[여론조사] “By-elections, opposition victory” 39.2% – “Party victory rating” 24.3%



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2021 has begun. We will begin the special news at 8 o’clock this year, in hopes of reclaiming our precious daily life that Corona brings. The first day of the new year, when I could not even go to sunrise, it will be delivered in a moment, and first, I will tell you the results of our surveys conducted at the end of last year. First, we look at the public sentiment of the Seoul Mayor and Busan Mayor by-election approaching three months, and the presidential election that will take place in March next year. In the April by-elections, many respondents said they expected the opposition to win, and in the presidential elections, more opinions were expected to win over the opposition.

This is reporter Yun Nara.

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When asked how to predict the outcome of the by-elections for the mayor of Seoul and the mayor of Busan in April this year, 39.2% of opposition champions were expected to win, and 24.3% of respondents expected the ruling party to win.

It was a draw, so 21% expected the opposition parties to take Seoul and Busan.

When asked about their political orientation, respondents who said they were moderate were 44.5% of the opposition victories and 18.9% of the ruling party. The gap was 25.6% p, which was greater than the gap of 14.9% p in the total of respondents.

Regarding the significance of this choice, 51.5% of those surveyed answered that it was an election to select the right people for regional administration and development, and 6.6% higher.

We asked him what he thought would be desirable for the results of the next presidential election.

The regime change of 49.5% of the opposition party and the recreation of the regime of 42.8% of the ruling party was a bit high, with a difference of 6.7% p.

Of course, among respondents with a moderate tendency, 19.3% p of opinions were expected to change the regime.

I asked who was supporting the people who would run for president next year.

Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myeong 23.6%, Attorney General Yoon Seok-yeol 18.5% and Democratic Party Leader Lee Nak-yeon 16.7%.

This was followed by Hong Joon-pyo 4.1%, Yoo Seung-min 4.0%, Oh Se-hoon 3.2%, Shim Sang-jung 2.3%, Jeong Sye-gyun 1.5%, Chu Miae 1.2%, Won Hee-ryong 0.8% .

23.2% said that there was no candidate for support or that they did not know it.

Among those surveyed who expected a re-enactment of the regime, Lee Jae-myeong 37.7% and Lee Nak-yeon 34.6% were similar. Among those polled who expected regime change, 34.3% supported President Yoon Suk-yeol.

[이찬복/여론조사기관 입소스 본부장 : (정당인 아닌 윤석열 총장 지지는) 정부 여당의 국정 운영에 실망한 여론이 대안 세력으로 야당을 아직 인식하지 못하고 있다고 볼 수 있는 거죠.]

When asked which party they supported, the Democratic Party was 35.4%, the Popular Power 24.1%, the Justice Party 7.9%, the People’s Party 5.1% and the Open Democratic Party 4.0% .

This survey was commissioned by SBS from Ipsos, a voting agency, and through wired / wireless telephone interviews from the 28th to the 30th of last month, 1,001 people aged 18 and over nationwide received responses, with a sampling error of ± 3.1% p with a confidence level of 95%. .

(Video editing: Park Jeong-sam)

▶ [2021 신년특집 여론조사 통계표] to download

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