[경제]Will the house price be recorded this year? … Pay attention to variables such as the amount of occupancy and the total price set

[앵커]

Given that national house prices rose sharply last year, attention is being paid to whether house prices will continue to rise this year.

The prevailing outlook is that house prices will not fall if the shortage of occupants and high rental property prices continue.

Reporter Shin Yoon-jung reports.

[기자]

Last year, national house prices rose more than 8%, registering the largest increase in 14 years.

Vice Premier Hong Nam-ki apologized for the unrest in the property market and expressed expectations that this year will be different.

[홍남기 / 경제부총리 (지난달 22일) : 시장 안정세가 정착되지 못한 점에 대해서는 정책 당국자로서 안타깝고 송구스러운 마음입니다. 내년(2021년)에는 올해 추진된 정책이 본격 시행되는 매우 중요한 시기입니다.]

The card that the government has prepared to stabilize the housing market this year is the expansion of supply.

It was decided to supply 319,000 apartments across the country, including 45,000 in Seoul.

The problem is that these numbers are objective, including public leases, so they are different from the perspectives of private companies.

Real estate information companies predict that this year’s apartment occupancy volume will decline significantly from last year.

Along with the scope of supply, the total set value is also an important variable.

If the price of jeonse continues to rise, demand for jeonse can be turned into a purchase, and a “hole reversal” based on a high jeonse deposit can be facilitated to support the house price.

[박원갑 / KB국민은행 부동산 수석전문위원 : 새해에는 아파트 입주 물량이 줄어드는 데다가 임대차 3법 시행에 따른 전세 매물 잠김 현상도 계속될 수 있어서…전세 불안이 계속되면 아예 집을 사려는 수요도 나타날 수 있어서 곧바로 매매시장 불안까지도 이어질 수도….]

In addition, the prospect of rising house prices predominates as it is expected to continue with abundant liquidity due to low interest rates.

However, there is an analysis that there will be no sharp increase due to the fact that the multi-owner sale of the transfer tax reduction may occur in the first half of this year, and loan regulations have been further strengthened .

[임병철 / 부동산114 수석연구원 : 코로나 19 장기화에 따른 경기 둔화와 보유세 부담 등의 영향으로 2020년과 같은 두 자릿수 이상의 상승은 제한적일 것으로 보입니다.]

Additionally, house prices are expected to be affected by additional supply plans and regulations issued by the newly headed Ministry of Lands, Infrastructure and Transportation.

YTN Shin Yoon-jung[[email protected]]is.

[저작권자(c) YTN & YTN plus 무단전재 및 재배포 금지]