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Entry 2020.11.13 06:01 | Revision 2020.11.13 07:19
Biden’s dedication to advanced technology and rocket science reflects his sense of crisis. Throughout the election, he stressed that “China is stealing technology and intellectual property from American companies and subsidizing state-owned companies to dominate the future of technology.”
The sense of crisis in China’s technological prowess is spreading throughout American society. Wired, a US technology magazine, said: “As the US holds elections divided into extremes, China is achieving economic recovery, military strength and technological independence.” “The Communist Party’s Five-Year Plan of China · Looking at the previous episode), he pointed out that the only challenge facing the Biden government is China’s technological challenge. “
In terms of gross domestic product (GDP), China has been chasing the United States without hesitation. GDP based on purchasing power (PPP) has long outpaced the US According to the IMF’s (International Monetary Fund) World Economic Outlook Report, based on PPP standards, China is expected to record $ 24.2 trillion and the United States $ 20.8 trillion this year. China is not only great. China has a clear advantage in 5G and the US in the field of semiconductors, while the two countries have comparable technologies in artificial intelligence, quantum computing and autonomous vehicles.
The Biden government is fighting the coronavirus and has to abolish China’s main technological persecution. The path of the Biden government looks difficult, as China’s prosperity and appeasement is also expected to challenge.
Among the letters that the Biden administration will present in the technological competition with China, the keywords that differentiate it from the Trump administration are ‘human rights’, ‘alliance’ and ‘green’.
① Human rights
Biden dubbed Xi Jinping, who oppressed Xinjiang Uighurs, a “bully” during the Democratic Party debate in February. Biden, who spearheaded China’s accession to the WTO in 2001 and referred to President Xi Jinping as an “old friend” in 2013, looked at China 180 degrees.
Biden pledged to hold a ‘Global Summit for Democracy’ in the first year of his term in which world leaders participated (he contributed to the US diplomatic magazine Foreign Affair in March and April). The “eradication of corruption”, the “defense of authority” and the “improvement of human rights” are scheduled to be on the summit agenda. This agenda in itself is onerous for China and, in fact, works against the business of Chinese companies.
Since 2018, the Trump administration has actively called on allies such as Europe, Australia and Japan to stop using China’s Huawei communications equipment for security threats. Until the beginning of this year, major European countries had all but rejected the ‘US request for a’ boycott of Huawei ‘. This is because it has decided that the provision of economic power is prioritized through investment in 5G (5G) communications infrastructure. There was also great dissatisfaction with President Trump’s unilateral diplomacy.
The atmosphere of “self-abuse” of the European allies was reversed with the Hong Kong crisis. When China passed the security law in June, the demand for democratization in the city of Hong Kong alone intensified, so the UK decided not to use Huawei equipment in the next-generation communications network. The French government also informed its own telecommunications company that it would refuse to renew the license for 5G network equipment from Chinese telecommunications equipment manufacturer Huawei.
“We will put the role of big tech companies on the summit agenda,” Biden said. “Technology and platforms should not be used to empower surveillance states and China and others to promote repression.” Shen Dingley, head of US research at Fudan University in China, said: “Trump did not mention the protection of human rights as important” and “the tension in Hong Kong and Xinjiang in the Biden era will increase,” he said.
The next letter from the Biden administration is to advance the alliance front in the name of human rights and democracy. Biden, who values multilateral solutions, is likely to propose a ‘5G alliance’ to exclude Huawei and a ‘cybersecurity alliance’ to block cyber attacks from China and Russia.
“The United States must take the lead in building future technologies that share the prosperity of a democratic society,” Biden said. “Working with our alliances, we will develop a secure and private 5G network that considers communities, rural communities and even low-income people.” Korea is expected to continue to receive a difficult option, which is an alternative, from China’s perspective, that it should be aware of.
Biden’s strategy is consistent with the advice of American think tanks. “It is not a good idea to stop China blindly because China will develop technology that it overlooks any number of times,” said Susan Sikh, director of the China Center at the University of California, San Diego. “We need to build a clear strategy based on our understanding of 5G.” A former US official, Anja Manual, said: “The national R&D budget in the United States has dropped significantly from 2% of GDP in the 1960s to 0.7% of GDP today.” I do, “he noted.
③ Green
Biden declared the return of the ‘Paris Climate Change Convention’, which Trump withdrew as a first step after the elections were confirmed. By 2050, the presidential election pledges to shift the American economy to zero (zero) carbon emissions. The Biden government plans to invest a total of $ 5 trillion (about 6 trillion won, combined with government and private investments) in the green sector. The federal government plans to use the ‘Green New Deal’ to invest $ 1.7 trillion over the next 10 years and $ 3 trillion from the private sector as a driving force behind the recovery of the US economy. Carbon reduction technologies, next-generation building materials, hydrogen power, next-generation nuclear reactors, and electric vehicle batteries are the areas the next government will focus on. Biden believes that building a green vehicle infrastructure could create 1 million jobs.
◆ “Biden is playing Trump second”
There are said to be more than 2,000 foreign and security experts in the vicinity of Biden, including officials who were in office during Obama. They advise against Trump’s display-style conflict strategy and strategically compete with China on a more organized tone. Wendy Cutler, a former US diplomatic official, said: “The days of attendees struggling to implement the president’s tweet or wielding the whip without a strategic framework are over.”
However, the British economist criticized Biden for being unable to paint the big picture and for being immersed in “little protectionism.” Biden’s ‘Made in America’ policy is representative. This includes a “relocation tax” that penalizes companies that move US jobs abroad.
Even if Biden creates a grand strategy to respond to climate change (Green New Deal), The Economist’s question is whether it can induce allied participation if it favors its own companies. Even if a 5G alliance or AI alliance emerges, similar problems can arise. Biden has never criticized Trump’s tariff bomb and said he would abolish it. The Economist was concerned that the Biden administration could flow like a “ second Trump ” when it comes to the trade order.
President Xi Jinping has yet to send a congratulatory message to the elected Biden. Instead, on the 11th, the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (non-university), China’s highest legislative body, passed a resolution that included patriotism in all of Hong Kong’s legislative ratings. Bloomberg analyzed that “the resolution of the trade committee of the NPC of China is the latest sign of China’s willingness not to tolerate criticism of the Communist Party after the anti-government protests in Hong Kong.” Considering the importance of the Biden administration for human rights, President Xi Jinping launched an early storm.
“The Chinese government is more focused on technology and innovation than ever,” said Wang Huiiao, president of the China and Global Center. China is already operating ‘Made in China 2025 (plan to use 70% of the semiconductors required by China by 2025)’. Late last month, late last month, the five-year plan was unprecedented, with the 15-year plan announced with the main goal of ‘achieving a national per capita income of $ 30,000’ and ‘locating advanced technology’ .
