshly to Korea.
It seems to be successful and strengthen Abenomics … Market ‘Expectation’

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has announced his resignation and Secretary of State Yoshihide Suga has become the next Prime Minister. The focus is on the future political views of Secretary Suga, who played the “mouth” role of the Abe regime for 7 years and 8 months.

According to the Sankei Shimbun, Secretary of State Suga said at a press conference on the morning of the 2nd: “Today I will conduct an interview for the election of the governor (PLD) myself. I’ll tell you correctly. “He is expected to hold a press conference tonight and report to official business.

The choice of the prime minister is dominant with the support of the party factions. Five of the seven factions of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party have voiced their support for Secretary Suga in the governor’s election. In Japan, which adopted the parliamentary cabinet system, the governor of the ruling party becomes prime minister. It represents about 70% of the votes of the National Assembly.

◇ Will we keep the hard line route to Korea?

The task of Japan-Korea relations left by Prime Minister Abe is enormous. There are issues such as the strengthening of Japanese export regulations on three semiconductor materials and the Korean Supreme Court compensation for Japanese companies in connection with forced labor.
In particular, a Korean court order for the seizure of Japanese corporate shares went into effect earlier this month regarding the issue of forced labor. The seizure of Japanese corporate assets is likely to become a reality sooner or later.
Secretary Suga has held regular press conferences every day to represent the position of the Japanese government. On the 4th of last month, “A worker from the former Korean peninsula
The Korean Supreme Court ruling and related court proceedings are clearly a violation of international law, “he said.” If it reaches cash, it will cause a serious situation, so it should be avoided. “” We will stay in close contact, we will put all options in view from the point of view of protecting the legitimate economic activity of Japanese companies and we will continue to respond. ” .

Of course, he explained the position of the Abe regime as the government’s mouthpiece, but basic policy is unlikely to change.

◇ Succession and reinforcement of ‘Benomics’

According to the Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) on the 2nd, Secretary Suga insists on the succession and strengthening of the economic policies of the Abe regime.

He highlighted Abenomics’ performance at a press conference on Day 1. “After the bubble collapsed, I was able to bring myself to the best condition. It’s a great achievement. ”Changes in share prices, the number of employees and land prices also increased as the figures were discussed.
The Abe regime received good reviews in the market for the weak yen, rising share prices and improved employment. Secretary of State Suga, along with Prime Minister Abe, conducted economic policy at the Prime Minister’s residence. Therefore, the achievements of the Abe regime lead to the evaluation of Minister Suga.

He has supported Prime Minister Abe as secretary of state since the inauguration of Abe’s second cabinet in 2012. In the first Abe regime, he also served as secretary general.

In particular, the main factions await and support the government’s response to the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19), hoping that Secretary of State Suga will continue the policy of the Abe regime. In fact, the Japanese stock market rose when news of Secretary Suga’s intention to run for office was announced. The mayor is relieved, hoping that the economic policies of the Abe regime will continue if he becomes prime minister.

Therefore, it is very likely that Secretary Suga will continue with the Abenomics. Large-scale financial easing, the core of Abenomics, is also expected to continue. Secretary of State Suga has so far supported large-scale financial easing as a spokesman for the Abe regime. He is in a position that “the government and the Bank of Japan should push their financial policy on the Bank of Japan.”

◇ Will I become prime minister of an unusual “non-faction”?

This is the first time that Secretary Suga has run for governor. Born in Akita prefecture, he joined the Obuchi group (now Takeshita group) after being first elected in the 1996 House of Representatives elections (the second district in Kanagawa). Later, he moved to Kochikai (now Kishida-pa), but in 2009 he left Koga-pa (old 賀). “The era of factions is over,” he argued.

In Japan, which is a parliamentary cabinet system, a large faction with many members leads the gubernatorial elections. The more votes there are, the easier it will be to run for a governor.

Therefore, it is difficult for a nonpartisan candidate who lacks a foothold to vote to be elected.

In this case, in the case of Secretary of State Suga, people with influence from important factions such as Prime Minister Abe, Deputy Prime Minister and Taro Aso, and Secretary General Toshihiro Nikai supported him and got the votes of the factions.

Prime Minister Abe did not officially express his support for Secretary Suga, but told Nikai-pa officials on the 2nd that “the Hosoda faction was well organized” regarding the governor’s election. Hosodapa is the “ faction ” of Prime Minister Abe, who is now not a faction. Suga has already expressed his support for the Secretary of State.

If a non-partisan prime minister is released, cooperation between major factions is expected rather than alone.

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