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With the certainty that the first written sample of the unrest prevailing in European capitals against Turkey will be reflected in the conclusions of the next EU summit, in the form of sanctions, Greece is preparing for a tough battle.
Alliances have already been formed, as has the attitude of most countries that have no points of contact with Erdogan’s neo-Ottoman sub-branches. However, no one is unaware of the magnitude of the degree of intervention and configuration of Germany’s final decision. This means that you can oppose the imposition of sanctions or eliminate those that have a special weight from the final text of the decisions.
He is looking for allies
But the repercussions of the unfavorable weather in Brussels have long been haunting Ankara. And it is no coincidence that Chancellor Mevlüt Tsavousoglou is carrying out with notable obsession the Sultan’s order to place responsibilities in Greece, which is not present in the dialogue that she torpedoed.
It could be said that Turkey’s messages to Brussels, with its constant invocation of its interconnected European future, are taking on “dramatic” proportions, as the sultan’s palace is considered certain that there will be a condemnation of Europe. In fact, the sudden intensification of contacts with countries that are friendly to it, in order to form a homogeneous pocket of resistance to general European unanimity, is indicative of the difficulty that finally arises in Ankara’s foreign policy.
You will not come out unscathed
The Hungarian Foreign Minister’s visit to Ankara and the meeting with Erdogan and Tsavousoglu go in this direction. However, it should be noted that, according to some analyzes, the EU is very likely. not to adopt measures that block Turkey’s investigations in the Eastern Mediterranean, but rather to lay the groundwork for the next summit, scheduled for March, to impose tougher and more severe sanctions, combined with the tougher stance of the Biden government on Ankara. In other words, it will allow Erdogan to be lucky one last time, but without escaping unscathed. 
Thus, Greece is expected to follow a hard line in favor of sanctions in the European Council, as Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis clarified yesterday, expressing his confidence that Europe will not jeopardize its own prestige. He recalled that the EU decision has a timetable and provides for Turkey to embrace the positive agenda or suffer the consequences. He reiterated the firm position of Athens in favor of dialogue to resolve a dispute with Ankara, as well as the possibility of resorting to the International Court of Justice in The Hague, always subject to a period of de-escalation practice.
Camps in the EU
As we have said, Germany’s position is expected to be decisive for developments, and top European officials, however, claim that Turkey has started to lose its friends. Yesterday, Haiko Maas in his statements to the meeting of the Foreign Affairs Council referred to the Turkish provocations and the debate of the Foreign Ministers on the consequences in Ankara ahead of the summit. However, it is estimated that Berlin will find it difficult to accept severe sanctions, promoting a rather “lenient” scenario.
Spain, Italy, Malta, Hungary and Poland remain skeptical and even negative about the imposition of measures and especially serious in Turkey, even if they recognize the challenges. Greece, the Republic of Cyprus, France and Austria, meanwhile, are demanding tough measures from Brussels, while Luxembourg, Belgium, Slovenia, Denmark, the Netherlands, Ireland, the Baltic countries and Slovakia are in the same field. The third field is that of the “indifferent” or neutral states, which consider that the issue does not affect them.
Possible sanctions
One possible scenario is the imposition of measures against people due to the illegal investigations of “Oruts Reyes”, in the tax standards for violations in the Cyprus EEZ, without it being yet unknown whether Germany will accept to be included in the measures and companies . The Greek side wants the EU High Representative, Josep Borel, to receive instructions on a list of sectoral sanctions, this time in writing. The measures that Athens wants are the arms embargo, something that is characterized from difficult to impossible, as well as, among other things, the cessation of financing of Turkish banks by the European institutions. An article in the German daily Tagesspiegel also mentions possible sanctions that can be imposed first on tourism and then on energy, banks and transport. “Very clear language towards Turkey,” Austrian Foreign Minister Alexander Salenberg said in a statement, highlighting his hope that “clear decisions” will be made at the summit.
Had a hard tongue
“Turkey is acting outside the bounds of international legitimacy and has unfortunately become the troublemaker in the region,” Nikos Dendias said after a tripartite meeting of the foreign ministers of Greece, Jordan and Cyprus in Amman. 
Turkey spreads propaganda and fake news, threatens the use of force, has threatened Greece with war, if it does not exercise its sovereign right, expanding its territorial waters to 12 nautical miles, it has instrumentalized immigration, has aggravated security challenges , with the transfer of jihadists from Libya to the Caucasus – a “jihadist travel agency” – and endangers peace and stability throughout the region, Dendias explained.
The Foreign Minister characterized this behavior by Turkey as unacceptable, noting that Greece has repeatedly asked Ankara to engage in a constructive dialogue with all countries that respect the law and share the same values.
On the agenda of the talks, the three foreign ministers discussed Libya, Syria, the Middle East peace process, migration, the Eastern Mediterranean and the Cyprus issue.
New attacks from Tsavousoglou
For yet another day, Tsavousoglou attacked Greece, claiming it was continuing to take “provocative” steps in the region, despite Turkey’s efforts to use diplomacy. Indeed, the Turkish minister said that he hopes the EU will act as an honest and objective mediator in the conflict.
During a press conference with Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Sigiarto, Tsavusoglu said that Turkey wants to improve relations with the European Union on the basis of its full membership, adding that problems between them can only be resolved if the EU you must act with common sense at this week’s summit and beyond.
Say, say, something will remain
Tsavousoglou claimed that Greece is avoiding de-escalation meetings within NATO. “Greece said that as long as Oruc Reis remains in the region they will not participate in the dialogue.” But the ship was withdrawn to Antalya, but they still find excuses, “he said.
EU foreign ministers said on Monday that Turkey had not helped end the dispute with Greece and Cyprus in the eastern Mediterranean, but referred to any decisions on sanctions at Thursday’s EU summit. .
“They must be fair and honest here.” If they also think strategically and with common sense, not only at the top but always, and we achieve a positive atmosphere, we can improve our relations, “said Tsavousoglou.” We can only solve our problems through the dialogue and diplomacy, “he added. 
Last time
The EU is going to launch limited and economically insignificant sanctions. to the detriment of Turkey, as estimated in its analysis by the geopolitical research company Grupo Eurasia, in view of its analysis with a view to the Summit from 10 to 11 December.
Eurasia Group also sees that this EU move will not stop Turkey’s investigations into the eastern Mediterranean, but will lay the groundwork for the next summit, scheduled for March, to impose increasingly stringent sanctions, combined with the government’s tougher stance. of Biden on Anchor.
Ankara will avoid some harsh punishments, but will impose sanctions on employees of the Turkish public energy company TPAO, as a final warning.
The leaders will lay the groundwork for tougher sanctions, which are expected to begin with the summit on March 25-26, 2021.
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