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Panathinaikos achieved the first major victory of the season, after beating AEK 2-1 in “Spyros Louis”, with goals from Makeda and Kourbelis.
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Boloni’s team prevailed in all areas, was superior and was in fact threatened by Unión only in the final of the match, when it was very difficult to lose the great victory for the greens.
THE TRINITY OF THE CENTER
At the forefront of Panathinaikos were the three in the center, Mauricio, Kourbelis and Alexandropoulos, who together with Vigiafanies and Hatzigiovanis made five media that did everything for Panathinaikos.
Control of the midfield, good inhibitory work, traffic in the attack, creation of opportunities, shots within the area.
They took care of the image, but the result determined something else. The fact that Panathinaikos finally scored the great opportunities they had.
“BLEEDING” IN GREAT OPPORTUNITIES: 4/16
The greens suffered from inefficiency at the start of the championship, especially at the end of the big opportunities, according to Opta.
In the two defeats of Asteras and Aris, when Pogiatos was still on the bench, Panathinaikos had six (!) great opportunities and had not found networks in any of them. With elemental efficiency he would have had at least two draws, perhaps he would have had two wins.
The “bad” continued in the next two games with OFI and Volos. In these games, Panathinaikos had another six great chances and with them scored “only” two goals, not counting the two missed penalties.
Somehow, Panathinaikos had in the first seven games 16 great opportunities and with them he had only scored four goals. A tragic percentage, only 25%while the league average is 37%.
THE DIFFERENCE IN EFFICIENCY
At some point this would change. The start was in the match with Panetolikos, when Makenda found the net in a great opportunity that the greens had in the match, and the big change came at the right time, in the derby with AEK.
Panathinaikos had three great chances in “Spyros Louis”. And the “undefeated” of 86% could have been lost by Mauricio, but the same did not happen with the two phases that followed, Makenda’s four-on-four and Kourbelis’s unflappable execution of Zagaritis’s wonderful energy.
SECOND BEHIND OLYMPIAKOS
In the most crucial match, the greens were recreated, but this time they were executed correctly. And with this 3/4 in the last two games for Panathinaikos, the picture in the big opportunities of the Big-5 teams was formed as follows.
Yes, Panathinaikos and not PAOK or AEK is the team with the greatest chances, behind the long-awaited first Olympiakos. The Greens now they have 7/20, 35% “fair”, which of course is still below the league average, which is 37%.
UNSTABLE FACTOR
Efficiency is an unbalanced factor. You can’t do much for her, she comes and goes. But you can control the phases you do. Panathinaikos this year (even with Pogiatos on the bench) was consistently good at creating opportunities.
The greens have 1.8 great chances per game, a performance that places them in second place in the league, behind Olympiacos’ “elusive” 3.1.
The first two demands of Panathinaikos are to continue this production and improve, even a little, efficiency.
MAKES THE MOST DANGEROUS ENDINGS, BUT THEY ARE VERY FEW
The third issue is to find a balance between the amount and the risk of your endings. Because at the moment Panathinaikos is making the most dangerous final in the league, but that is not enough.
Let’s see it in the following graphic. On the horizontal axis we have the number of finals for each team in the league and on the vertical axis the danger.
The more successful a team has, the more finals it makes in each game and the higher it is, the more dangerous each final it has on average. The holesdashed lines indicate averages.
Panathinaikos is a category unto itself. Greens make the most dangerous finals in the championship on average: each Boloni team final has a 12.5% chance of scoring a goal and wins, albeit marginally, the 12.4% that Olympiacos has.
But at the same time, Panathinaikos represents a small threat. Boloni’s team has only 8.6 finals per game: only Lamia, Volos and Panetolikos have less.
SERIES WITH UNIQUE NUMBER OF ENDS
With Boloni on the bench, Panathinaikos had a double-digit number of finals in just the first two matches, with Volos (11) and Lamia (15). Since then, the Greens have not passed the final nine in any match, while they only had five with Panetolikos and only three (!) With Apollon.
Somehow Panathinaikos executes the league’s most dangerous finals average, but in total expected goals they are fourth behind Olympiakos, PAOK and AEK.
GETTING CLOSER
Time will tell if the final -10 interval (which of course included two out derbies) was the result of an effort led by Boloni.
Perhaps the goal was for Panathinaikos to go to games “off”, with very little happening, to build some constants and score points until they could press the accelerator more then.
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