US Election: When will we meet the new US President? The three scenarios



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The electoral process for the election of the next American president begins in New York, which opened the polls at 0600 local time.

At the same time, a few polling stations were opened in four other eastern US states: New Jersey, Connecticut, Maine, and Virginia.

Voting began at midnight (local time) in the small town of Dixville Knots, New Hampshire, which is traditionally the first to open any election process.

A big gamble is the arrival of African-American voters at the polls, while as the time for the election of the new American president approaches, analysts consider the victory of Democrat Joe Biden almost certain.

At the same time Washington reminds of a ghost town when merchants seem to fortify their properties for fear of riots.

It is recalled that even before voting day, around 100 million voters, a record number, have already voted in person or by mail.

When will the next president be elected?

The first polls will close at 6 pm. Eastern Time in parts of Indiana and Kentucky. Then there will be a floating voting base that will be closed, hourly and sometimes every 30 minutes, until the last polls in Alaska close at 1 p.m. local time on Wednesday.

States start announcing some of their results as soon as the polls close.

Regarding the vote count, only nine states expect at least 98% of their unofficial results to be disclosed at noon the day after the election.

Twenty-two states and the District of Columbia allow postage-stamp voting after Election Day. time will depend on when voters cast their votes.

New York and Alaska will not announce the mail-in ballot on Election Night.

Rhode Island had also planned not to report the ballots overnight, but its electoral council voted Monday to begin announcing them at 11 p.m. local time.

Officials from Michigan and Pennsylvania, two states with questionable election results, said the full official count may take several days.

The increase in the vote by letter, due to the pandemic, may increase the number of temporary votes, further delaying the count.

The votes of citizens whose right to vote in electoral colleges are disputed are characterized as temporary. The officials of these centers, although they accept their ballot, but this is only counted in the second year, if the citizen’s data is collated and their right to vote is verified.

Some voters in at least 23 states must vote provisionally if they initially request to vote by mail, but may choose to vote in person. Other states have different methods of avoiding double voting.

However, the results are never official until the final certification, which appears in each state weeks after the election.

The American ecologist points out that to be reliable when estimating the dynamics of the two opponents on the night of the 2020 American elections, one must monitor the results. in the counties of each state.

According to the data so far, many Democratic voters have already exercised their right to vote, while Republicans are expected to go to the polls in droves. This means that the first results may show Trump ahead.

The three scenarios

According to the New York Times, experts are watching three possible scenarios:

– Joe Biden marks a significant victory in one of the East Coast states that is expected to count its votes the fastest. If Biden beats Florida, for example, it’s a sign that Trump’s path to victory may be difficult. “There are not many Republicans who believe that the president can win this race without Florida,” said Alex Burns, a political analyst.

– President Trump retains all of these first major East Coast states. This marks a narrow run, which means all eyes are on the intercity.

– The third scenario is what the experts call “A huge mess where nobody knows anything.” This is analogous to the 2000 Florida election process, with the potential to occur in multiple states at once. In this case, final decisions in many key states would be based on the mail ballot count, which could take days.

With information from New YorkTimes / AFP

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