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The death toll from coronavirus in Greece has multiplied by seven in the last five days. Their number seems to be gradually approaching the average European mortality rate, which corresponds to about 50-80 deaths a day in our country, in a further deterioration of the situation that everyone hopes to avoid.
In addition, our country has a higher death rate per case, that is, higher mortality than all European countries.
In the so-called “second wave” of the pandemic, according to the detailed table presented by “To Vima”, the epidemiological burden of our country now has several similarities with many other Europeans. In contrast to what happened in the “first wave” last spring, when Greece had a rate of about 1% of cases abroad and extremely lower mortality.
Now our country has respectively 27% – 55% of cases from Italy, France and other countries. Cases in Greece in the last five days were 11,808, compared to 84,407 in Spain, which has a population five times higher, while Italy has 163,913 new diagnoses with 60.4 million inhabitants, France 150,005 with 67 million inhabitants and Gran Britain with 66 million inhabitants has 118,754 new carriers of the virus.
The common feature of the second wave
A common feature of the “second wave” is that almost all EU countries were caught off guard by the mutation of the coronavirus and hypertension of the disease, where there was an unprecedented outbreak in October. Almost at the same time for all countries with initially young people.
Now the deaths in our country -with population reduction- have a small difference with the percentages of France, Spain, Italy and Great Britain, and that unfortunately may approach in the coming days.
In fact, it is characteristic that the number of deaths per 1000 cases is … European common where in all the countries examined in Europe but also in Greece it is 15 to 18. In fact, Greece has the highest number.
In addition, it is noteworthy that in these European countries, which had already implemented some restrictions, the number of cases has already begun to decline compared to what was registered at the beginning of November. Something that is expected to happen in Greece where it is estimated that next week the daily number of cases will begin to decrease. Since there were quarantine and restrictive measures in Thessaloniki and other areas of Greece seven days before the national shutdown.
However, the number of deaths in these European countries has doubled due to the progressive contamination of the elderly with the young, reaching figures of 32 to 40 deaths every five days per 1,000,000 inhabitants. When in Greece this number has reached 20 deaths in the same population sample, while at the beginning of November there were about three deaths in the same number of inhabitants.
Nightmare predictions
Greek epidemiologists and other experts estimate that in the coming days, sadly, there will be more deaths per day that may be close to European averages. In addition to that based on numerical models and data from previous periods, in the coming weeks there will be around 400 more deaths of people from Covid-19.
Also, there will be a significant number of people who will die from the deadly disease in late November. With the fear that the final number of people who will lose their lives in our country will exceed 1,500 – 1,600 people. This is because there will be a new cycle of patients in and out of the ICU due to the high number of cases in the last period.
It is indicative that in the last three days the average daily number of ICU admissions is 55 patients if we take into account the total number of intubated patients, the number of deaths, the mortality of 43-45% of intubated patients and the fact that around 26 people left the ICU happy but that around 50% of deaths are registered in simple Covid beds. With scientists and government officials expressing their hope that all these nightmarish and macabre predictions will be disproved;
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