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■ Transmission: FM 94.5 (17: 10 ~ 19: 00)
■ Broadcast date: September 17, 2020 (Thursday)
■ Interview: Young-chae Lee, professor at Keisen Women’s University in Japan
* The text below may differ from the actual content of the stream, so please check the stream for more accurate information.
-Suga chosen, shows planned closed door policy determined by faction policy
-The local self-made history is supported by the Japanese.
-Suga to overcome the economy needs to improve relations with Korea
-Is expected to regain confidence through ‘Jilpa’ Lee Nak-yeon’s network
◇ Mobile Anchor (hereinafter “Mobile Type”)> Japanese Secretary of State Yoshihide Suga succeeds former Prime Minister Abe as the new Prime Minister of Japan. He is the new prime minister who was born in Japan after 7 years and 8 months, but in fact, it is said that it is difficult to expect a big change to the point that season 2 of the Abe regime is said. With the inauguration of Prime Minister Suga, we will discuss with experts whether it is possible to change the atmosphere of relations between Korea and Japan. Connect with Professor Lee Young-chae from Keisen Women’s University in Japan. Hello?
◆ Young-chae Lee, Professor at Keisen Women’s University in Japan (hereinafter Young-chae Lee)> Yes. Hello.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> Suga was elected governor with an overwhelming vote. Was it predictable?
◆ Lee Young-chae> Since the time of the governor’s election, five main factions have supported Secretary of State Suga, and Kishida, who was an opponent, did not cause much surprise. In the end, it can be said that it was a closed-door programmed policy determined by factional politics.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> What is the reaction of the Japanese media and the public?
◆ Lee Young-chae> Basically, the new Prime Minister Suga is not a very well known person. So he is a person who cannot see the video that can be used a lot in streaming. But last year, when Rei and Lee Yeon-ho were announced, secretary Lee Suga made her popular. However, among the Japanese, he came to Tokyo from a provincial level, graduated from university, worked as a prime minister, and then became a member of the National Assembly only and became a prime minister. It was the appearance.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> He has the support of the general public, but top officials say that Abe season 2 is coming out because the people in Abe’s cabinet are delegates as they are.
◆ Lee Young-chae> Suga’s then-president and new prime minister said that his historic mission is to succeed Abe immediately after his election as president. This was a complete expression of Abe’s stance, and unsurprisingly, about 60% of the entire cabinet was a delegate, so it seems like it’s not wrong to say that Abe Cabinet Season 2 is. However, in the case of the new prime minister Suga, he should have the support of the conservatives who succeeded Abe from the Liberal Democratic Party in their own way.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> There is also a story that former Prime Minister Abe will exert influence behind the scenes.
◆ Lee Young-chae> In fact, for about 8 years, Prime Minister Abe’s influence and these things have been so great that it will be difficult for the new Prime Minister Suga to easily escape from the shadow. Also, since he was not partisan, it seems that he cannot be free from factional politics. So if you look at this new cabinet, instead of revealing your color as a type of reform, it showed a cabinet maintaining stable status by representing factions. In the faction-ruled cabinet, I think I will continue to assume the logic of succeeding Prime Minister Abe on the surface without showing my own color just yet and without doing too much.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> I don’t know what Prime Minister Suga himself is saying, but I don’t know about diplomacy, so I’ll ask Prime Minister Abe for advice, right?
◆ Lee Young-chae> To become prime minister of Japan, he must go through the foreign minister, but Suga’s new prime minister was the only secretary. So it seems correct to view diplomacy as an outsider. So it seems difficult to expect a big change in diplomacy long enough to talk to Prime Minister Abe and talk about diplomacy.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> So, is your relationship with us still like this?
◆ Lee Young-chae> For Korea, since the new Prime Minister Suga, the issue of mandatory compensation was resolved by the Korea-Japan Basic Treaty in 65 years, and Korea is violating international law. Of course, since I was a spokesperson at the time, it wouldn’t be easy to change that position in the morning. Instead, what is expected is that the new Prime Minister Suga is posing the challenge of surpassing the crown and surpassing the economy, so in the case of Japan, it is difficult to recover the economy on its own with internal forces alone. It is true that China-Korea relations must be improved in some way. In that sense, it may be difficult to go back to the white list, but we can hope at least to some extent that the degree of freedom of visa holders and economic is possible.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> As the professor just said, the economy was so bad, and Abe’s approval rating dropped a lot, and the government took over. If you do Sino-Japanese diplomacy or Korea-Japan diplomacy like you do now, it seems like there will be a problem with the level of national support. I think there is a risk. So the teacher’s words are expected to be small changes even though there are no big changes, can I interpret them like that?
◆ Lee Young-chae> Actually, at this time, the new Prime Minister Suga cannot express his own color, but regardless of conservative Japanese politicians, he maintains his support for Korea through tough politics. For the new Prime Minister Suga to make his own policy, this is a one-year limited time regime, so he has to dissolve the House of Representatives and hold general elections to make his own policy. However, if you try to re-recruit supporters to hold elections, opting for a flexible policy for Korea will not be easy. However, one thing that needs to be noted is the support of the new Prime Minister Suga, who is Nikai’s secretary, who can be considered a pro-Chinese or pro-Korean group. I think I can wait.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> Our representative from the Democratic ruling party, Lee Nak-yeon, was decided as a representative, but I also worked as a correspondent in Japan, so I am hearing about this. Could CEO Nak-Yeon Lee influence Korea-Japan relations?
◆ Lee Young-chae> Right. In Japan, there is great hope for Lee Nak-yeon in the Japanese media and politicians. Regarding Representative Lee Nak-yeon, Min-Dae Min-da, Secretary General Nikai and the Korea-Japan Legislative Association have various networks, so change is difficult at the moment, but in the long run, the era of Prime Minister Abe has finished, so I think we can create a great new vision with Korea. In that sense, from now on, efforts will continue to be necessary to restore trust through the network with Prime Minister Suga.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> What about politics and diplomacy with the United States? Before that, Prime Minister Abe was too prone to America.
◆ Lee Young-chae> The fact that Suga’s new Prime Minister also said that relations with the United States are not a matter of choice in the United States should be accepted as a means of maintaining a unilateral policy towards the United States. This is also the case with the new Prime Minister Suga, because it is not a traditional regime that has been approved by the people in the general elections, there will be an aspect of unrest in the United States. In that sense, in the case of taking a new Suga class before the presidential election, it is a way to get the approval of the United States and meet the new president by holding a general election. This card, which named Prime Minister Abe’s younger brother Nobuo Kishi, should be seen as a card to give peace of mind to the United States as he succeeds Prime Minister Abe.
◇ Lee Dong-hyung> Finally, how will the new Prime Minister establish relations with North Korea?
◆ Lee Young-chae> Prime Minister Abe’s latest political speech came to an end, saying that he would strengthen the ability to attack enemy positions against North Korea, and this will be succeeded by the new defense minister Nobuo Kishi, and even in the case of the new Prime Minister Suga, Rather than directly solving it, I think it will continue in the form of pressure on North Korea by strengthening such defense policies. Then, as the Indo-Pacific strategy gets even stronger, it will be a bit difficult for Korea in the Suga era to depend on the alliance between the ROK, the United States and Japan. It seems difficult to expect the movement of relations between North Korea and Japan for a while.
◇ Donghyung Lee> Professor, thank you for today’s interview.
◆ Lee Young-chae> Yes. Good job.
◇ Lee Dong-hyeong> Until now, Lee Young-chae was a professor at Keisen Women’s University in Japan.
