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Anxiety over the November 3 election peaks day by day, as polls show voters prefer Democratic candidate Joe Biden, as Republicans hope to eventually win in some of the big states that “give” more. voters, along with the coveted victory.
Donald Trump’s side hopes that the coup of 2016 will be repeated, when Hillary Clinton, despite winning more votes, lost the election because Donald Trump won in some large critical states with large numbers of voters, who determine the outcome.
However, this time the polls give the Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, an advantage in critical states, where the result is ambiguous (the so-called swing states), which usually judge the result.
Lead in the 4 critical states
According to a New York Times poll, Joe Biden leads the four most important “ambiguous” states, namely Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida and Arizona.
The difference in favor of Biden is greater in Wisconsin and reaches 11 points, with a percentage of 52% compared to 41% for Trump. In the same state, Trump had won in 2016 by less than one point.
Respectively, in Pennsylvania, Biden today leads with 6 points, while in 2016 Trump beat Hillary Clinton and there with a difference of less than one point.
In Florida, Biden has a three-point lead (Democrats lost there by one point in 2016) while in Arizona he leads by 6 points (in 2016, Trump won by 4 points).
In none of these 4 critical states do the polls give more than 44% to Donald Trump, who had won them by a narrow margin in 2016, but today he is behind the percentages he had collected then. 
This is how Biden will win the presidency
According to the New York Times, Donald Trump is lagging behind in many of the most critical states and with these data his victory is unlikely, unless it turns out that there is a generalized systemic error in the polls, which justifies a discrepancy. greater than that presented in 2016, when measurements and forecasts were refuted.
If Joe Biden wins three of those four states, he will almost certainly be elected president, according to the New York Times, and if he wins a victory in Florida, another state in 4 will be enough to secure the presidency.
Biden consistently leads critical states in New York Times polls, and while the percentage fluctuates, he is not behind Donald Trump.
How the coronavirus will play a major role in the outcome
This time around, a last-minute reversal is also less likely, as many voters – more than 90 million – have already voted by ballot due to the coronavirus.
In three of those four critical states, most said they had already voted in an NYT poll with Pennsylvania.
The Iowa case
According to CNN, in the state of Iowa, where Donald Trump had a 2-point advantage, he now appears to have increased his gap with Biden to seven points, a fact that is interpreted by political analysts as an indication that the electoral process may be ambiguous.
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