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Electoral organization “The participation rate will exceed 67%”
This year’s presidential election, which is assessed as a fierce confrontation that is hard to find in American history, is expected to record the highest turnout rate ever recorded after 88 years after 1932, when the number of voters and voters began to be counted systematically. In the presidential elections of the 19th century, there is a case where the turnout was recorded in the range of 70-80%, but the number of voters was not counted and the size of the population at that time was also much smaller than the current, and the analysis is proposed that it is not statistically significant.
According to the Associated Press on the 3rd, about 120 million people voted early in the US presidential election. This is equivalent to 73.4% of the total number of votes for the presidential elections four years ago (about 139 million people). At least six states, including Texas, Arizona, Washington, Nevada, Montana and Hawaii, outnumbered all voters in the 2016 presidential election.
Taking into account the people who actually visited the polling place and voted, this year’s presidential turnout is expected to be much higher than the 2016 presidential turnout (54.8%). The United States Election Project, a nonprofit organization specializing in elections in the United States, predicted that the final turnout in this year’s presidential elections will exceed 67%.
To prevent the new coronavirus infection (Corona 19), more voters chose to vote by mail rather than at the site, and President Donald Trump and Democratic Democratic Party presidential candidate Joe Biden were on a series of agendas that they included quarantine, racism, anti-immigration and the environment. It is analyzed that the participation of voters of the sympathizers of both sides increased as the confrontation developed head-on. The highest turnout from 1932 to now was the 1960 presidential election, when Democratic candidate John F. Kennedy and Republican candidate Richard Nixon met. At that time, the turnout was 62.8%, but when the first televised presidential debate was introduced, it is analyzed that the ‘competition of images’ between the two candidates caught the attention of voters, which caused an increase in the participation. In this year’s presidential elections, it was also observed that voter turnout tends to be higher in areas where there are more electoral groups and where both sides are fighting. In Western California, which has the largest electoral vote (55) of the 50 states in the United States, 10.5 million people, or 72% of all voters, participated in the early voting in 2016. The South Florida, which had the highest number of 29 electoral votes among the major states in the race, conducted pre and spot voting starting the morning of the 3rd, showing that it participated about 95% of the total number of voters during the 2016 presidential election.
Sehyeong Lee [email protected] Go to reporter’s page>Reporter Kim Ye-yoon
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