[정치0단] Lee Jae-myeong’s shadow and Kang of Impeachment linger on Yoon Seok-yeol’s approval rating

At this point, you will be broke. There was even a poll that Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol’s vote for the presidential election was 17.2% (actual meter), and after a while he rose to the top with 24.7% (Hangil Research). Furthermore, it topped 10% for the first time in the Gallup Korea poll, which came out as a “conservative” number.

Some point out in the survey method, as the number came out high due to the poor presentation of the candidates, and the questionnaire was low due to not presenting the candidates.

It’s a level that can be called the Yoon Seok-yeol phenomenon, and I can’t help but wonder why. It is a rough view of the political world that the “first-class confidence” of the rising approval ratings, ironically, it is Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae who pushed him. The more I pushed to make myself smaller, the more I hit him to disappear, the higher the political status of President Yoon.

But more importantly, approval ratings rose because there were voters who responded to the push and hit. So, of course, the question arises who the heck are those voters.

According to the Gallup Korea poll of the November presidential election, released on the 13th, Yoon jumped from the poll (3%) a month ago to 11%. The main thing that stands out is the respondents who negatively evaluated President Moon Jae-in. In the October poll, only 8% supported Yun, but in the November poll, 23% supported him. It’s a markedly different passing grade.

It is presumed that many of the respondents who evaluated President Moon negatively are those who consider the impeachment of former President Park Geun-hye, the so-called “Taegeukgi unit” unfair. They have shown resentment towards President Yoon, who investigated the arrest of former President Park. However, many of these people came to the support of President Yoon and, through him, it can be said that they expressed their opposition to the current government.

However, if the interpretation is broadened even more, it can be said that the so-called ‘crossing the river of prosecution’ (no longer shouting the nullity of the prosecution), which was considered a challenge for the conservative camp, has emerged as a reality. Former Supreme Commissioner of the Future Integration Party, Lee Jun-seok, introduced this interpretation in a recent broadcast. The conservative camp may have left impeachment behind and viewed President Yoon as an opponent of the current government.

A similar phenomenon is observed in respondents who identified themselves as conservative. President Yoon’s approval rating was 7% in October and 25% in November. It can be seen that among the conservative respondents, the ‘Taegeukgi troops’ were included. This approval rating continues with the recent presentation of a large number of crowns of joy to President Yoon.

Another notable point is that the approval ratings of President Yoon and Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong moved in opposite directions. When one rises, the other falls.

Despite being a member of the Democratic Party, Governor Lee received considerable support from Daegu and Gyeongbuk (TK), where conservative taxes are strong. In the October poll, Governor Lee’s TK approval rate was 20%, the highest among candidates for the presidential election. However, in the November survey it fell to 10%. On the other hand, during the same period, General Yoon jumped from 2% to 15%.

In addition, in the conservative and moderate-tended category of respondents, Governor Lee’s approval rate decreased slightly while Yoon’s approval rate increased significantly. It can be said that some of the conservative and middle voters who showed interest in Governor Lee have now turned to Yun. Furthermore, it is possible to interpret that the layer of support of President Yoon and Governor Lee partially overlaps.

Of course, this interpretation is limited because it is based on the number of items detailed in the results of the national survey. However, it is definitely noteworthy because you can see the trend.

※ The Gallup Korea poll was conducted with 1001 people from November 10 to 12, and the sampling error is ± 3.1% with a 95% confidence level and the response rate is 17%. For more information, see the Gallup Korea website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Committee website.

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