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Coronavirus – All the news: The first quarantine lasted 45 days, no one knows for sure how long it will last this time. However, experts analyze models and talking to MEGA explain what will judge the duration. All this at a time when 62% of ICU beds are already occupied, while, as an intensive care professor explains, 4 out of 10 intubated patients sadly lose the battle and die.
With the country go into the “ice” for the second time in less than 6 months, The question that fatally arises is whether the announced three-week quarantine will be able to stop the pandemic and, of course, when will it end …
During the first wave, the “Stay Home” period lasted 45 days to eliminate the circulation of the virus. Now however the criterion is the decompression of the NSS. The epidemiological “explosion” of recent days “sealed” the experts’ suggestion for the imposition of a ban here and now.
“The exponential growth observed in northern Greece, and especially in Thessaloniki, in the last week, was something that exceeded all expectations, resulting in faster decisions».
According to official data, 62% of ICU beds due to coronavirus are currently covered. The Thessaloniki and Attica hospitals are under the greatest burden, with 75% and 67% fill respectively. Even simple coronavirus beds are under pressure, after the number of patients reached 2,059, out of a total of 4,452 beds available.
“The goal is to reduce the cases so that we can manage the situation as much as possible even before the outbreak that was observed in recent days.”
If the measures are implemented by everyone, experts estimate that on November 30 the country will gradually begin to breathe normality.
“In a week we will know where we are going, in two or three weeks we will know where we are».
A condition for lifting the quarantine is that the cases approach 400 and the number of intubated patients is reduced to 50. Otherwise, the extension of the quarantine will be one-way.
“At the end of November, if all goes well, we can move to the next stage, so measures will gradually be lifted.”
However, according to experts, some restrictions will be maintained after the quarantine is lifted, while the mask will accompany us until spring.
Emergency shutdown and again
De-escalation of cases after November 10, reaching 500 cases per day on November 30, provides the computer model of the Professor of Environmental Engineering of the Department of Chemical Engineering of the Polytechnic School of the AUTh, Demosthenes Sarigiannis.
Despite the temporary epidemiological decompression, the professor estimates that the State must take other restrictive measures in the future.
As he said, his proposal is the implementation of alternative premises emergency shutdown.
This plan provides 21 days of lockdown and 14 days of relaxation., repeating this pattern three to four times in order like this drive safely through march.
This proposal estimates that the daily incidence will vary daily about 500 to 800, thus contributing to decompress the health system, since no more than 200 patients will end up in the ICU, number that the National Health System can manage.
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Cases today: 1,914 news items announced by EODY – New record with 35 deaths and 228 intubated
