Nikolas Christakis (Professor Yale): There will be a third wave



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The Greeks should be more cautious and take the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic very seriously, said the distinguished Greek-American. Yale University Professor Nikolas Christakis, speaking in an online presentation of his new book “Apollo’s Arrow – The Deep and Long-Term Effects of the Recent Pandemic on the Way We Live”, which was recently published in Greece.

As he said, the coronavirus circulate on social media as ideas. He noted that if both contagion and mortality are taken into account, the new pandemic is the second worst in the last 100 years, after the Spanish flu.

Mr. Christakis estimated that if the population is convinced to receive the vaccine, in approximately one year we will have far exceeded the biological dynamics of the virus and we will be more faced with the its economic and social impact. For the winter of 2021, he predicted there would be a third epidemic wave, albeit milder because of the vaccinations that have taken place in the meantime.

He also said that in the summer of 2021, it seems that it will be possible to stimulate tourism more than in the summer of 2020, although not at the level of 2019, a vision that, as he said, transferred to Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis. He also estimated that the opening of tourist activity in Greece this summer did not play a role in triggering a second epidemic wave, something that would happen anyway, as it did in other countries.

He added that if the government copes well with the second wave of the pandemic, its popularity and public confidence will increase. Regarding the deaths from Covid-19 of the current season in Greece, which are about 100 per day, he pointed out that our country is in a better position compared to others, such as Sweden or Portugal. He stressed, mainly by the citizens, if Greece will do better, as in the first wave.

The event, organized by Cactus, Public and Inside Story, was also addressed by Andreas Papandreouυ (Professor of Environmental Economics at the EKPA Department of Economics and Director of the Laboratory for Political Economy of Sustainable Development) and Elias Mosialos (Professor of Health Policy at the London School of Economics and Political Science). H. Mosialos estimated that after the first vaccinations, towards the end of February, a “wall” of immunity will begin to be built in Greece.

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