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In accordance with First stage investigation, with the current restrictive measures, on October 31, Greece will have 34,181 cases, 568 deaths (At noon on Sunday 10/18 the deaths were 507), while the number of patients in the ICU will be 103 (while today it is 83).
According to the same estimate, if no new restrictive measures are taken, on December 31 the country will be in “Red”.
And this, because according to the research, you will have: 200,055 cases, 1,834 deaths and 837 intubated in ICU.
In numbers, the research predicts an increase of 165,874 cases and 1,266 deaths.
In the second scenario, cases and deaths are calculated, if the mandatory use of a mask were everywhere.
Thus, if a mask were used everywhere, on October 31 there would be 31,800 cases, 566 deaths, while 91 fellow citizens would need ICU hospitalization.
If the use of the mask continued until December 31, the total cases by then would be 45,826, The deaths 836, while in the ICU they would be 42 persons.
October is a “black” month
Of particular concern is the fact of the rapid increase in deaths in recent days in our country. It is characteristic that Greece on September 30 registered 391 deaths throughout the territory.
Eighteen days later and after him death of three women on Sunday due to complications from Covid-19, the dead have reached them 507In other words, 116 deaths have been registered in 18 days, a figure that corresponds to 6.5 deaths per day.
Earlier today, Professor of Genetics, Mr. Manolis Dermitzakis, commented on the event, saying: “Greece has a large number of deaths due to its cases.” Citizens must be motivated to be careful, fines do not help, “he said. .
The need for stricter measures against the coronavirus was also pointed out by the professor of Genetics. Manolis Dermitzakis, the first being the use of a mask indoors and outdoors in the orange areas.
Speaking to Open, the professor highlighted the possibility of a further increase in cases, reaching the 20,000 cases. “We may be at the beginning of a new wave. A jump can be made in two weeks. As happened in Switzerland. The increases can accelerate very quickly.” In Greece they will not be as sharp as abroad, “he said characteristically.
Regarding his estimates for next winter, he commented that in February-March the mass vaccination and the results will be seen, while he stated that we must be more careful next summer as well.
“Greece has a large number of deaths from its cases.” Citizens must be motivated to be careful, fines do not help, “he said.
Added to the ominous scenarios regarding the course of the virus is its assessment Yale professor Nikola Christakis, that a return to normal will not take place before 2024.
Target youth
According to the latest epidemiological data, announced on Saturday, of the 482 new cases registered in the last 24 hours, more than 45% come from the age group. 18-39.
Koronovirus: worrying phenomena in Patras: crowding in squares as cases increase
The age distribution shows that the spread of the virus is great and it is difficult to limit it despite the measures. In the same recording they are also noted 40 persons up to 18 years.
The average age of the cases is 39 years (range 0 to 102 years), while the average age of death is 79 years (range 25 to 102 years). The picture is similar in the total number of cases that have reached 24,932.
Furthermore, most of them belong to the age group of 18 to 39 years.
