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Demosthenes Sarigiannis sounded the alarm about the future of the coronavirus in Greece, insisting that schools should not open in the first days of January.
“We have to wait and see what really happens during the holidays.”The AUTh professor of Environmental Engineering said characteristically speaking to Real FM.
“My opinion is that schools must be opened later. We have already carried out simulations up to June for a series of measures related to opening schools, opening retail, opening restaurants, with / without air disinfection, with / without teleworking, etc. Let me tell you here that the most important are not the numbers, this is how » initially stated.
After emphasizing that based on the experience of the first wave, the opening of schools brought an increase in cases due to the 10% increase in contacts, he added: “In this context, I think we have to wait and see what really happens during the holidays. Yesterday we had an increase of more than 200 cases than we predicted, which means that we had predicted that there would be an increase due to click away and sociability due to the holidays but here we had a little more. I want to see if it is a simple correction or a deviation that was made yesterday and will be corrected today or tomorrow or if it will be systematic. If systematic, the spike we predicted would happen anyway due to the holidays and due to the weather is already happening. “Instead of it happening on New Year’s Eve, it happened two or three days before.”
“Right now we see that the increase will be on this scale, but the increase it is greater as time passes. This does not allow us to be on a downhill path. We cannot predict if a blowout will occur. We can catch it early and see how and what it will mean in the long run. We have to wait two or three days “he added.
He did not even hesitate to predict an outbreak of cases, should schools open earlier, emphasizing that the issue is “To avoid a third confinement.”
“If we open schools on January 8, our prediction is that we will reach 2,000 cases in mid-March and in the corresponding period. If we open at 20 for example to make a comparison we would reach 1,500 boxes and I mean a weekly average. We are currently at the weekly average of 670 cases. Therefore, the opening of schools will have a negative impact, that is, it will have an increasing incorporation. The problem, however, is not just when the schools will open, we are obviously talking about some kind of opening of the economy. So that’s where the script starts and goes wrong. “
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