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Just three days before US Presidential Election Day, former Vice President Joe Biden is still ahead of President Donald Trump in national approval ratings. However, the final trend of the six main rivals that will determine the course of the presidential elections remains in the fog. Reporter Lee Jo-eun reports.
On the 30th, three days before the presidential elections, the American political analysis medium ‘Real Clear Politics’ collected several opinion polls, according to the results of a national average of 51.3% for former Vice President Joe Biden, who is about to ahead of President Trump by 7.8 percentage points.
Even on the national average compiled by the US election forecast site ‘Five 30 Eight’, former Vice President Biden outperformed President Trump by 8.9 percentage points to date.
However, the approval ratings of the two candidates in the six main competitions that serve as the weather vane for the presidential elections are premarital.
According to Real Clear Politics, to this day, President Trump has narrowed the gap with former Vice President Biden in six major career states to an average of 3.2 percentage points.
In particular, in Florida, where there are 29 electoral voters, former Vice President Biden has been at the helm since last summer, but President Trump backtracked on the 27th and turned again three days later.
According to Real Clear Politics, former Vice President Biden’s approval rating in Florida is 48.4 percent as of that day, ahead of President Trump, who is 47.2 percent, by 1.2 percentage points.
In Pennsylvania, where there are 20 electoral votes after Florida, former Vice President Biden has an approval rating of 49.5 percent, ahead of President Trump with 45.9 percent at 3.6 percentage points.
‘Five thirty-eight’ also reported that as of the day, former Vice President Biden led by 2.2 percentage points and 5.2 percentage points in Florida and Pennsylvania, respectively.
Florida and Pennsylvania have become key areas in determining the recent presidential election as the two candidates battle.
During a campaign in Florida on the 29th, former Vice President Biden emphasized that “when Florida (the symbol of the Democratic Party) turns blue, the game is over.”
[녹취: 바이든 전 부통령] “The heart and soul of this country are at stake. Right here in Florida. It’s up to you. You have the key. If Florida turns blue, it’s over. It’s over.”President Trump said in a campaign in Florida that same day: “Joe Biden’s plan is to punish you with the lock (of the crown).”
[녹취: 트럼프 대통령] Joe Biden’s plan is to offer a penalty block. He’s going to lock you up. “Pennsylvania is one of the regions where the two candidates work the most, a traditional Democratic bullish region that has never won a Republican candidate since 1992.
In the presidential election four years ago, it was in Pennsylvania where the setback occurred, where President Trump upended expectations and won by a slight margin.
Looking at current trends in various opinion polls, Biden leads by a slight margin in four states, Arizona and North Carolina, which are other key contenders besides Florida and Pennsylvania.
Also, at the end of the presidential election, in Georgia, a traditional Republican stronghold, former Vice President Biden has outperformed President Trump, but is negligible by a 1 percentage point difference.
Georgia has never been a Republican defeat in a presidential election since the election of Bill Clinton in 1992.
In Michigan and Wisconsin, former Vice President Biden leads by 7 percentage points and, for now, has a fairly stable lead.
On the other hand, another Republican garden, Texas, is still slightly ahead of President Trump, but between 1 and 2 percentage points.
In contrast to observations from most public opinion polls, there is an analysis that also this year, like the presidential election four years ago, the hidden support of President Trump, ‘Shy Trump,’ will act as a variable. .
The Trafalgar Group, President Trump’s only key election victory predicted four years ago, had two candidates tied in Wisconsin, where former Vice President Biden had a steady lead, and President Trump ahead of Michigan by 2 percentage points. It has produced results.
This is the VOA News Lee Jo-eun.
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